sk7326
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Everything posted by sk7326
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yeah everybody but Pareles IMO at least. I mean Priester is still younger than Fitts.
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He is a bad contract ... but up to .353 OBP, so the one thing he does bring to the table is coming around
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Yeah Yorke for Priester is a super interesting deal ... but it was something that they would have done regardless of buy/sell priorities. Each team traded from surplus for something they lacked. Pittsburgh got the surer thing - that doesn't mean Yorke will be a star or anything, but that he can play 2B/LF on an entry level contract and deliver value there. But the Sox - under the Breslow-Bailey regime have already shown some evidence of being able to get some additional performance out of pitchers. (Perales and Houck most notably) Perhaps there is some low hanging fruit there to unlock some serious talent inside Priester. Boston could have A) traded Yorke for a #5 starter/swing arm most likely, just put him into the lineup to see if he can help over the 2B pu pu platter or C) make a trade like this to at least get some starting pitcher ceiling ... C is the most speculative, but I understand it
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Some of the speficis from Law Mayer - the power and hard contact have continued, even knowing he is having issues with sliders down and in. Still looks like a plus defender at SS. While you should not expect him in Boston this year, it's not out of the question either. Teel - not a ton of plus tools but solid or better across the board, he could play in Boston now Anthony - Pitchers know he has trouble with offspeed stuff and are crushing him with it. But he is also just 20 in AA - so there is plenty of time to figure it out. Montgomery - if he had two healthy ankles, the Sox don't get him. Looks like a true switch hitter. Solid defense in RF, and more growth potential than you'd expect from a 21 year old SEC player. Campbell - arguably the biggest breakout of the minors in MLB. He is NOT going to maintain a .466 BABIP, but the hand-eye coordination is legit and he has been able to get to more game power than he showed in college.
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Considering the bag he got - Cora got some solid insurance from the Red Sox.
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This. That said, the sort of deal that would make trading one of the top 3 or 4 prospects palatable would be hard to do at the deadline - and might not very well exist. Pitching is more volatile - but you also need a pitcher to play the game. If you don't draft and develop pitching, you have to trade for it. As far as the deadline goes? I think trading Yorke makes sense - teams will want a cheap big capable starter - again the right deal. I would not be super precious about it. Conor Wong is an interesting sell high idea, but it is so hard to find good catching and it'd be a big bet on Teel defensively. More importantly, the Sox have won enough games here to be educated buyers.
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I need to hear more from the folks who follow prospects for a living whether Kristian Campbell has made it a Big 4.
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2024 MLB Draft
sk7326 replied to Fan_since_Boggs's topic in MLB Draft, International Signings, Amateur Baseball
It sounds like they are looking at him as a two-way. More notably, if letting Cason play shortstop makes it easier to sign him, then sure, why not? -
Realistically with Grisson, he has to hit. That is his case as a big leaguer - a hitter who can defend fine at 2B (though he was actively bad there this season).
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True - though there is nothing about Story or Hamilton or anybody who should block him. Well, maybe if Story finds his Colorado form, but let's take the under on that.
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The injury rate compared to college cohorts is stark. Taking them is fine, but the risk-reward in Round 1 is not there.
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The record of 1st round high school pitchers is terrifying compared to the other cohorts.
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Yeah, it's silly. Baseball draft should just be best prospect all the time - though taking high school pitching early is a recipe for disappointment. The SS thing to me is - get good athletes, and they will figure it out.
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SoxProspects also projects him to be able to stay there ... Again, life comes at you fast ... but Mayer's biggest weakness is that he just has not been healthy enough. Hopefully this year is a good sign.
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There is no evidence that he can't stay as an above average to plus SS There is a platoon split ... but we also have a .837 OPS as one a young regular in Double-A. The only real reason to be cool on him is his injury history. I will also note that the offspeed pitch issue has just not had time to get resolved because he has just been hurt. The big thing this year is that he makes it through a full season.
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It's also not a good crop overall - after the quality of last year, it looks like a big dropoff this year. Of course there will be good players from the class - there always are. As far as the reporting goes (and the mocks are about intel not how they are rated on ESPN or Athletic big board) - based on the reporting/intel from McDaniel and Law, some names to watch Konnor Griffin, SS/OF, Jackson, MS - the top rated high school position player, per Law, tools to go #1 overall, but still raw and would have been the sort of guy to send to Lowell before MLB got rid of short season Christian Moore, 2B, Tennessee - Not overwhelming tools-wise, but the Statcast models elevate him Trey Yesavage, RHP, East Carolina - top college arm in this area Ryan Waldschmidt, OF, Kentucky Nick Kurtz, 1B, Wake Forest Because there is no iron lock superstar in this draft (outside of Condon, maybe) - the bonus demands could really screw up the draft order. One nice thing is the Sox are not misers there - and they have had guys fall to them (like Teel last year) due to other teams portfolio managing bonuses and such.
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It's wild if this is just a matter of getting out of Portland.
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The top 4 seems pretty clear cut right now - I'd put Mayer #1 still ... but if Campbell can really settle in at CF things get very interesting. I mean the hot streak has lasted half a season now.
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the extensions were highly speculative - but in the economics of baseball, Bello and Rafaela's AAVs are virtually nothing.
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Bill James blasts current day baseball statisticians
sk7326 replied to jung's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
The Red Sox have been an above average offense with a top 10 OBP and are one of the best baserunning teams in the whole league. A lot of what has been quantified is stuff people have been trying to do ever since baseball began - hit more homeruns, make better contact, make curvier curve balls, generate velocity. I am not sure how attempts to measure that have made life bad. Pitching is where the problems are with baseball - and really THAT comes down to just sheer effort. What is also clear is that the notion that teams should limit innings to guys on the way up - is just not working for preventing injuries. -
Bill James blasts current day baseball statisticians
sk7326 replied to jung's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
Bill in a lot of areas has become an enormous crank. -
7/7 Sox @ Yankee Stadium, 7:05
sk7326 replied to Maxbialystock's topic in Mike Grace Memorial Game Thread Forum
there is a *bleep* ton of power in that teeny tiny body -
The thing is he has been terrible at SS defensively while as advertised in CF ... and I imagine that has hurt some of his development all around. I don't blame the Sox for doing it - Cora is trying to win games - but it is what it is. If he stays at CF full time and can put up a .700 OBP with the power he has, that's a solid starter. He is also a guy who HAS shown improvement at each stop up the ladder.
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True - though none of them had stretches in the bigs anywhere close to Duran and Houck.
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Right. Like Story is made of glass, but an actual good player. Yoshida at this point just doesn't do anything all that well.