Bellhorn04
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Everything posted by Bellhorn04
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Minnesota has to go play 4 in Cleveland before we meet up. Detroit plays 3 in KC and then goes to Baltimore. So the slim chances are still there. "Every game is huge now!" - Cap'n Obvious
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6.4 fWAR 6.3 bWAR This trade is going to end up a 6-7 win difference-maker this year.
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They really sold Chris short. Pun very much intended.
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At the end of the day, saying we need to add wins is not wrong. It's just not detailed enough for us analytical types.
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Two weeks of the new Talk Sox, thoughts?
Bellhorn04 replied to Brock Beauchamp's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
It's great. The place has been re-energized. -
I have noted that you subscribe to the belief that the best reliever should be used when most needed regardless of the inning. I think it's a perfectly valid position and it is shared by others. I have also noted that most managers are still hesitant to do it consistently unless it's the playoffs. And Cora is kind of conventional in that area. Or his attitude is that guys like Kelly have to get it done or they're screwed anyway, because you can't hold leads with only 2 good relievers.
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I think Bello must have wrapped up the 2024 E-Rod Golden Rabbit's Paw Award given annually to the Sox starter with the best run support and most fortunate W-L record. He has been pitching a lot better, though.
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The way our pen has been going, Cora must sometimes feel like a man playing Russian Roulette with 4 bullets in the gun.
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I thought notin was being facetious, but maybe not. I will say that Yoshida has been giving glimmers of becoming a steady .800 - .825 OPS guy.
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I said I couldn't figure out how our WAR could be so much higher when our run differential was the same. You gave the reasons. It appears that the difference is because of random factors that can't really be controlled for. So the only way to chase more wins is to chase more of what makes up WAR.
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If we say we need to add more WAR, it's pretty much the same thing. The ultimate objective of WAR is to translate positive and negative play values into wins.
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Oh, I don't feel sorry for him either. He's not dumb, he could see why the Sox have developed a terrible rep for how they treat their CBOs and he took the job anyway. I'm sure he has a good salary. I hope he invests it wisely.
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Yes, I think they misled Breslow, and I think he told us so in his carefully coded quote about how his understanding of the organization's objectives had shifted after further discussions.
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Yes, if Kennedy has a shred of honesty (ha ha) he's going to have to admit that they failed again and in fact outdid themselves, they failed SPECTACULARLY in view of expectations for improvement.
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- chaim bloom
- dave dombrowski
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Excellent article that doesn't sugar-coat the problem in the slightest. I've tried to support Ceddanne's approach but as the article says, this is likely to only get worse as pitchers simply stop throwing him hittable strikes. And it does make that $50 million commitment look worrisome.
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I don't really blame Bloom that much. I think he did okay given the constraints. The "culture change" referenced in the article says it all. Henry took what wasn't broke and fixed it.
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What do we say about Breslow and Bailey and the Driveline team's work with the 2024 bullpen? How's that revamped analytical approach paying off? Good thing Bailey has these guys throwing only their best pitches though, I guess. Just imagine what it would look like if they weren't...
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Cleveland, KC and Detroit are all much improved over 2023. That's the way this stuff usually works. The Red Sox, mind you, are one of the really consistent teams the past 3 seasons. 😒
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It's stunning that as bad and as costly as we and Tom Werner thought the defense was in 2023, it got even worse in 2024. 3 more errors but 32 more unearned runs. So I guess it's either: -Bad luck/randomness or -Pitchers melting down even worse than last year after errors
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In this case the W-L records and run differentials are BOTH virtually identical to 2023. I'll stick with run differential as the go-to team stat.
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My problem with using the 'surprising success' of the 2024 team as a defense of Bloom is that I don't consider 2024 to be a surprising success. I consider it a resounding failure. We're a horrific 21-32 in our last 53 games and we're on target to be the first Red Sox team since the 1964-1966 teams* to finish under .500 3 years in a row. We can find some isolated instances of success like Abreu and Refsnyder, but that's not much consolation in the big picture. * If you count 1994 as a season the 1992-1994 teams would be the last.
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Somethin' doesn't compute. I'm off to play golf, I'll have to let you guys figure it out.
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So how come our run differential is virtually the same?
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Counting on a 36 year old pitcher coming off injury...hmmm...
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Revisiting The Christian Vazquez Trade Two Years Later
Bellhorn04 replied to Amrit Brown's topic in Talk Sox Front Page News
Vazquez did have a crazy good CERA that postseason. I don't think the Astros regret the move.
