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Bellhorn04

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Everything posted by Bellhorn04

  1. Bellhorn04
    Looney Tunes.
  2. Bellhorn04
    If he's either going to be zero or 3+, then a projection of 1.6-1.8 makes sense. Maybe he gives you half a season pitching like a 3+. Porcello is much more likely to pitch a whole season. It's all guesswork, needless to say.
  3. Bellhorn04
    The risk is that the Yankees count on Taillon to be their #2 starter and he pitches poorly or has health issues. It could cost them that way. Both the Yankees and Red Sox rotations are loaded with risky propositions.
  4. Bellhorn04
    The second sentence was attempted humor.
  5. Bellhorn04
    I think we might be talking about 2 different kinds of risk here.
  6. Bellhorn04
    She's talking about the risks with Taillon's performance/health status after missing most of the last 2 seasons.
  7. Bellhorn04
    At the end of 2022, JD, Eovaldi and Price's 16 mill all come off the books. The only long term contracts on the books after 2022 are Sale and Bogey, and Bogey has an opt-out.
  8. Bellhorn04
    Perfect.
  9. Bellhorn04
    They're going over, I think. Bloom has been working on JH to loosen up and have fun.
  10. Bellhorn04
    Our roster is kind of a squiggly shape.
  11. Bellhorn04
    You're wrong about that, harm. Chris Sale and Mookie Betts have reduced AAV's because of deferred money. They do a present value calculation now.
  12. Bellhorn04
    The puzzle is how we can be one of the teams still linked to Ozuna, if JH doesn't want to go over the $210 M.
  13. Bellhorn04
    Gotta be Dalbec. Bringing back Moreland for a platoon might be nice.
  14. Bellhorn04
    Sure, but nobody knew who Brock Holt was when we traded for him. And Kike Hernandez is hardly a non-entity, having played in 58 postseason games with the Dodgers over the last 6 years.
  15. Bellhorn04
    Maybe it means JH doesn't care that much about the tax this year.
  16. Bellhorn04
    So let me understand: you're trying to make a connection between willing to pay Enrique Hernandez $14 million, and not being willing to pay Mookie Betts $400 million?
  17. Bellhorn04
    Hopefully the new CBA comes up with a better system than this one, where spending a few extra mill on your team can be seen as a disaster.
  18. Bellhorn04
    Another way to look at it, though: Right now our tax payroll is about $186 mill, with $24 mill to spend before hitting $210 mill. If we spend $29 mill, we're $5 mill over, which would result in $1 mill tax. So the tax would represent a miniscule fraction of total cost. Obviously it would also put us into the Year 2 tax rates for 2022, if the CBA doesn't make any fundamental changes to the structure.
  19. Bellhorn04
    Maybe. Who knows? The current CBA expires at the end of 2021 so we don't know what the rules will be for 2022.
  20. Bellhorn04
    If we assume JH refuses to pay any tax this year...
  21. Bellhorn04
    I think the only meaningful criticism is that it seems like an overpay in annual salary. But Profar got 3 @ $7 mill. Certain profiles get paid better some years. Supply and demand stuff, I guess.
  22. Bellhorn04
    Looking forward to seeing how much the deferred money lowers the AAV. Which is a little sick, I know.
  23. Bellhorn04
    tbd
  24. Bellhorn04
    Hernandez actually played a lot the last few seasons.
  25. Bellhorn04
    But would you call it a thriving market, with 60% of free agents unsigned on Jan. 23?
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