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Bellhorn04

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Everything posted by Bellhorn04

  1. Bellhorn04
    Well, it looks like the Sox really wanted to lock down that position for 2-3 years, because they paid a steep price for Kimbrel.
  2. Bellhorn04
    Understood. But the Sox payroll this year will be about $15 million over the luxury tax threshold, and that doesn't even include Moncada or Craig. You can't expect more spending than that IMHO.
  3. Bellhorn04
    You can never have enough pitching, that's for sure. I'm just not surprised they stopped where they did. We already have the highest payroll in team history and the asking price in trades was likely ridiculous.
  4. Bellhorn04
    What I mean is, the idea that we need a #2 sort of presupposes that Porcello and Buch will suck.
  5. Bellhorn04
    If Porcello and Buch both suck, we've got problems.
  6. Bellhorn04
    To be precise, Paps last contract had an AAV of 12.6 million including the vested option year.
  7. Bellhorn04
    Hey, this franchise has shown in recent years it can go from the basement to the penthouse and back in a flash.
  8. Bellhorn04
    Unfortunately Pablo has given the fans every reason to doubt him. He's made 4 errors in what looks like the equivalent of about 6 games. John Farrell will only say Pablo's defense is a 'work in progress'. What kind of comment is that to make about a veteran third baseman? With all the reps Shaw has been getting at third it's hard to escape the sense that the Sox are just about ready to pack it in with Pablo.
  9. Bellhorn04
    2 men on this team who are on thin ice: Sandoval and Farrell.
  10. Bellhorn04
    I think the light bulb finally went on for me.
  11. Bellhorn04
    OK let me try this. The closer position is overrated, not because it isn't important, but because it isn't that much more important than the guys who pitch the 7th and the 8th. To win games in the modern era you need to have a good 'late inning unit' of 3 pitchers (4 if you're really stacked). Starting pitchers average 6 innings, so bullpens are pitching roughly one third of the innings. A late inning unit of 3 guys will total 180 to 200 innings over the course of the season. But in general these will be very crucial innings, because they will typically only be used when the team is ahead after 6 innings, or tied - games that the team has a high probability of winning if the unit puts up 3 zeroes, or maybe 1 run.
  12. Bellhorn04
    And last year a team won the WS with a crappy starting rotation.
  13. Bellhorn04
    And yet in last year's World Series the team with the weak rotation and strong bullpen beat the team with the strong rotation and weak bullpen.
  14. Bellhorn04
    But the fact that the best closers can come out of nowhere doesn't necessarily translate to the position being overrated. Sometimes ace starters come out of nowhere too (like Jake Arrieta in 2015).
  15. Bellhorn04
    I get that, but UN's post was about the closer position being overrated. I'm asking if Koji's 2013 was overrated.
  16. Bellhorn04
    What about the adoration for Koji?
  17. Bellhorn04
    Some of the 'closer mystique', if there is such a thing, might come from the negative side of the job. Nobody forgets it when you blow a game in spectacular fashion. It can define a career in the wrong way - that happened to Donnie Moore and Calvin Schiraldi in a single postseason.
  18. Bellhorn04
    Papelbon's last 2 important outings were blown saves to end the Sox seasons in 2009 and 2011.
  19. Bellhorn04
    Did most of Hanley's butchery occur at Fenway last year? I'm still not convinced left field at Fenway is that easy. Simply because I've seen so much butchery out there over the years, I guess.
  20. Bellhorn04
    I get why that is, the number of innings mainly. Something nags at me that the WAR for closers is not necessarily an accurate measure of value. For instance in 2013 Koji's WAR was only 3.1. It seems a little low.
  21. Bellhorn04
    Baseball-Ref shows him with 0 errors in 2004, 7 errors in 2005 and 7 errors in 2006 for a total of 14 errors in his minor league career. http://www.baseball-reference.com/register/player.cgi?id=pedroi001dus
  22. Bellhorn04
    What year did Pedroia have 15 errors?
  23. Bellhorn04
    Yeah, he's come a long way since those 23 errors he made in 71 games last year in A ball...
  24. Bellhorn04
    Yep, our infield defense will be tremendous with Panda or Shaw, Moncada and Hanley comprising 3/4 of it.
  25. Bellhorn04
    It was kind of a dumb idea to say Young would get every AB against lefties. JBJ should have the opportunity to show he can hit lefties and be an everyday CF. I can't really believe Farrell would take that many AB's from JBJ unless he gets off to a bad start against lefties. We will see...maybe what Farrell really meant to say was that all Young's AB's will be against lefties (LOL)
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