Nationals (Mikolas) vs Red Sox (Suarez): 6/29/26, 7:10pm

[Brock Beauchamp]

Has your opinion of this team changed at all in the wake of a good series against the Yankees?

	WED	THU	FRI	SAT	SUN	TOT
Tyron Guerrero	25	0	0	0	9	34
Tommy Kahnle	0	0	21	0	0	21
Ryan Watson	0	0	13	0	0	13
Justin Slaten	19	0	0	12	16	47
Greg Weissert	0	21	0	0	0	21
Garrett Whitlock	0	10	0	7	0	17
Danny Coulombe	5	3	0	0	0	8
Aroldis Chapman	0	23	0	20	23	66

 

[moonslav59]

I don't see how anyone's opinion has not changed, at least to some degree.

We still have way too many teams between us and the WC berth, but looking at the run diff numbers of those teams, they are due to regress to their norm.

+101 NYY (13 over .500)

+24 TBR (15 over .500)

+18 CWS (4 over, but are they really this good?)

+5 BOS (13 under!!! Talk about snakebitten!)

+4 SEA (1 under and the last WC berth)

-3 DET (14 under is about as shocking as the Sox)

-8 TEX (at .500 and the last 2nd of 3 WC berths)

-8 CLE (4 over- go figure)

-26 BAL (7 under)

-30 MIN (just 5 under)

-33 TOR (just 6 under)

-36 LAA (13 under)

-42 HOU (just 2 under is amazing!)

-70 KCR (15 under is about right)

[moonslav59]

Sox are 7-8 in Suarez starts. He has 4.26 run support and some bad luck.

The Sox lost these games with these Suarez lines:

4IP 3H 0ER 1BB 3K

5.1  4  9  1  8

6.1  6  1  0  6

6.0  7  1  1  9

The record could easily be 11-4 or 10-5 in his starts.

There was one win with 4 ERs in 5 IP, so 10-5 or 9-6 is a fair estimate.

[moonslav59]

The Sox have won 7 of their last 10 games and have 13 straight quality starts. (June 15 to June 28)

MLB Team ERAJune 15>

2.58 BOS

2.84 TBR

2.91 SFG

SP Only:

1.87 ERA (43 ERA-)

0.84 WHIP

Pitchers:

0.71 Suarez (16 ERA-)

1.53 Bennett (35)

1.69 Gray (39)

2.25 Early (51)

3.00 Tolle (69)

All under 0.94 WHIP

(The pen has a 4.32 ERA in these 13 games)