Countdown to Playoffs - 2019 edition

[notin]

Here we are at 64 and 59 with 39 games to play and one of those is to finish. We are 7 games behind Oakland in the loss column, 8 behind Tampa Bay and 10 behind Cleveland. For the optimists, keep on hopiing against hope. Its not matematically impossible yet but highly improbable that we catch two teams.

 

Play more Marco! Also, call up Dalbec and give him a chance. It's audition time for 2020!! Sox might as well see if they need any infielders for 2020 or if they already have them.

 

And start the audition before September when the rest of the league floods their bullpens with AAA pitchers and ruins any evaluations...

[OH FOY]

Play more Marco! Also, call up Dalbec and give him a chance. It's audition time for 2020!! Sox might as well see if they need any infielders for 2020 or if they already have them.

 

And start the audition before September when the rest of the league floods their bullpens with AAA pitchers and ruins any evaluations...

 

Agree with this 100% best time to evaluate is now.

[OH FOY]

Both the Yanks and Dodgers are on a 107 win pace. Yanks are done with the Orioles, and next 10 games the Yanks play some teams. Guardians, A's, and Dodgers. Edited August 15, 2019 by OH FOY!

[Slasher9]

Play more Marco! Also, call up Dalbec and give him a chance. It's audition time for 2020!! Sox might as well see if they need any infielders for 2020 or if they already have them.

 

And start the audition before September when the rest of the league floods their bullpens with AAA pitchers and ruins any evaluations...

 

i have not given up on 2019 and do NOT want to see callups now. nor do i want to see any "rest days".

#20inarow

[illinoisredsox]

Here we are at 64 and 59 with 39 games to play and one of those is to finish. We are 7 games behind Oakland in the loss column, 8 behind Tampa Bay and 10 behind Cleveland. For the optimists, keep on hopiing against hope. Its not matematically impossible yet but highly improbable that we catch two teams.

 

There are 4 games left with Tampa, so the Sox could cut that deficit in half on their own. But not playing the A’s at all makes it very hard to make up ground on them.

[OH FOY]

Rays go 20-20, Sox have to go 27-9 to tie them.

My mistake 27-12 to tie Rays.

Edited August 15, 2019 by OH FOY!

[OH FOY]

Was our highpoint this season is 11 games over .500, maybe 12, but I know not more then that.

[Bellhorn04]

Rays go 20-20, Sox have to go 27-9 to tie them.

My mistake 27-12 to tie Rays.

 

One day at a time. Win today's game, that's all you can do.

[OH FOY]

Crazy Sox have to play a make-up game with KC, then fly out to San Diego same day, play next night, nothing is going right it seems.

[OH FOY]

One day at a time. Win today's game, that's all you can do.

 

Well you cant lose today that's 100% sure.

[Bellhorn04]

Crazy Sox have to play a make-up game with KC, then fly out to San Diego same day, play next night, nothing is going right it seems.

 

Hopefully that make-up game with KC will only take about 20 minutes for us to dispose of them. It was a suspended game, it starts in the top of the 10th.

[OH FOY]

Sox have 15 games left against serious legit Play-off teams, Rays have 12 (I'm counting the Sox in this, 4 games in Sept). A's have 14. Edited August 15, 2019 by OH FOY!

[OH FOY]

Sox have to be within 4 games when they play the Rays at least, and hope the A's struggle too.

[notin]

i have not given up on 2019 and do NOT want to see callups now. nor do i want to see any "rest days".

#20inarow

 

While I respect your optimism, I don’t share it.

 

I do think the Sox will be following your course of action and not mine.

 

And hey, the 1995 Mariners were 12.5 games back on August 20th and wound up winning a one game playoff for the AL West title. So it’s not unprecedented for this year’s Sox team...

[OH FOY]

Because of the extra Wild Card Tigers and Orioles are still not eliminated. haha

[Slasher9]

Rays go 20-20, Sox have to go 27-9 to tie them.

My mistake 27-12 to tie Rays.

 

Sox will win 31 of their remaining games.

[notin]

Because of the extra Wild Card Tigers and Orioles are still not eliminated. haha

 

I’d get to Vegas and place that bet ASAP!!

[OH FOY]

Sox will win 31 of their remaining games.

 

That's the spirit, have no problem with that.

[OH FOY]

Getting to the point where winning series are not good enough. The Sox need a long winning streak to jump back in it. They won 2, they need 8 more in a row, then maybe have a chance.

[Slasher9]

Getting to the point where winning series are not good enough. The Sox need a long winning streak to jump back in it. They won 2, they need 8 more in a row, then maybe have a chance.

 

#20inarow

[jung]

Getting to the point where winning series are not good enough. The Sox need a long winning streak to jump back in it. They won 2, they need 8 more in a row, then maybe have a chance.

 

They had to go 31-12 with the teams they are chasing going 21-21 to get to the last WC. Since then they have won 2 and lost 1. So now regardless of anything else they have to go 29-11 from here unless the teams they are chasing totally tank (not likely in this league full of stiffs). If they rattled off 8 more in a row to make a 10 game streak they would have to go 21-11 the rest of the way from there to get to that last WC spot.

 

Even if they are out of their trade deadline, Price twitter rant induced doldrums, IMO they just don't have the pitching to make 29-11 kind of run from here. The pitching is why they have not gone on a single prolonged run this entire year and they really have done nothing to resolve that.

 

I love Nate because he at least challenges hitters but a carton of eggs is less fragile. Sale has found it...Sort of. Price is on the shelf. Porcello no longer has a four seam FB and ERod is well on the way to losing his four seam FB. BJ is a big so what. Lets not even start with the bullpen though they are at least not the dead weight of the rotation.

Edited August 15, 2019 by jung

[oldtimer]

They had to go 31-12 with the teams they are chasing going 21-21 to get to the last WC. Since then they have won 2 and lost 1. So now regardless of anything else they have to go 29-11 from here unless the teams they are chasing totally tank (not likely in this league full of stiffs). If they rattled off 8 more in a row to make a 10 game streak they would have to go 21-11 the rest of the way from there to get to that last WC spot.

 

Even if they are out of their trade deadline, Price twitter rant induced doldrums, IMO they just don't have the pitching to make 29-11 kind of run from here. The pitching is why they have not gone on a single prolonged run this entire year and they really have done nothing to resolve that.

 

I love Nate because he at least challenges hitters but a carton of eggs is less fragile. Sale has found it...Sort of. Price is on the shelf. Porcello no longer has a four seam FB and ERod is well on the way to losing his four seam FB. BJ is a big so what. Lets not even start with the bullpen though they are at least not the dead weight of the rotation.

 

We are home for 6 games against the Orioles, Phillies and Royals. We haven't exactly beaten up on those teams. Then we go on an 8 game road trip to colorado and the west coast. That is always tough to be on the road out there.

 

if we don't get eliminated by losing half those games, we get to play 7 games at home against the Twins and the Yankees. That brings us up through the first week of Sept and the mathematicians will be discussing whether we are fully eliminated. Hope we are playing more of our kids by then.

 

We have a 5 game road trip with the Blue Jays who are a young team with a good chance to compete with us and the phillies who may be trying to stay in their race. The final 13 gmes include 4 against the Rays in their park.

 

I am a fan and will follow this next period but have almost no hope that the club can make any noise in the WC race/

[jung]

We are home for 6 games against the Orioles, Phillies and Royals. We haven't exactly beaten up on those teams. Then we go on an 8 game road trip to colorado and the west coast. That is always tough to be on the road out there.

 

if we don't get eliminated by losing half those games, we get to play 7 games at home against the Twins and the Yankees. That brings us up through the first week of Sept and the mathematicians will be discussing whether we are fully eliminated. Hope we are playing more of our kids by then.

 

We have a 5 game road trip with the Blue Jays who are a young team with a good chance to compete with us and the phillies who may be trying to stay in their race. The final 13 gmes include 4 against the Rays in their park.

 

I am a fan and will follow this next period but have almost no hope that the club can make any noise in the WC race/

 

Though Henry is paying a lot more money for the privilege we have the same problem the other mid-pack to lesser teams have. We just don't have enough pitching though we are paying through the nose for pitching. We should not be here based on the talent. But here we are.

 

So now we are needing to catch competitors without the pitching we need to go on a serious run. We obviously can't get there without a serious run. Instead we win 2 lose 1. We win 1, lose 2. We win 3 lose 1. That just won't get anything done IMO. Win a few, lose a few would be fine if this was still April and we were not chasing.

[fxkatt]

A good Sept 1st goal would be to be 4 out in the loss column. And 2 out by the 15th of Sept.

 

Since we're chasing two pretty good teams, this is reasonable.

[SPLENDIDSPLINTER]

Because of the extra Wild Card Tigers and Orioles are still not eliminated. haha

 

Numerically, you are correct, but in reality, they both were eliminated before opening day.

[SPLENDIDSPLINTER]

Sox will win 31 of their remaining games.

 

I see them only having to win 30. Slash, you're making it really tough for them.

[moonslav59]

Though Henry is paying a lot more money for the privilege we have the same problem the other mid-pack to lesser teams have. We just don't have enough pitching though we are paying through the nose for pitching. We should not be here based on the talent. But here we are.

 

So now we are needing to catch competitors without the pitching we need to go on a serious run. We obviously can't get there without a serious run. Instead we win 2 lose 1. We win 1, lose 2. We win 3 lose 1. That just won't get anything done IMO. Win a few, lose a few would be fine if this was still April and we were not chasing.

 

Look at the Yankee ERAs of their top IP pitchers (listed in order of IP):

 

Even some winning teams have serious issues with their pitching staff.

All Yankee pitchers with 48+ IP are listed

4.64 Tanaka

5.40 Happ

3.96 German

4.40 Paxton

4.78 Sabathia

4.33 Cessa

1.70 Ottavino

2.17 Britton

2.92 Kahnle

4.41 Cortes

5.59 Green

 

 

 

 

[moonslav59]

Look at the Yankee ERAs of their top IP pitchers (listed in order of IP):

 

Even some winning teams have serious issues with their pitching staff.

All Yankee pitchers with 48+ IP are listed

4.64 Tanaka

5.40 Happ

3.96 German

4.40 Paxton

4.78 Sabathia

4.33 Cessa

1.70 Ottavino

2.17 Britton

2.92 Kahnle

4.41 Cortes

5.59 Green

 

MN has none of its top 5 IP pitchers below 3.29 and 3 are over 4.15. While that's not horrible, it looks like they have two number 2's and 3 number 4's.

 

HOU has 4 of its top 8 pitchers by IP worse than 4.13 with 3 over 4.73. Wade Miley is their 3rd best pitcher (3.11).

 

ATL has the second best NL record and has 2 of its top 5 IP pitchers over 6.19! The next 2 are over 4.05.

[jung]

MN has none of its top 5 IP pitchers below 3.29 and 3 are over 4.15. While that's not horrible, it looks like they have two number 2's and 3 number 4's.

 

HOU has 4 of its top 8 pitchers by IP worse than 4.13 with 3 over 4.73. Wade Miley is their 3rd best pitcher (3.11).

 

ATL has the second best NL record and has 2 of its top 5 IP pitchers over 6.19! The next 2 are over 4.05.

 

None the less, all the AL teams mentioned in both posts are well ahead of us in the standings while we have the #1 offense in baseball. There are not a lotta' places to to see where a team is losing games.

Edited August 16, 2019 by jung

[notin]

None the less, all the AL teams mentioned in both posts are well ahead of us in the standings while we have the #1 offense in baseball. There are not a lotta' places to to see where a team is losing games.

 

The utility infield position, judging by the actions taken by Dombrowski during the season