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sk7326

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Everything posted by sk7326

  1. Still on the same pace as the 2021 team!
  2. Yeah. From my understanding - the big problem with the system in its AFL incarnation was that it simply was not calling enough strikes.
  3. This is where the rule changes were necessary ... "analytics" is about optimizing results given the context. You're not going to stop analytics the way you can't stop any other form of "trying to win". So - change the context! The limit on throws to first for instance ... the sport decided to eliminate one of the most boring plays (the throw to first) to incentivize one of the most fun ones (stolen bases). Analytics will have to catch up ... but I appreciate baseball attemtping to shake up the equation.
  4. We're repeating the path to the 2021 ALCS!
  5. Well - considering what happened last time we opened up at home against the Orioles ... should take this as a good sign.
  6. Okay new guy - time to be a hero
  7. Yes - especially since you have to account for the possibility that Sale gets attacked by locusts in the 2nd inning of his start.
  8. This has a chance to be the league's worst defensive OF.
  9. I will say Chaim is on the block. Henry has actually been fairly predictable - when fans get mad at him, he will swing the axe. It is almost all straight public pressure. The 3 GMs he let go previously all did exactly what he wanted them to do for the most part.
  10. It's still not good - but full season players are being paid enough to live more or less.
  11. Story wasn't a dice roll - a Top 10 Free Agent doesn't really qualify (and of course it has not gone well) But 2021 got the names you had - Kike was a signing for the 2021 season so that counts ... it had a chance to work, but he was a utility player. And you left off getting Garrett Whitlock in the Rule V draft - the biggest win of them all.
  12. Not a shock. Rafaela has work to do. We also know that lately - in general - the team's best prospects have not spent much time in AAA anyway.
  13. I think Chaim takes a lot of the bullets that really should be for ownership. A lot of the big decisions are really Henry ones. Bloom did take a bunch of dice rolls in 2021 an it largely worked. Last year the dice rolls failed. This year we'll see. I do think some of the moves (especially with the pitching staff) have a little bit higher floor.
  14. 28 seems reasonable. The homeruns won't be the same - and weren't a year ago. I think the hope is the team can succeed offensively working counts and not striking out.
  15. The thing with albatross contracts in baseball compared to say the NFL - is that the definition of albatross is very much up to the individual owner.
  16. It's terrible. Seriously, a salary cap would be fine if it required the smaller teams to actually spend.
  17. They are - but some aren't. I mean - the correlation between current performance and farm system ranking is dicey ... after all a lot of time the farm has just graduated their best fruit to the big club.
  18. Bello would help Boston for sure by a couple of spots. The major prospects outlets (MLB, Fangraphs, ESPN, Athletic) have the Red Sox between 14 and 24 - and really all of the variance comes down to how you feel about the organizational pitching. The Sox have done a good job building pitching inventory - but they need a few of the guys to deliver some of the "higher end" outcomes.
  19. Spring training doesn't matter - in that there are not necessarily a lot of roster spots that will be determined by performance in pretend games. The tough thing about individual results is that you have to figure out what is noise and what is meaningful improvement.
  20. I think MLB could do it without giving up revenue! We played a season this year with a 1-week delay and nobody cared.
  21. The team will hit enough. Yoshida looks like (from the eye test/WBC small sample) he should be at least an average bat in LF. The team should be able to score enough. It all comes down to run prevention. The pitching has upside and numbers - but you point out the uncertainty well. The team might have one of the league's worst outfields defensively - can they be improvements rangewise on potted plants out there. (that said, that could clean up very quickly if a certain tiny centerfielder in Portland/Worcester makes another developmental leap) I am thinking 84-78, but I have no idea what that will mean standingswise.
  22. Yes. And of course - from a 30,000 foot view - the sport is better for a non-US team winning.
  23. When I see what it means to other teams, my own cynicism about the WBC goes away. That was fun. But I think having ramped up pitchers and players would be better. I'd still think about cancelling the All Star Game and just playing the WBC during the break. Also allows cold weather markets to bid - more $$$ for the league. Another way might be to take a week off in May for the Group Stage games and then play the knockout games over the All Star Break.
  24. Any start where Chris Sale is not struck by lightning or hit by a Mack truck - or abducted by aliens is a good sign.
  25. The Nimmo deal is risky as is the Diaz one (even before the injury) But other big money stuff they have done is pretty decent business ... the Verlander and Quintana deals are good values. The Dodgers are clearly the rainbow and what every team in the Sox' position should be aspiring to - particularly in the development side.
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