But haven't we agreed that in some situations it's preferable to walk them?
The OPS generated by a walk is 1.000.
The OPS generated by a homer is 5.000.
And that doesn't factor in the impact of men on base.
Sure, you can attack a guy's weakness, but if your pitch misses its target just a little and "catches too much plate", you're in big trouble.
OK, but it's less of an obvious move to pitch around a hitter in those situations when there's a dangerous guy behind him.
Honestly I think that's the only real point that everyone should agree on.
OTOH, if you flip the scenario to a defensive one, there are definitely situations in which you would rather walk the other team's best hitter than pitch to him.
The situational factor is pretty key here I think.
Where Devers has really struggled this year is hitting with multiple men on base.
1-2 35 PA .698 OPS
1-3 16 PA .558 OPS
2-3 11 PA .705 OPS
1-2-3 6 PA .000 OPS
Total 68 PA 142 men on base 1 HR 28 RBI
It really has been an issue this year, he has squandered some big opportunities. I expect most of it is randomness, but it has been a thing.
The simplest thing is to repeat what I said:
If bWAR for pitchers is based on ERA, it should just be ignored.
As we've discussed many times, ERA is heavily influenced by team factors-defense and bullpen.
So why are you using bWAR for pitchers?
He was a minus defender at 2B in his stints with Atlanta too.
Of course this move was not about defense. Seems like it was about getting a cheap RH bat.
Griss was worse than replacement level in his 23 games last year, .659 OPS, total absence of power, s***** on defense, but yeah, he's your instant solution to 2B for 2024!