2026 Prospects

[moonslav59]

47 minutes ago, Larry Cook said:

Tolle’s high in innings pitched is 91, I think! He is already at about 80!  Something has to give soon. (See houck, Crawford and crochet for examples of pitchers that far exceed their max innings in year 1 and then crashing and burning in year 2) 

They will limit their IP, but not every pitchers implodes after a career high in IP.

My point was, some other Sox players got off to good to great starts to the season.

Houck pitched several seasons before getting hurt: Crawford, too.

Houck: 60 IP> 106>179 (22>24) They ramped him up slowly.

Crawford: 77>129>184 (22>24)

Crochet went from 146 in 24 to 205 in 25. That's significant but hardly abnormal.

[moonslav59]

Arias homered (#16) and is back over 1.000.

[Larry Cook]

43 minutes ago, moonslav59 said:

Houck: 60 IP> 106>179 (22>24) They ramped him up slowly.

Crawford: 77>129>184 (22>24)

Crochet went from 146 in 24 to 205 in 25. That's significant but hardly abnormal.

So houck goes from 106 in 2023 to 179 in 2024. And how does houck look in 2025? 
 

Crawford goes from 129 in 2023 to 184 in 2024. And how does Crawford look in 2025? 
 

crochet goes from 146 in 2024 to 205 in 2025. And how does crochet look in 2026??? 
 

Appears to me they are about to do the same thing to Tolle 

[moonslav59]

15 hours ago, Larry Cook said:

So houck goes from 106 in 2023 to 179 in 2024. And how does houck look in 2025? 
 

Crawford goes from 129 in 2023 to 184 in 2024. And how does Crawford look in 2025? 
 

crochet goes from 146 in 2024 to 205 in 2025. And how does crochet look in 2026??? 
 

Appears to me they are about to do the same thing to Tolle 

I'm saying that's not an extreme ramp up and is very common. Is it why they all got hurt? Maybe- maybe not.

You stated year one to year two. It was not year one-two for any of these guys and not even close.

[moonslav59]

Pedro went from 145 to 195, then over 200 for 5 straight seasons: no ramp-up induced injury.

Schilling went from 76 to 226 then followed that with 235- no injury.

Pitchers are dropping like flies these days, and it could be related to being asked to increase spin rates or velocity and not sudden increases is IP. Maybe it's a combo.

We don't know.

Tolle and  Early have been pulled before reaching 5 IP several times. Tolle has never gone past 99 pitches and has been under 89 in 7 or 12 starts. Under 85 in half his starts.

Early has gone 5.1 IP or less in half his starts. He's gone into the 7th 4 times in 17 starts. He's been pulled before 5 IP in 3 of his last 5 starts. May be that's a sign they are ramping him down. He's gone over 90 pitches in 12 starts, so he's been taxed more than the harder throwing Tolle, but we'll see what happens the rest of the way.

Early is 37th in MLB in IP in an era where nobody goes long nearly every start.

Suarez is 54th at 89 IP and is on pace for a career high in IP.

Gray is at 84 IP (ranked 62nd)

Tolle is 94th at 71.1 IP

147 MLB pitchers have over 40 IP as a SP'er.

Also, counting minors & majors:

2024> 2025:

Early 103>120 IP (on pace for 180, at current rate)

Tolle 81 in college> 108 (on pace for about 140)

 

[moonslav59]

Arias homered, again (#17) walked twice and was HBP. He's at 1.020, now. That's 13th best in all the minors (250+ PAs) Only 8 players have more PAs and a better OPS than he.

Primera is 2nd in OPS among players with 130+ PAs. Nobody has more PAs and a higher OPS than he does.

It's nice to see we have some hopes on offense down the pike.

We have 4 catchers doing well: Ronny Hernandez (1.066) Jorge Rodriguez (.886) Jo Garcia (.851) Luke Heyman (.830)

Brannon at .872 might be a 3rd catcher type, but will likely DH or 1B, if he ever makes it.

Godbout may not be very far away and is at .902. Winnay is up to.886 and at AA, now.

Azocar at .804 is ranked highly.

Brito is doing very well at 1.020, but he's far away.

 

[moonslav59]

Hickey hit two homers and Uberstine pitched 3 strong relief innings, tonight. Gasper and Ward homered, too.

Ziehl pitched very well in POR's loss. 5IP 6H 1ER, 1BB, 8K

Witherspoon got roughed up a bit. Mayers, too.

[moonslav59]

Top Sox Farm OPS (100+ PAs)

1.198 Primera (.525 OBP and .673 SLG both first!)

1.076 Ro Hernandez (.644 SLG is second)

1.020 Arias (17 HRs leads Sox minors)

.977 Brito (.511 OBP)

.964 Gasper

.902 Godbout

.892 Winnay (13 Hrs is 2nd, as is his .427 OBP)

.886 Brannon (11 Hrs & 24 XBHs)

.876 Sogard

.853 Mason White

.844 Jo Garcia

.844 Seigler

.841 Tucker

.833 Heyman (13 Hrs is tied for 2nd)

.822 Rivas

.813 Cespedes (12 Hrs is T 4th/ 32 XBHs is 2nd)

.808 McDonough

.799 Turner

.798 Eaton

.786 Azocar

.785 A Guzman

.784 Gonzales

.776 Cheng

.765 YRod (12 Hrs)

.762 Capra

.759 Hickey

 

 

 

[moonslav59]

OPS Against (30+ IP)

.428 Delzine

.454 Eyanson

.508 B Morgan

.559 Mayers

.570 Bennett

.578 Olds

.591 Rivera

.606 Futrell (63K and 9 BB in 56 IP)

.622 Ingrassia

.646 D Brown (81 Ks in 61 IP)

.665 Rogers & Jose Bello

 

[Old Red]

KC 3-4 last night. Let’s give credit where credit is due.👏

[moonslav59]

Gotta think Sandoval will be called up, soon.

5IP tonight: 1 Hit, 1BB & 7 Ks

Eyanson relieved him and went 5 IP, 3H, 2 ER, 1BB, 7K for the win.

Arias 1-3 and Winnay 2-4.

[moonslav59]

Song got roughed up in Woo's 6-5 loss, but Samaniego pitched well. Ward and Gasper had 2 hits.

GRE is blasting off, tonight. 5 HRs- 2 by Cespedes.

SAL got a rare win 1-0.

[moonslav59]

Some lower level or lower ranked prospects are doing well:

#25 Luke Heyman .878

#27 Mason White .863

#29 Garielvin Silverio .740

#31 Dylan Brown .646 OPSA in 61 IP

#32 Dawvris Brito homered and is now at 1.090 ($1.2M bonus as IFA in Jan 2026)

#33 Brooks Brannon ,899

#34 Jo Garcia .822

#35 Y Rod .774

#36 Isaiah Jackson 3 for 5 tonight (.733)

#37 Louis Andujar (promoted to SAL .724)

#39 Gage Ziehl 3.94 in 64 IP

#40 Jack Winnay .896

#41 Barrett Morgan .508 OPSA

#46 Jojo Ingrassia .622 OPSA

#47 Maximus Martin homered, too and is at 1.274 (10th rd in '25)

#53 Adonys Guzman .792

#56 Jorge Rodrigues is at .921 (IFA 2024)

#58 Devin Futrell .606 OPSA (63K:9BB in 56IP)