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Bellhorn04

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Everything posted by Bellhorn04

  1. Bellhorn04
    Lights out for sustained periods is also pretty rare.
  2. Bellhorn04
    The players we need to bounce back the most are Porcello, Hanley and Panda.
  3. Bellhorn04
    That's a pretty big statement, because it implies that Ben is as good as Theo. To me Theo is strong in both areas, long term development and player acquisitions. Look at the solid, conservative additions he is making. Can't help but notice where both Lester and Lackey have ended up.
  4. Bellhorn04
    Depends what we're talking about, right? You're saying that just because a guy has a down season doesn't mean he's going to have a better one next year, which I agree with. But that's true in all sports, isn't it? In some ways the law of averages is absolutely respected by baseball. When a guy is on a hot streak because of a crazy high BABip we know it's only a matter of time before things reverse themselves.
  5. Bellhorn04
    And they're worse here. Think Boston but about 10 degrees colder every day.
  6. Bellhorn04
    I feel like the law is on our side this year. The law of averages, that is. We had a lot of X factors crap out last year. This year some of those x factors should go our way.
  7. Bellhorn04
    Very nice. Sometimes I wish I lived in Boston!
  8. Bellhorn04
    You're right. This rotation is built on hopes and prayers after Price. Having a much better bullpen is a big help though. And I think the Sox will definitely be willing to make a trade for a #2 starter if the need and the right opportunity present themselves.
  9. Bellhorn04
    It wasn't, not that there are usually a lot of great third basemen floating around. Free agency burns you most of the time anyway. Chase Headley pretty much sucked for the Yankees too.
  10. Bellhorn04
    You are quite a mischievous joker at times.
  11. Bellhorn04
    It was part of the package.
  12. Bellhorn04
    As Kimmi has pointed out numerous times, and correctly, Sandoval was the #1 free agent third baseman available that offseason. And we certainly needed a third baseman. So while it may have been a terrible signing, there's no real mystery why it happened.
  13. Bellhorn04
    Playoff numbers are generally considered to be even more variable, so even more useless. Which makes it so unlikely that they would have been a significant factor in signing Sandoval.
  14. Bellhorn04
    If Ben was such a big believer in playoff numbers, he would have wanted Lester and Lackey instead of Porcello and Kelly.
  15. Bellhorn04
    Sandoval had a fWAR of 3.1 in 2014, which is strictly regular season, and translated to a dollar value of $23.4 million by FanGraphs calculations. Those would be the types of numbers a guy like Cherington was looking at. Which would also explain why he went so big on Porcello - a guy who has just about zilch playoff pedigree.
  16. Bellhorn04
    I think they also expected him to be an upgrade at third base.
  17. Bellhorn04
    He was a fan favorite in San Fran. Lots of fat guys are popular with fans-if they produce. Sox fans loved Rich Garces.
  18. Bellhorn04
    Sandoval's regular season numbers were well above average for a third baseman in the current pitching-dominated phase of baseball. You've got nothing to support your theory. It's no big deal, we all have our pet theories. This is one of yours.
  19. Bellhorn04
    Just as there is no objective evidence that substantiates a belief that Ben was 'seduced by Panda's playoff performance'.
  20. Bellhorn04
    Coming into this season, his image was more like Kung Fu Panda the Playoff Stud among people who like that stuff - and there are a lot of them - that's why billions of dollars in merchandise are sold.
  21. Bellhorn04
    If you want to go with a theory that Pablo was signed for box office reasons rather than sound baseball reasons, that's fine, but I think that suggests the move was directed by Lucchino and/or Werner, not Cherington.
  22. Bellhorn04
    They offered him the same amount we did. He picked the Red Sox. Such is free agency.
  23. Bellhorn04
    I don't buy the 'playoff performance' thing for a second. The Giants did make a pretty strong effort to retain Sandoval, it should be noted.
  24. Bellhorn04
    Yes, I think Theo actually undervalued Beltre, something he doesn't often do. In a way we were hurt by the fact that we only signed Beltre to a one-year deal. If it had been a two-year deal we would have seen enough of him to fully realize how good he was.
  25. Bellhorn04
    Yes, but if Sandoval could return to his 2012-2014 norms, he's an overall 2.5 WAR player. That's what the Sox thought they were getting. Not a spectacular player by any means but a solid one.
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