Bellhorn04
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Everything posted by Bellhorn04
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When we signed Story I compared his fWAR per game to Bogey's and it was just slightly lower, so yes, they were very close.
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Agree 100%.
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I think it's 2 concerns now: 1) Can he stay healthy? 2) Can he still catch up to high heat?
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I notice the "T word" is really getting a lot of play lately.
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You have to keep in mind we're a lot older now so that changes the perspective hugely. Corey Seager is an awesome player and should be recognized as such.
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As long as people are betting like lunatics on the games, it's all good!
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Hopefully it wasn't a booze thing like Derek Lowe in 2004. I'm only saying that because it's so outrageous and wrong.
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Craig Breslow hired as Head Of Baseball Operations
Bellhorn04 replied to Tedballgame's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
Different Gray! -
VerduGottaGo.
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lol
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That is rather absurd.
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You must have mis-read my post, which was about signing Yamamoto and Snell.
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Sale and Pivetta, based on who was pitching best at the end of the season. Followed by Bello or Crawford.
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I'd take it. I'm just saying we can't count on 84 wins getting us in the playoffs next year. Hey, isn't 84 the same number that much-despised 2019 Red Sox team won?
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You also can't leave out the fact that the DBacks were extremely lucky to get in the playoffs with 84 wins.
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Renfroe must be a bad drunk or always hitting on other players' wives and girlfriends, because he gets sent packing by every team he plays for.
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I think it's extremely unlikely we sign the top two targets. If we get one of Yamamoto, Snell or Nola we'll be doing well.
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I can answer for notin. He wants a starting pitcher in the Sonny Gray price range and he wants Chapman. He's open to trading Duran + for a pitcher. He thinks mega-expensive free agent pitchers are a horrible investment.
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Craig Breslow hired as Head Of Baseball Operations
Bellhorn04 replied to Tedballgame's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
STORK is the board's untouchable troll. -
The 2023 regular season DBacks were not much better than the 2023 regular season Red Sox except in the W-L record. The 2023 DBacks highlight the magnification of the crapshoot factor that has resulted from the expansion of the field to 12. Any discussion of the DBacks has to be put in that context. As it pertains to the Red Sox going forward, the question is do you try to put together a team that has a shot at 85 wins and the big crapshoot, or do you aim a little higher to give yourself more of a margin for error? Because there's no guarantee 85 wins will get you in, even if an 84 win, -15 run differential team is your 2023 champs.
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Gallen 2023 fWAR 5.2 Kelly 2023 fWAR 3.2 Conclusion: Gallen pitched at ace or near-ace level this year. Kelly pitched like a solid #2. My personal, informal definition of "ace", which is sort of meant to be funny but might also be perfectly accurate, is that the fan consensus definition of "ace" is a guy who is either a lock for the Hall of Fame or looks like they're on a Hall of Fame track. Most pitchers that everyone calls an ace are in the Hall of Fame or on their way there.
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You're presenting no data as to why. This is based solely on the general premise that we need starting pitching more than anything, which I do agree with. But you'd have to do a dive into projected WAR to compare these players. I suspect Chapman's projected 2024 WAR will be a bit higher than Montgomery's, although Monty did have a higher fWAR in 2023.
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Man, we will argue about anything here LOL
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Based on their run differential of -15, the DBacks have no more right to be in the World Series than the Red Sox. They were extremely fortunate to make the playoffs.
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Craig Breslow hired as Head Of Baseball Operations
Bellhorn04 replied to Tedballgame's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
Yes, it has multiple benefits. You get higher draft picks, you keep big contracts off the books, you bank more money. Then when the time is right you go for it. The Cubs and Astros did it to perfection.
