Kimmi
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Everything posted by Kimmi
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Red Sox Stats @redsoxstats · 37m A sentence in The Athletic today: “the Rays tried hard to beat Bloom to Pivetta; ‘we think he can be another Glasnow,’ said a Rays official.” That should be worth something.
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We have a lot of uncertainty, but so does every other rotation in the AL East.
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The goal is to get the team to the point where we are in a position to win it every year. Like the Dodgers are. We should not be thinking in terms of windows. Even when the team looks poised to go for it, big moves should not be made if they don't also have a long term benefit for us. Keep the 'window' from ever closing on us.
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I'm thinking that the FO doesn't think of having a window built around Sale. They have said over and over again that their goal is sustainability. They are not just looking at what the team can do when Sale is with the staff. It all comes down to what makes sense for the short and long terms. Regardless of when they plan to go over the limit, they will need to be able to reset every 3 years or so (depending on the new CBA).
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"The 32-year-old (33 in April) has pitched to a 2.77 ERA with decent strikeout (22.0%) and walk (7.3%) rates in nine seasons at Japan’s highest level. "
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I don't know anything about the guy, but from what little I've read, he sounds like a pretty good pitcher. Red Sox Stats @redsoxstats · 3m Throw 96-99 mph with a splitter as his out pitch. Struggled to start last season and was traded, but returned to form with his new team posting a 1.71 ERA and 0.95 WHIP in 21 innings with 29 strikeouts. Also, no posting fee. I don't know what kind of deal they're working on, but the speculation has me excited.
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That's the spirit!
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If we look to be in the playoff hunt near the deadline, then I'm guessing Henry and Bloom will agree to go over the limit to make some needed additions.
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I do not disagree with this. What will likely end up making or breaking us is how healthy our rotation can stay.
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As of now, I give the advantage to the Yankees. But the offseason isn't over yet.
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I think this is a pretty fair assessment. The potential is there for us to be a very good team. As I mentioned elsewhere, it's difficult to know exactly how well this team will play because there is a pretty wide gap between floor and ceiling. I tend to be more optimistic than most, thinking that we will be closer to the ceiling than we are to the floor.
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I am confident that we will see a couple more additions. It won't be anything major, but a couple of bit pieces. We are still looking for a LH bench player and probably a reliever. And who knows? Bloom may have a surprise up his sleeve.
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Ownership should never base their offseason on whether the Yankees win the World Series or not.
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I don't think anyone is arguing that that the Yankees aren't the favorites to win the division. A shoe in? I wouldn't go that far. Barring something catastrophic, the Yankees will make the playoffs. What happens in the playoffs is an entirely different story. Just like last year when you said the Yanks were the AL favorite in the postseason because no one could match your #1 and #2 pitchers. How'd that work out?
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I kind of like Price too. I never liked his contract, but I was opposed to trading him last year.
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Yes, it has.
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And 5th best in win percentage.
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We are entering the season with a lot of unknowns, which makes it difficult to know exactly how good this team will be. I have confidence in Cora to get the most out of his players. I am extremely confident that JD will bounce back and fairly confident that Beni will as well. I really like our offense. IMO, our pitching will be much improved over last year. That might not be saying a lot, but it's not nothing either. Our defense remains suspect. I'm hoping Cora's influence helps there, especially with someone like Devers. I'm going with the computer projection models and saying 87 wins.
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I would not be opposed to signing Odorizzi, though I'm also fine if we don't sign him. How much Bloom spends next year will depend on how things go this year and what moves can be made that benefit both the short and long terms. I'm still not sure we'll be in the 'all in' phase yet, which is not to say that we won't improve and remain competitive. With that said, I think it's likely that we exceed the first tax limit next year.
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Me! Me! Me! I am very excited for this season to start. Who's with me?
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I have not denied that the Yanks will likely win the division. That does not preclude the Sox making it to the playoffs. It will be kind of fun when the Sox eliminate the Yanks in the postseason.
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If everything goes right, we'll be on our way to another ring. If more goes right than goes wrong, we will contend for the playoffs.
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The Sox are not currently in a place to make the all out moves. We'll get there, and we'll see Bloom make a big signing, but the timing is not right for that to happen now. IMO, Bloom is doing exactly what he needs to be doing.
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Agreed on both counts. As you know, I'm a strong believer in the 'playoffs are a crapshoot' notion. IMO, a GM's success really shouldn't be based on the team's success in the postseason and on WS Championships, but on regular season success and the strength of the team en route to the playoffs. That's not the way it usually works though. It's a moot point now, but how would Mookie's signing be viewed if the Dodgers did not win a championship during the entire contract? How would Dombrowski's moves be viewed if the Sox had not won in 2018?
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The Sox will have to be one of the top 5 teams in the AL to make the playoffs. Fangraphs currently has the Sox ranked 7th in the AL in terms of WAR. Not quite top 5, but not far off. More importantly: Fangraphs currently has the Sox ranked 5th in the AL in terms of win % at .543. Davenport currently has the Sox ranked 4th in the AL in terms of wins at 87. I don't have access to PECOTA projections, unfortunately. I realize that projections must be taken with a grain of salt, but the projections still reflect what the teams look like on paper. People are not happy with the less than flashy moves that Bloom made this offseason, and they are equating those underrated moves with the idea that the team will not be very good. The team is a lot better than most people are giving them credit for.
