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Palodios

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Everything posted by Palodios

  1. Palodios
    You drive me crazy sometimes, you know that? I'm going to take a a700hitter break for the rest of the offseason before I go loony -- I'll take you off ignore in April.
  2. Palodios
    You'll find something else to complain about, I'm sure.
  3. Palodios
    Player 1) 3.60 ERA, 1.28 WHIP, 121 ERA+ consistent 200+ IP guy. Player 2) 3.80 ERA, 1.27 WHIP, 120 ERA consistent 220+ IP guy. Player 1 is Lester before free agency. Player 2 is Burhle before free agency. Lester made 155 million in free agency. So far you've compared Porcello to guys worth 200 million, 217 million and roughly 130-160 million. How about we start comparing him to guys worth 80 million?
  4. Palodios
    As I said, his numbers are very similar to Leake/Shark, and those guys are getting paid. If Buerhle hit FA this year, he would have made a lot more than the 60 million contract he received.
  5. Palodios
    Are you referring to me? I'm talking about the strategy to pay Porcello early to save money later. They probably could have saved money if they waited.
  6. Palodios
    I don't believe the contract is an overpay. Better than 200 million for Greinke. Better than Betts + Owens +Devers +more for Sale or Gray. He didn't cost that valuable 11th overall pick. You also get the guarantee that this guy can handle the AL East. You also get all the people saying "The Red Sox don't have an ace" to shut up.
  7. Palodios
    Who said anything about Greinke or Price? If those guys were getting contracts at age 26, they'd be making 300 million. The Red Sox wanted stability in their rotation, they liked Porcello, so they paid him 80 million instead of risking him making 100 million instead. It backfired.
  8. Palodios
    Verlander's contract was 180 million. Kershaw's contract was 215 million. Felix's was 175 million. But here's the thing. The Red Sox didn't need to do the work. They didn't have to suffer through a season as the absolute worst team in baseball and pull a #1/2 overall draft pick. They didn't have the scouting/luck of the lifetime and draft a 16 year old Felix out of Venezuala. They wrote a check for 20 million more than the player's other option.
  9. Palodios
    The risk was seeing Porcello repeat his 2014 numbers of a 200 IP/ low 3.00s season, cost even more, and then be forced to decide if they wanted to let another one of their pitchers walk in free agency. It backfired, but the Shark deal shows that Porcello might have been in line for a payday anyway. Mike Leake may be an even better comparison when he signs. He's a young healthy, low strikeout, groundball pitcher that probably isn't any better than a #3 on most playoff teams. MLBTradeRumors estimate he'll get a 4/80 contract, but who knows.
  10. Palodios
    Not sure if I missed the discussion, but John Henry was interviewed this week and he seems to still be interested in upgrading his starting pitching, and going younger.
  11. Palodios
    In another note, I'm surprised by the Samardzija signing. His career looks very similar to Porcello. Porcello 4.39 ERA, 96 ERA+, 1.35 WHIP, 2.67 K/BB in the AL Shark 4.09 ERA, 96 ERA+, 1.27 WHIP, 2.76 K/BB in the NL In 2015, they both had awful years. ERAs in the 4.90s but they both had career best years in 2014. Porcello trended upward at the end of last year, whereas Shark struggled the whole year. Shark was worth 90 million and the 19th overall draft pick to the Giants. Porcello is a full 3 years younger. What does this all mean? Pitching has become extremely extremely expensive.
  12. Palodios
    Personally, my thought is that every trade that inevitably results in a ring is a good trade.
  13. Palodios
    Cubs going hard after Lackey. Theo once again trying to get the band back together.
  14. Palodios
    The scouting report says he had two plus-plus pitches among minor leaguers. He's an interesting target -- any idea why he hasn't succeeded in the majors?
  15. Palodios
    Cliff Lee is probably done. I'd be fine with giving him a 3 million dollar contract with 20 million worth of vesting options, but he's going to get more guaranteed.
  16. Palodios
    Finding another cost controlled pitcher with Buchholz's ceiling is nearly impossible. Our last two GMs scoured the low hanging teams, and guys like Gray, Carrasco, and Sale just weren't available. The best bet is to find a low salary team who need a few extra wins to push them over the top. Maybe the Pirates? I just don't see the Red Sox getting enough value to make the trade.
  17. Palodios
    Don't get me wrong, I will always be a Ben Cherrington fan. There were simply too many red flags in that rotation early.
  18. Palodios
    Ben bears much of the blame for 2015's rotation. He either failed to build a quality rotation, or he failed to convince Henry to pay for a quality rotation. The rotation took a big hit from losing both of its starting catchers early, but it was not a competitive group. The only thing more insane than spending 10 million on Masterson without seeing him pitch.... is to spend 10 million on Masterson after seeing him pitch. After Ben left the Red Sox he basically said that his struggle was that he rushed too many decisions. Many of the Red Sox's biggest mistakes were clumped together. I see many many good things that he did for the Red Sox, but the Lester/Lackey trades were complete disasters.
  19. Palodios
    It is official. Kenta Maeda is being posted. I wonder if the Red Sox might be involved. They have invested heavily in their international scouting team, and are usually in on big free agents. They probably could use another RHP. He won't cost a draft pick. The 20M posting fee won't go towards the luxury tax. He's also only 28 years old.
  20. Palodios
    Here's my question to you: Did John Henry trust Cherrington with the full finances of the Red Sox ? My impression is that Henry and Lucchino had a bigger involvement with the big money deals and allowed Ben to operate on the smaller deals. It seems logical, leaders in any business focus on the whales and leave the day-to-day to underlings. Plenty of the mistakes can be attributed to Cherrington -- the Porcello, Melancon, and Bailey trades all follow his mindset. However, I think there were times Ben was backed into a corner. John Henry had been very clear about how he wanted to avoid long term contracts to pitchers, and it hurt us badly with Lester. So, Ben traded him and Lackey for the best pieces he could find, and ended up needing to bargain shop the next offseason. I don't see what is so far-fetched about a billionaire who doesn't blindly give away 100 million dollar contracts without consulting his own judgement
  21. Palodios
    Cherrington dumped Crawford. Cherrington built that bullpen. Cherrington signed 7 free agents that year which all provided key wins. Cherrington traded for Peavy. Ben's biggest downfall was that Henry wouldn't let him do what Dumbo just did -- spend a brick ton of money on pitching.
  22. Palodios
    By that logic, wouldn't it also be too early to try to discredit the farm system?
  23. Palodios
    Right, because when you draft a bunch of high schoolers they should become successful major leaguers by age 19.
  24. Palodios
    Cherrington's draft class is still very young. Owens/Barnes/Ranaudo all came from Theo's work. We need to see what happens with Brian Johnson, Espinoza, Trey Ball, Michael Kopech, Pat Light, Acosta and Teddy Stankiewicz, before you can blame Cherrington for developing pitching. Hell, he drafted the high floor low ceiling Brian Johnson in 2011 first round solely because the team needed pitching depth now instead of 8 years in the future, and he might end up being a starter here.
  25. Palodios
    In another note, Buch, Miley and Porcello probably need to give up their "I'm the ace" jerseys.
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