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Bellhorn04

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Everything posted by Bellhorn04

  1. Bellhorn04
    There is really no doubt who is the single individual most responsible for Mookie Betts's departure. It's Mookie Betts. He's too darn good at baseball. If he was only, say, 10% less good, we would have been able to re-sign him. (Just trying for a little humor.)
  2. Bellhorn04
    Sorry if it sounded that way, but I didn't mean to hold you to it. I was just looking for clarification.
  3. Bellhorn04
    Say it's the ninth inning and you have a one-run lead. You have 5 pitchers available in the bullpen, one of whom is your closer - let's say he's been pitching nearly as well as 2013 Koji - and the other 4 are mediocre. What is the countereffect of using your closer, as logic would dictate?
  4. Bellhorn04
    And yet analytics seems to dictate frequent pitching changes. It's no wonder this stuff gets confusing.
  5. Bellhorn04
    Personally, I'm fine with cleaning up after the party. We survived 2014 and 2015. We survived 2019 and 2020, and we'll survive 2021 if necessary.
  6. Bellhorn04
    As for all the talent DD traded away, I know we've been over this a few times, but the fact is that we don't know if any of that talent would have made much difference to our present situation. Only one of those players has had a season with an fWAR higher than 2.1. That was Moncada in 2019.
  7. Bellhorn04
    Also, prior to trading Mookie and Price, we still had a pretty big contingent left from the 2018 team.
  8. Bellhorn04
    All extraneous to the issue of keeping Mookie or not.
  9. Bellhorn04
    Oh, I know. But it ignores the crucial facts of the Mookie situation. Uppermost being that Mookie turned down $300 million from us, and then signed for not a whole lot more than that.
  10. Bellhorn04
    Yes, I was a little surprised Kimmi said they'd have to win the Small Sample Crapshoot.
  11. Bellhorn04
    We don't really know how many guys were enhanced in those days, though. We probably don't want to know.
  12. Bellhorn04
    With regard to the Red Sox luxury tax situation going into 2020, it's totally fair to say that it was on Ben as much as Dave. In 2018, the first year they went over the limit, the threshold was 197 million and the payroll for tax purposes was about 240 million. That 240 million included 55 million for HanRam, Pablo and Pedroia. If not for the 55 million of dead money they would have been at 185 million and paid no tax. That doesn't include the 12 million for Castillo that didn't count for tax purposes. So if you want to point fingers at who put the Red Sox into the tax squeeze, point one at Dave and one at Ben.
  13. Bellhorn04
    The Red Sox offer was $300 million. Mookie signed for $365 million. (Leaving out the pandemic and the deferred money factor which brought the present value down to *ugh* $307 million.) It all came down to a difference of $65 million. Less than we blew on Pablo, or Hanley, or Castillo, or any of Dave's big contracts. A pittance in the overall picture.
  14. Bellhorn04
    With side orders of pandemic-related losses and uncertainty about 2021.
  15. Bellhorn04
    You said Dombrowski is 100% responsible for the Sox not being able to keep Mookie. Do you believe that or not?
  16. Bellhorn04
    To me, blaming Dombrowski for Mookie is scapegoating. It's finding a convenient target. Is it Dombrowski's fault that Mookie turned down $300 million or that he always seemed so determined to become a free agent? Obviously not.
  17. Bellhorn04
    Well, I disagree 100% about the 100%, and I'm surprised you think so. John Henry and Tom Werner are the guys who decide when enough is enough. And they did offer Mookie $300 million, and he turned it down. No one has disputed that.
  18. Bellhorn04
    As a manager, his teams have won 6 pennants and 3 championships, and made the playoffs 14 times. (The other ring was as an executive with the Red Sox.)
  19. Bellhorn04
    Kimmi, that post was directed solely at notin. He and I have been having a spirited running debate about whether DD is the guy who was really responsible for the Sox not being able to keep Mookie. And let me make clear - although I defend DD against certain criticisms, I'm happy that we replaced him with Bloom.
  20. Bellhorn04
    And you're also not a fan of bullpen games, or starting pitchers getting pulled so early. So you do sort of have some contradictions going on, maybe.
  21. Bellhorn04
    Yeah, it's not really necessary to list every single player that becomes available here.
  22. Bellhorn04
    Yes, there were a lot of changes before analytics. But they came (and went) a little more gradually. The recent ones have come in more of an onslaught...
  23. Bellhorn04
    The effect on the actual game is much more noticeable now. -Defensive shifts. -Hitters trying to launch the ball, producing more home runs and strikeouts. -Bullpen games. -Starters being pulled early so they don't face hitters a third time. As I say, it'll be the fans who ultimately judge whether the game is better or worse as a result.
  24. Bellhorn04
    I expect NFL football to be a highly technological game. It has been for a long time. I don't like it so much with baseball. And I know a lot of other people feel the same. It's not about being right or wrong, there's no such thing. What ultimately matters is whether it has a major impact on fan interest or not.
  25. Bellhorn04
    That play a couple of years ago when Mookie made a catch and then pulled out his cheat sheet and waved it because he was perfectly positioned. Some people thought that was great. But it made me kind of sick to my stomach.
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