Bellhorn04
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Everything posted by Bellhorn04
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No way in hell does that happen.
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I think the 3-4-5 would more likely be Ortiz-Hanley-Panda. Positions for Bogaerts and Castillo would depend on performance. I'd really love to see Napoli in that 6 slot.
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Nava's defence also had a big improvement according to the metrics.
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Nava is not a 'rather crappy starter' at all. In 113 games last year he had a 3.3 WAR per B-R and 2.6 per FanGraphs. Well above average.
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Ha...Nava will be with the Sox or some other MLB team...when will you learn not to write him off.
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FWIW this Jake Wesley kid is now tweeting some promising stuff about Lester...this kid apparently knows someone with the Red Sox.
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Maybe they trade Napoli and Hanley goes to 1B. There are enough scenarios to make your head spin. I'm sure they have a master plan all laid out.
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They gave him a starting price, sure, but it's been widely expected that he would get 130-150 million.
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Not necessarily. Pujols and Cano got $240 million. It all depends on his numbers and whether salaries ever do stabilize or if they climb some more. Right now the money is flowing in.
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He is. It's the team options for 2016 and 2017 that are at $10 million per.
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The chatter seems to be more like 8 million a year for Miller.
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5 @ 19 doesn't strike me as nuts anymore, the way contracts are going.
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You might be a little too demanding. Only 8 pitchers in all MLB reached 220 IP this year.
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Hopefully you're right. I was about to say that we don't know enough to judge whether the offer they made Lester was dumb or smart. If it was 5/100, that's dumb. If it was 6/150, that's also dumb. But if it was 6/126, that seems about right - and as you say, that wouldn't be their final number. We also don't know what else was said when they met, about where things go from there.
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What approach do you think they should have used?
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Hey UN, welcome back. I agree about Castillo not being expensive, but I'd be pretty surprised to see them sign him and trade him right away.
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Price is a perfect example. The package you get in return depends a lot on circumstances.
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And the Marlins would have him for 5 years for 125 million (depending on the structure) so it makes sense for them too. Of course they're carrying a ton of risk those 5 years (which could be mitigated by insurance?)
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It also seems like it's what the Marlins had to do.
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I think a realistic hope for Betts is that he's a 4-5 WAR player, roughly equivalent to Ellsbury level productivity - hopefully more consistent.
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You're very much in the minority about Betts. He tore up both AA and AAA before an impressive stint with the big team. His bat speed and his quickness are the real deal. Obviously it's no sure thing yet, but this kid is an exceptional prospect. Trading for Hamels is a double-pay, because you have to lay out $110 million, plus prospects. And we don't know how well he'd transition to the AL. His interleague numbers against AL teams are not good.
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I think trading Betts for Hamels is just about the worst idea possible. There are a lot of pitchers available. Betts is staying. The only guy worth trading him for was Stanton.
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It looks like the Marlins are pretty serious about keeping him around, for a while at least.
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When the Marlins signed Reyes, the contract was heavily backloaded, paying him only 10 million a year the first 2 years. Then they traded him after one year. I would expect to see some backloading with Stanton's contract as well.
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That makes sense, as a generality. But if we're going to apply this to Webster or another starting pitcher, all we have to do is look at the box scores for the games pitched.
