Bellhorn04
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Everything posted by Bellhorn04
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With regard to Sale, I think any ideas that he was being phantom DL'd simply to reduce his innings have been put to rest.
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That's a pretty good point too.
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I see both sides. I agree with those who say a good closer is important. I agree with those who say $100 mill is too much for CK. The real question, more than likely, is how DD is going to replace him.
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I understand your position. Personally I think Devers is a bit more likely to win a game for us with his bat than he is to lose one with his fielding, especially if you have a late inning replacement lined up. But that could be wishful thinking on my part, admittedly.
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Why not just have a late inning defensive replacement lined up for him?
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Pretty well said jackso.
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Well, you probably don't have to worry about seeing him back next year.
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Jimmy Yacabonis
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Are you talking about negative game thread comments or the arguments about not re-signing him?
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Try to contain your excitement.
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He might have just lost his focus in such a meaningless game.
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I'm not bypassing IP. It's a given that starters pitch about 3 times as many innings as relievers. The question is how much do the other factors make up the difference in innings. Maybe the WAR numbers are the only way to compare. Then again, bWAR loves Kimbrel more than fWAR does. fWAR loves Porcello more than bWAR does.
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Xander the Great.
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fWAR Porcello 2.7 Kimbrel 1.6 bWAR Porcello 2.9 * Kimbrel 2.8 *Includes 0.2 offensive WAR
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You totally bypassed the point about the quality of the innings (Kimbrel having an ERA that's twice as good.) Also worth noting is that 'high leverage' probably should be broken down even further if you want to do a really accurate analysis. Within 'high leverage' would be PA's that are higher leverage than others.
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Leverage breakdown by PA: Porcello H 130 M 360 L 311 Kimbrel H 136 M 43 L 60 Kimbrel actually has more high leverage PA's. Another factor is that Kimbrel's ERA is about half of Porcello's, and has been over their careers. I do agree that Kimbrel would be overpaid at $20M, I'm just not sure by how much.
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I thought you subscribed to the idea that Rivera was a big difference-maker for those Yankee teams.
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We might have won the division without Bogaerts, or Bradley...in fact we might have won without either of them! No need to worry about keeping those guys around. This is quite a relief actually...
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No, beating the Pythagorean is supposed to reflect well on the manager, right?
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Guys, guys...this is a bogus argument. We might have won the division without J. D. Martinez too.
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Yes, that's what you call having charisma.
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Well, because we won the division by so much you could say we had some room for error. Kimbrel might be pretty important in the postseason.
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No chance. That's a losing bet.
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What sayeth that host now?
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It's true, there is significant risk no matter what you do. That's why guys like DD and Cashman get paid a lot to make these calls, and with tons of data at their fingertips-and even then they're going to be wrong a fair number of times.
