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Kimmi

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Everything posted by Kimmi

  1. Kimmi
    First off, I do not reject the premise that some players handle pressure moments better than others. I completely agree that some people are chokers. I just don't think you find those at the Major League level. They are weeded out before they reach the Major League, or if they get there, they don't last very long. I think we long ago agreed in the idea of clutch as the ability not to choke. In that sense, my opinion is that all Major League players are clutch. What I reject is the idea that clutch is a repeatable skill or that there is any predictability to it. There is no data that supports those first two propositions. At the same time, there is no data that refutes them. With the idea of clutch, there is overwhelmingly strong evidence against it. If the stat people start conducting studies on the impact of managers to their teams psychologically and determine that it's a bunch of hogwash, I will change my opinion on the matter.
  2. Kimmi
    Are you saying that Henry is not willing to spend more than others?
  3. Kimmi
    Of course every GM inherits the previous GM's prizes and mistakes. I take issue with those who give Dombrowski all the credit of being the genius who saved this team. Far from it.
  4. Kimmi
    It's not about whether any of those individual prospects pan out or not. It's about the state of the team going forward. We felt the effects big time in 2020 and we are still feeling the effects now. When Bloom can't sign a free agent that we want or trade for a pitcher that we want, you can thank Dombrowski for that. Unless you want to be George Steinbrenner's Yankees, which Red Sox fans passionately hated and even Hal doesn't want to be, it's about the farm system. It's always about the farm system.
  5. Kimmi
    Because it does not guarantee anything. Teams can win the WS without going to such extremes, plus be better off for the long term. I hate what Dombrowski did. Thankfully, it worked out in 2018. But it might have just as easily not worked out.
  6. Kimmi
    They are not concerned with paying big for a few years. Even they will hit their reset before too long.
  7. Kimmi
    I have always been a Vaz fan for what he does behind the plate. It may be that Vaz is not as good as what I thought he was.
  8. Kimmi
    If someone can show me data that confidence and comfort level do not affect players at all, then I will change my opinion. IMO, the players that succeed and excel in MLB are very confident and comfortable in what they are doing. That includes what they do in clutch situations. My point is that it is not any different in clutch situations than it is in lower leverage situations.
  9. Kimmi
    Thank you. Enough said.
  10. Kimmi
    I have not had the heart to even read the game threads for a while, since before the trade deadline. I understand why fans are feeling discouraged. It's been a terrible 3 weeks or so. Despite our putrid record since July 28, however, the Sox are still right in the thick of things. This team has shown their resiliency time and time again this season. Keep the faith.
  11. Kimmi
    The Dodgers may or may not end up winning it all again. But this is the exact reason why teams should not go all in to such an extreme extent. There are no guarantees.
  12. Kimmi
    The league average for IP/GS is 5.1. The Red Sox average is 5.1. Again, this is not just a Red Sox problem. This is a baseball-wide trend.
  13. Kimmi
    I am open minded enough to change my opinion on something that I have believed in my entire life if the data shows me that I was wrong.
  14. Kimmi
    Of course. There are a lot of intangible things that I accept as real. As soon as someone shows me some overwhelming evidence against my opinion, I will rethink it. I 100% used to believe in the concept of clutch players, as well as many other intangible things. I can't go against the numbers though.
  15. Kimmi
    I am disappointed that so many have seemingly given up on this season based on recent events.
  16. Kimmi
    Thanks Dave! Not that that is going to happen.
  17. Kimmi
    And that's the thing. When things were going well, there was a lot of praise for Bloom being able to find such players. Suddenly, all that praise seems to have disappeared. Bloom has added a lot of nice undervalued pieces. Not all of them have worked out, but many of them have.
  18. Kimmi
    The Sox have the 3rd easiest remaining schedule behind the Phillies and the Reds. So there's that.
  19. Kimmi
    The Sox will end up as the first WC team. I will also say there is a better chance of them winning the division than there is of them going home after 162.
  20. Kimmi
    How many of those players are Dombrowski's acquisitions?
  21. Kimmi
    Yes, he was. And what he left for Ben was better than what Bloom got. Again, I was talking about his time with the Cubs.
  22. Kimmi
    OK, I thought we were talking about what he did with the Cubs. Theo did not build the 2004 Sox from scratch. Duquette deserves some of the credit for 2004. Also, was Theo the one who traded Hanley?
  23. Kimmi
    Yes, there is a lot of variation in baseball. The difference between most of those variations and clutch is that the others have at least some predictive value and some season to season correlation. The season to season correlation of clutch is nonexistent, pretty much 0. Even within a season, the correlation is 0. It's not just a matter of a player not being able to come through in the clutch every time, it's a matter of there being NO predictability to it, outside of what that player would do in regular situations. People like Schilling and Ortiz probably do have a stronger quality of mental fortitude. That's what makes them great players all the time, not just in clutch situations.
  24. Kimmi
    Fans can feel however they want about a player. There are certain players that I want to see at the plate in key moments and others that I don't want to see, both for our team and the opposing team. The bottom line, however, is that if you could choose who to put up to bat in a key moment, it should be your best overall hitter. Not the hitter who is supposedly clutch, nor the hitter who is on a hot streak.
  25. Kimmi
    Where did our farm system rank when Dombrowski left?
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