a700hitter
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Everything posted by a700hitter
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Ryne Sandberg said the same thing when he walked away from $14 million---- and his wife filed for divorce 3 weeks after he retired. The stated cause for divorce was probably stupidity.
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After taxes, agents fees etc., he probably netted out $30 million. Kareem Jabbar lost more than $40 million in the late 70's early 80's and had to play as a shell for his final 2 seasons. It can happen quite easily. Everyday people have a hard time wrapping their minds around the notion, but he does have 40 -50 years more to live and he probably lives a lifestyle where he needs a cashflow that would surprise most people. My only point is that leaving $13 million on the table taking into account that he was underpaid in his early career is just stupid, imo.
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Now it is 9 out of 12 (75%), and I hope that is his ending stat line. I would prefer that he runs the bases intelligently and lets the hitters advance him. He is not that fast.
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I had the total number of runs right but the distribution was off. I was 1 short on the K's. My prediction career is being placed on hold as I refine my method.
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7/6 @ Tampa Bay Rays
a700hitter replied to Youk Of The Nation's topic in Mike Grace Memorial Game Thread Forum
If he slumps in the second half, you will be to blame. -
Farrell needs to stop trying to ignite the offense "with our athleticism". We are losing too many base runners. It is ridiculous. Benitendi is not a base stealer. Not only was his jump terrible tonight, but he was stumbling and going into his slide about 20 feet from the base. If Bogey misses any time, that will hurt the run production. There is no getting around that.
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Like I said before, statheads are just humorless.
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Just my opinion, but when your prime earning years end at age 35, you should maximize your earnings. He is not in the economic strata of an ARod. Richer players than Dempster have lost everything in bad investments. He has very limited earning ability going forward.
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And your conclusion is that they asked him to retire and give up $13 million.
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Prediction: Sale strikes out 13 tonight and wins 3-2.
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That is true. Maybe the only interesting story that I read about Jeter was about his practice of giving goodie bags of memorabilia and jewelry to his one night stands. One time he did a repeat without realizing it and the girl was upset because she got the same standard goodie bag. She had doubles of everything.
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His wife, kids and family probably think he is a gigantic ******* for walking away from $13 million.
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This was such an obvious solution that I can't believe that no one has thought of it until now.
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Statheads will not allow fun. This is serious business. We sign a Cy Young winner and they cringe about the contract and the payroll. We trade prospects for the best pitcher in the game with a well below market salary and they agonize about the raping of the farm system and the coming cliff in 2020-21. No, there shall be no fun... no enjoyment, except on draft day.
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And math and probability were not invented with Bill James. Managers knew math and probability. Most so-called "traditional" notions commonly referred to "the book" were built around maximizing probabilities. Also, OBP was not invented recently. Managers and baseball people knew the value of OBP in evaluating players. Free swinging was a criticism of Dominican players going back 50 years. The old saying was that you had to hit your way off the island. You couldn't walk off the island. The difference between the managers in Williams' days and today is that there is more data today and computer programs to do the math. In Williams' day, the managers had to do the math in their heads. Then like now, managers weren't too smart so that is why they had the "book". It was easy to learn and master and helped them maximize probabilities.
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I think this stat is barking up the wrong tree. The #3 spot comes up with 2 out and no one on more than any other spot in the lineup, because it is the #3 hitter in an inning more than any other spot in the order. Automatically, at the beginning of the game, they come up as the 3rd batter. Does the #3 spot on this Red Sox team come to bat with more men on base than the first spot. That is the key metric, not this nonsense about batting with 2 out and no one on base.
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He is from back in the day when players were interesting personalities and not cookie-cutter clones schooled to give canned answers to every question. I enjoy reading and hearing about eccentric players. Guys like Derek Jeter played for 20 years and the amount of interesting stories about him could fill a sentence.
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Set him free on the buffet line and let him eat himself into baseball oblivion.
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It was a nice streak. You can't win them all.
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A very poor decision by Theo.
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The Astros lineup is stacked. Their bottom of the order is significantly better than the Red Sox bottom of the order. There is no comparison. The Astros are one of those teams where you could pull the lineup from a hat. The bottom of the order for the Yankees is also significantly better than the Red Sox. No comparison there on OBP. And their best OBP guy (by far) Judge does not bat lead off. Girardi is a numbers guy first and foremost --- not a traditionalist.
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I have a massive amount of grey matter.
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If you have 3 guys with approximately the same OBP but one of the 3 has HR power that stands out from the other 2, in what order would you bat them?
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There assumptions have to be wrong in this instance, because there is no way that the conclusion fits this current lineup. The numbers are pretty straight forward as to the additional base runners that Betts would see batting behind XB and Pedroia, unless you are a Math -denier.
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And there is a study confirming that too.
