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Kimmi

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Everything posted by Kimmi

  1. It's time to start winning against our division rivals. Let's go!
  2. I understand all of that. As I posted earlier, signing Mookie now to a 10 year deal would be far preferable to waiting until he's a free agent to sign him to a 10 year deal. Also, it there were a player that I would give a year deal to, it would be Mookie. All that said, I'm don't think it's worth the risk. JMO.
  3. The Sox do have a budget, no matter how much people want to say or think otherwise. Sure, Henry could spend more if he wanted to, but he is not going to. Many of the same people who want to sign big name free agents to large contracts are the same people who then expect Henry to DFA the player and eat millions of dollars the minute the contract goes bad, and they almost always do. That is a lot easier said than done. It is not a realistic way to run a baseball team. We are fortunate that Henry is willing to do that to a certain extent. Eating Pablo's contract was huge. As a businessman, he cannot afford to this on a regular basis.
  4. No, it does not have to be a vastly inferior option, just a less expensive one.
  5. Great picture. It's funny how things like that work out. I love the beach, live 20 minutes from several beaches, and have the summers off, yet I rarely go to the beach. Go figure. Thank you for the kind words. It would be my pleasure.
  6. I've never seen them play west of Baltimore. LOL My ultimate dream is to see a game in every ball park, preferably when the Sox are playing.
  7. He even said something along the lines of, "Look at that fastball rise. Don't tell me a fastball can't rise!" I love Eck. "You don't want to lose your cheese." LOL
  8. Line up changes make little difference unless a manager is going to buck all tradition and go with a truly optimal line up, in which case it could make a difference of 2-3 games. Is any manager going to bat Barry Bonds in the lead off spot? Not that lead off would be his optimal spot, but that's the type of unconventional thing that I'm talking about. It goes so far against traditional thinking that it's not going to be done. Otherwise, tweaking a line up to bat Moreland 6th instead of 4th might make a difference of 2 runs over an entire season.
  9. Yes! Easily.
  10. With today's technology, working with that number of combinations is nothing.
  11. They have computers churning out this type of thing all the time. They run hundreds of thousands of simulations with every possible batting order. Yes, excluding human factors, which is not insignificant, the technology exists to come up with the optimal lineup. Without technology, a pretty optimal line up can be constructed by simply putting batters in order of decreasing OBP. That will work better than most of the traditional line ups out there.
  12. Some statistics work better as descriptive stats, others work better in their predictive value. No stat is foolproof or even close to being foolproof when it comes to predicting, but some are better than others. I'm sorry, but the argument that stats or studies are not valid because you can make stats say anything you want them to say simply does not hold a lot a water for the reasons mentioned in my previous post. It's a convenient way to dismiss something that you do not agree with.
  13. The problem with this argument is that the true stat geeks know better than to cherry pick or to use small sample sizes. We amateurs on the baseball forum do this type of thing all the time. The guys doing it for a living do not. In other words, they are not going to 'twist' their stats around to paint the picture that they want them to paint. You seem to be under the impression that the stat guys are out to prove traditional thinkers wrong, and that they purposefully set up their studies to get the results that they want. That's not the way statisticians work. They do not have such an agenda. They have professional ethics. They simply want answers. And if any stat geek attempted such a thing, his/her colleagues would never let it fly. He or she would be called out and shut down in a heartbeat. Trust me on that.
  14. I have no problem with Mookie leading off. You have to think beyond just RBIs. My preference for him would probably be 2nd, now that our line up has a slightly different look, but batting him first is perfectly fine.
  15. Laugh all you want. It would still not be a wise decision.
  16. This is why having the players on the farm ready to step in when guys like Betts are ready to walk is so important. Personally, I'd stick with the shorter term deals for 2nd tier type players rather than going all out to sign the superstars.
  17. Yeah, that's a little harsh. Until the last start, Porcello had been pretty good in his previous 7 starts.
  18. Very tall order, though I'd love to see that happen. If we can at least split with them, they don't gain any ground on us.
  19. Yeah, that looks like a tough stretch. Thankfully, we took care of business against Chicago like we needed to. One game at a time.
  20. No, that's not what I was trying to say. Farrell has gotten the memo on how the ideas of traditional line ups are changing. He has just not fully warmed up to the ideas yet. I don't think the top brass presses him too much about how he sets the line up anyway. They give him the pertinent data, but I think they let him set it the way he wants to, which is the way it should be. Farrell knows the players better than the rest of us do.
  21. Well, the top brass not including Dombrowski. Farrell is getting the memo from someone in the organization, for sure.
  22. I don't know about locking them up, but I really love their 1-2 defensive punch in the outfield.
  23. As I responded to one of the other posters, if we're going to give out a 10 year contract, Mookie would be the guy to give it to. And if we're going to give him 10 years, I would most certainly do it now rather than wait until he hits FA, which in essence makes it a 7 year deal. A 10 year contract is just something I can't get excited about. If we could lock him up now for 8 years, which is still a large contract, I'd be a lot more okay with that.
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