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Kimmi

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Everything posted by Kimmi

  1. Woot! Let's go!
  2. Why is it so important to get balls and strikes right but not that important to get every other call right?
  3. I agree with Thunder on his overall premise. What makes certain calls in the game any more important than other calls? Leave the robot umps, and instant replay for that matter, out of the game.
  4. They do. Recent data is not nearly as important as the longer term data (not entire career long).
  5. I'm not sure that analytics takes into account the specifics of that game. And as I've posted before, I do agree with everyone that the specifics of the game need to be taken into account when making a decision, rather than just going with analytics alone. As far as Anderson struggling in recent outings, analytics doesn't agree with making decisions based on recent outings. Decisions should be based on season long projections and numbers, both of which are updated as the season progresses.
  6. 'Spoiled' is not the correct choice of words here.
  7. As I just posted, we're not talking about an egregious decision, like batting your pitcher #1 in the line up. Managers are not going to make those types of moves. We are talking about staying with a very good pitcher who is working on his 3rd time through the line up versus a very good reliever who is facing the batters for the first time in the game. The difference in such a decision is incredibly small.
  8. First let me say that managers are not typically going to make moves that are so egregious, as Sullivan pointed out in his Fangraphs article. The decision would be more along the lines of using a very good set up man to close out a game versus using the regular closer to close out the game. For one, it would save your closer for the next night (or the one after that). So perhaps the manager costs the team 1/10 of a win by going with the set up man in tonight's game, but he'll gain that much of a win back the following night. Or vice versa. There are probably several other 'countereffects' based off of specific numbers or splits of the particular players involved.
  9. Fair enough. Analytics dictates a lot of things with the understanding that most changes are insignificant, such as batting order. One reason why managerial decisions have such little impact is because every decision that could affect the outcome of a game also has a countereffect.
  10. Our two main competitors, I think, the White Sox and the Tigers, are out.
  11. It's almost always the parents' fault.
  12. Oh, I wholeheartedly agree with that. The question is, will they? Will La Russa be able to communicate to the players in such a way that the players will buy into what he is saying?
  13. No, that's not what I said. I said that if the White Sox failed to contend, then it would be fair to question the choice of La Russa, and if they win the WS, then La Russa would be considered the right choice. I did not say that if the White Sox make it to the playoffs but fail to win the WS, that that makes La Russa the wrong choice. (There's a Geometry logic lesson in there somewhere. ) FTR, the same would hold true of any manager that the White Sox hired, including my beloved, analytically driven, and much younger Alex Cora.
  14. One of the writers made a good point against the Sox spending large. The Sox laid off a lot of employees during the pandemic due to 'financial hardship'. How would it look if they turned around and spend really big on players after that? I'm not saying they won't spend. I'm just saying this is a good point to keep in mind, not only for the Sox, but for all other teams who have let many employees go.
  15. Personally, I have never blamed Dombrowski for the 2019 season. In fact, I defended him many times on that count.
  16. Well if you're going to hold me to that statement, then yes.
  17. I have always said that analytics cannot be the end all be all. There has to be a balance between using analytics and using the human element side of the game. A manager and FO have to be willing to change their game plan mid course if the game calls for it. I believe that even the staunchest analytics supporters all agree with this. That said, if there is a 50-50 toss up between two decisions, one based on analytics and one based on the human element, I'm going with analytics. And yes, I absolutely believe that the difference between staying with one pitcher over another pitcher is incredibly small.
  18. Possibly. I am very interested to see how the market plays out this year. I'm thinking that many players will opt for 1-2 year contracts to see how things look once the whole pandemic thing clears up.
  19. As I said many times, I am 100% glad that Mookie turned down the offer and that the Sox did not spend that kind of money on him, or any player. This argument for me is not really about not being able to sign Mookie, but the state of the team in general, as far as having little flexibility in terms of both payroll and prospects.
  20. I'm using a bit of hyperbole, of course. Henry is at fault for hiring Dombrowski in the first place and not allowing Ben a chance to see his 5 year plan through. Henry knew what he was getting when he hired Dombrowski. IMO, Dombrowski did not have to go to the extreme that he went to in order to build a World Series Championship winner. Also IMO, we likely would have won a World Series if Ben had remained the GM. At the very least, we would have won a couple of division titles and made it to the playoffs in 2016, 2017, and 2018, with the outcome of the playoffs being a crap shoot. And, the team would be in better shape today, meaning we likely would have been in the playoffs this year.
  21. I would not give any credit to the previous manager. I would give credit to the previous GM, if that were the case here. The White Sox have a pretty good team, a contending team, do you agree? The White Sox should be projected to finish at or near the top of their division next season, do you agree? And this would be the case despite who the manager is. Therefore, if the White Sox don't contend, barring any serious injuries, I think it would be fair to question whether La Russa was the right choice. If the White Sox win the World Series next year, then La Russa will have been the right choice.
  22. Despite all the sarcasm, this post is spot on. The White Sox are a young team. Besides the whole old school versus new school argument as far as decision making goes (which really is not the important part of a manager's job), I'm not sure La Russa can relate well to these younger players, and as one writer put it, the way players do things these days. This is pure speculation on my part, of course. I think the White Sox would be better off with a younger manager. I think this was also a problem with Roenicke and the Sox this year.
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