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Following their series against the Phillies, the Red Sox will travel back home to take on the Dodgers—their third consecutive series against a National League division-leading team. The Red Sox currently have the eighth-strongest remaining schedule based on opponent win percentage (.509). These rankings can shift dramatically as teams can vastly improve or weaken their win percentage in just a few weeks. However, it can still be used as a solid benchmark to assess a schedule. Aside from the Rangers, no team in the American League wild card race plays a tougher remaining schedule than the Red Sox.
Between now and August 14, the Red Sox will take on the Dodgers, Twins, and Royals three times, and the Astros six times. The Twins and Royals each sit just below .500, and by the time the Red Sox play each team, they may have already sold off some pieces. The Houston games will be tough, as the Astros have been one of baseball's hotter teams in the last couple of months. The good news for Red Sox fans is that the team has held its own against MLB’s best teams, as they have a record of 31-30 against teams who are over .500 as of publishing.
Assuming the Red Sox can stay afloat through the first half of August, they will be in a good position entering September. In the second half of the season's penultimate month, they play the Orioles six times, the Marlins three times, and the Pirates three times. Although Baltimore and Miami could be frisky, they will both likely be fully out of contention by mid-August. The other series is a four-game set in Yankee Stadium, which will likely have key division or wild card implications.
September is another month with an easy and tough stretch on either side. The Red Sox will get to play the Athletics six times, the Guardians three times, and the D-backs three times. That's another set of teams which have shown the ability to play competitive stretches this season, but all will be below .500 and perhaps with weakened rosters compared to what we see now. It will be important for the Red Sox to win more than half of those games, because they play the Yankees, Rays, Blue Jays and Tigers in four of the final five series of the season.
The Mariners' opponents for the rest of the season combine for a winning percentage of .487, and the Yankees' opponents sit at .498. Obviously, the difference is not huge, but no fan of a wild card contender would rather play the Red Sox's remaining schedule.
A tough closing stretch will obviously determine if Boston can clinch a postseason position, but it will also show fans how a young and hungry team performs in a simulated postseason environment. Playing numerous games in a row against contending teams can be crucial in the development of this Red Sox team, which lacks a ton of experience in October. Once we are through mid-August, the Red Sox remaining schedule will look soft compared to other teams, but a month later in mid-September, no team will have a tougher finish. It is crucial to keep building up a lead in the wild card race and playing well against weak competition. If the Red Sox can clinch a playoff spot, everyone will hope it is in a more comfortable fashion than 2021.







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