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Bellhorn04

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Everything posted by Bellhorn04

  1. Bellhorn04
    Those were the weirdest moves Theo ever made.
  2. Bellhorn04
    I was always surprised that we got this many prospects back. But you're probably right that the trade had to be structured this way to be allowed by the Commissioner.
  3. Bellhorn04
    When it comes to my own somewhat pessimistic projection of 84-78, I think I am being influenced by two things as much as anyone else is: the 'bottom line' effect and the 'recency' effect. Both of those effects fix on the indisputable facts that we were 69-93 last year and that we haven't made any huge upgrades on paper. Getting more specific about key players, I don't think there's any getting past our two best starters, Lester and Buchholz. Last year they had ERA's of 4.82 and 4.56 respectively. If you stick with the bottom line and the recency, you can't assume that they will be better than that in 2013. Sure, Lester pitched better than that the last 2 months, and Buchholz had a great stretch of games in mid-season. But no amount of parsing makes the 4.82 or the 4.56 go away. I'll say this: if both Lester and Buch can at least give us a combined 390 innings and each knock at least a run off their ERA's, the Red Sox should make the playoffs.
  4. Bellhorn04
    Wouldn't Cody Ross be the heavy bomber type who benefitted considerably from Fenway? Ross hit .298 with 39 extra base hits at Fenway, .232 with 18 extra base hits on the road. Ross's career BA is .262, Napoli's is .259.
  5. Bellhorn04
    We're all just speculating. But if Napoli's hip condition was that serious surely they would have just walked away rather than keep their first base situation in limbo this long. Makes more sense to me that the two sides are dickering over the contract language. As for excited, a few three-run bombs long gone over the Monster will take care of that. Yeah, I'm one of the people who still wants Napoli.
  6. Bellhorn04
    But we traded Lillibridge to Cleveland for reliever Jose De La Torre, who actually had pretty good numbers in the minors last year. And Lillibridge had 123 PA's for Cleveland after only 16 with the Red Sox.
  7. Bellhorn04
    I think Cabrera qualifies as a 'generational' hitter. His career OPS of .956 is 20th on the alltime list.
  8. Bellhorn04
    He has 'some' value but it's pretty small. I could see another team asking for him as a throw-in. I mean, two teams actually agreed to take Brent Lillibridge in trades last year.
  9. Bellhorn04
    This reminds me of the 'ace' debate. There's no objective definition for any of these terms, at least not that I'm aware of.
  10. Bellhorn04
    No argument that Swisher is a much better hitter than Victorino. But you need guys who can catch the ball too. You have to consider the total player. Victorino will be able to move to centre to replace Ellsbury if we move him.
  11. Bellhorn04
    Aw c'mon, Sport, Cherington has signed 6 free agents in a relatively short period and is now in discussions on Hanrahan. You may not like the moves but I think he's at least putting to rest the inertia stuff.
  12. Bellhorn04
    Yes, agreed.
  13. Bellhorn04
    Breaking news: the Giants have claimed Sandy Rosario off waivers from the Cubs.
  14. Bellhorn04
    New rumor is the Pirates want Iglesias.
  15. Bellhorn04
    Ludicrous.
  16. Bellhorn04
  17. Bellhorn04
    Possibly, but don't overlook that the O's were 38-20 down the stretch and their two best starters, Tillman and Gonzalez, were basically only with them the second half. I really expected them to add a big bat in the offseason but it looks like Angelos refused to spend a dime on upgrading.
  18. Bellhorn04
    We'll see. Last year 3 teams won 90 games and the 4th team is the Jays. I guess you're expecting a big dropoff by the Yankees and Orioles.
  19. Bellhorn04
    LMAO. What a dreamer. Has anybody even offered him 2?
  20. Bellhorn04
    No, LaRoche is no fool...he's sitting tight because he knows the Sox could become the highest bidder for his services. LaRoche already joked that he might not sign until April 1.
  21. Bellhorn04
    Assuming we sign Napoli or LaRoche, my prediction at this point would be 84-78 and out of the playoffs. Which doesn't mean I'm unhappy about the general offseason strategy. But my optimism is directed more toward 2014. Go prospects.
  22. Bellhorn04
    It is kind of amazing this can drag on so long. If the reports are right the Sox asked to take it back to two years. Napoli said no thanks. So then what? A 2 week game of Texas Hold 'Em to decide who wins?
  23. Bellhorn04
    The updated numbers I've seen, which do include all the add-ons, have us at about 168 million now or about 10 million under the cap. I'll update the numbers in the payroll thread when I get a chance.
  24. Bellhorn04
    Each WAR is worth about 5 million according to FanGraphs. Not saying I agree with it but that's the formula they use.
  25. Bellhorn04
    Not true. The average OBP for a major league shortstop last year was only .310. A .335 OBP for a shortstop is well above average.
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