2013 Bold Predictions Thread(predictions only)

[BSN07]

Ok peeps, these are bold predictions. You can't say "Miggy fo MVP". Please leave your predictions here in this thread and comment on poster's predictions in the other thread. Makes it easier to come back and look at prior acts of limb climbing

 

 

I'll start with 2 Red Sox "Bold Predictions"

 

1- Felix Doubront, I am Predicting he will be the biggest surprise in the Sox rotation,

 

Stat Predictions: 17-10 190 IP 3.90 ERA 200+K 95BB 1.30 WHIP

* Sig bet placed with a700

 

2- Jacoby Ellsbury, I am predicting will become the #3 hitter at some point in the season and be top 5 in AL MVP votes, and will cash in with Seattle for a Crawford type deal.

 

Stat Predictions: .320/.380/.550 27 HR, 110 RBI, 45 2B, 10 3B, 45 SB

 

MLB Predictions:

 

Yankees finish more towards the bottom of the AL then the Top.

 

Toronto takes a while to gel and starts slow, AA and company are in the hot seat by late May, then end up with 89 wins and miss the playoffs.

[rjortiz]

Nationals win the World Series in 7 against the Blue Jays.

[Rick]

The Cubs are going to the playoffs as a Wild Card team

[mvp 78]

Lester and Buchholz pitch better, but still perform like a 2 and 3

 

Lackey is an absolute shitshow

 

Dempster pitches almost as bad as Lackey (5 ERA)

 

Ellsbury has a "freak" injury wreck his season

 

Drew plays less than 85 games

 

Victorino exceeds expectations and hits .305

 

Ortiz struggles to reach .250 and 25 HR's

 

The bullpen is fine and Bailey has an injury free year

 

Lavarnway's offensive struggles continue

 

Gomes mashes and puts up Ross 2011 numbers

[Gringo]

Toronto doesn't make the playoffs

[jacksonianmarch]

The Red Sox finish with 75-80 wins

The Yankees take the AL East and make the World Series.

The Marlins do not finish in the cellar in the NL East

The Angels miss the playoffs

The Dodgers win a wild card play in spot and lose in the 1 game playoff

[Laser Show]

Lackey rebounds to post 15 wins and a sub 4.00 ERA

Ellsbury hits .305 with 13 HR

The Red Sox miss the 2nd WC by a game

 

Angels / Blue Jays ALCS

Giants / Nationals NLCS

 

Angels / Nationals WS

 

Strasburg wins the Cy Young and WS MVP

[NZSox]

(1) One of the Angels and Dodgers will miss the playoffs altogether, the other will scrape in via Wild Card and be swiftly eliminated.

 

(2) Ryan Dempster will surprise everyone and post a 3.20 ERA

 

(3) Ells will stay healthy and return to his 2011 MVP-level form

 

(4) CC Sabathia will have a poor season

 

(5) Yankees finish no higher than 3rd in AL East

[KCBRUIN]

The starting rotation will turn it around, and each improve by 4 wins over last year.

 

The sox will finish with 89 wins, and a wild card game.

 

Pedroia - Laser Show 2.0 - is an AL MVP finalist, but won't win it.

 

Yankees miss the playoffs.

 

Orioles finish last.

[Palodios]

1) If Salty returns as the team's primary catcher, the pitching staff will continue to underperform. If he is traded, the Red Sox have a huge bounce back season where the pitching staff pitches to career averages or better.

2) Doubront will look very good in early starts, but when covering 1st in a game against the Rangers, Beltre will hit a ball into the infield, break his ribs and end his season. Or he will have some other season ending injury.

3) Steven Wright will have one good start as a Red Sox, but flame out, and never be a significant major leaguer.

4) No longer having the weight of leading a toxic clubhouse on his shoulders, Pedroia hits 40 2B, 18 HR, has .370 OBP, and a 7 WAR for the season.

5) Shane Victorino will be an elite defender, steal plenty of bases, and be a big table setter for the Red Sox. His critics will still whine about the contract.

6) Bradley, Barnes, Bogaertz and Webster will not make a significant difference on the team in 2013.

 

 

AL East -- Toronto

AL Central -- Tigers (AL Champs)

AL West -- Angels

Wildcards-- Royals, Red Sox.

 

NL East -- Nationals (WS Champs)

NL Central-- Reds

NL West -- Diamondbacks

Wildcards, Giants, Phillies

 

AL Cy -- Weaver

NL Cy -- Strasburg

AL MVP -- Lowrie or maybe Trout

NL MVP -- Harper

 

 

 

Rays have a mediocre season, the Orioles fall back down to earth. The Rangers fall off a cliff as Darvish feels the pressure of his secon MLB season. The Royals go 14-4 against the Astros and sneak into a wildcard spot.

 

The Braves struggle without the legendary Chipper, and the Nationals turn into a bulldozer.

[SoxSport]

Magic Johnson will lose 50 lbs when the Dodgers miss the playoffs.

 

Papa John will get some ballplayer to give away 4 million--make that 2 million--pizzas in a TV commercial.He will do 2 commercials an inning during the game of the week.

 

Ben Cherington will resume giving scouting reports to the manager after forgetting to do so last year.

 

Farrell will require loyalty oaths from all his coaches, at the suggestion of Larry Lucchino.

 

The Red Sox will go the entire season without a DL injury--a major league record--and make the playoffs, as predicted by MLB TV analyst Larry Bowa. Henry will lay off half the medical staff--a savings of $6 million off the luxury cap.

 

John Lester will win 15 games. Lackey will win 12.

 

Toronto will not make the playoffs. They will blame Las Vegas and the media.

 

The Yankees will make the playoffs, but promptly announce their retirement.

[RedSoxNC84]

Vicente Padilla stops sweating so much.

[onlybereaved]

Red Sox finish with 90 wins and surprise the heck out of the AL-E outright,

 

Bold, but for srious

[Plumpamania]

Predictions

Division Winners & Wild Cards

AL East – Toronto Blue Jays

AL Central – Kansas City Royals

AL West – Oakland A’s

AL WC1 – Anaheim Angels

AL WC2 – New York Yankees

 

NL East – Washington Nationals

NL Central – Cincinnati Reds

NL West – San Francisco Giants

NC WC1 – Los Angeles Dodgers

NC WC2 – St. Louis Cardinals

 

ALCS – Anaheim Angels vs Oakland A’s

NLCS – St. Louis Cardinals vs Washington Nationals

 

World Series – Washington Nationals vs Oakland A’s

Winner – Washington Nationals

 

AL Cy - Justin Verlander

AL MVP - Alex Gordon

 

NL Cy - Stephen Strasberg

NL MVP - Joey Votto

 

Red Sox:

C – Jarod Saltalamacchia - .230/.275/.425 18 HR 60 RBI – Traded at the deadline.

C – Ryan Lavarnway - .240/.340/.400 12 HR 40 RBI

C – David Ross - .290/.350/.450 8 HR 35 RBI

1B – Mike Napoli - .250/.365/.475 25 HR 85 RBI

2B – Dustin Pedroia - .320/.400/.440 20 HR 110 RBI

SS – Stephen Drew - .250/.340/.390 10 HR 50 RBI

3B – Will Middlebrooks - .265/.320/.475 – 25 HR 75 RBI

LF – Johnny Gomes - .270/.340/.450 – 18 HR 60 RBI

CF – Jacoby Ellsbury - .270/.340/.430 – 15 HR 70 RBI 35 SB

RF – Shane Victorino - .250/.330/.380 – 8 HR 45 RBI

DH – David Ortiz - .290/.390/.525 – 35 HR 125 RBI

OF – Ryan Kalish - .285/.385/.400 – 5 HR 25 RBI

INF – Pedro Cirianco - .250/.275/.325 – 3 HR 18 RBI

OF – Daniel Nava .265/.355/.375 – 4 HR 15 RBI

783 Runs Scored (counting half of Salty’s)

 

SP – Ryan Dempster – 12 W 10 L 4.10 ERA

SP – Jon Lester – 15 W 8 L 3.85 ERA

SP – Clay Bucholtz – 15 W 5 L 3.20 ERA

SP – John Lackey – 5 W 13 L 5.10 ERA

SP – Franklin Morales – 8 W 3 L 3.90 ERA

SP/MR – Felix Dubront – 4 W 7 L 5.25 ERA

MR – Joel Hanrahan – 3 W 2 L 2.50 ERA 35 SV

MR – Andrew Bailey – 2 W 5 L 3.75 ERA

MR – Daniel Bard – 3 W 6 L 4.50 ERA

MR – Junichi Tazawa – 5 W 1 L 2.10 ERA

MR – Koji Uehara – 2 W 2 L 2.45 ERA

SP/MR – Alfredo Aceves – 2 W 10 L 4.50 ERA

76 W – 72 L – Other games decided by other pitchers who don’t stick around long. Sox finish 82-82 good for 4th place in the AL East.

[SCM33]

I predict John Lackey to win between 12-14 games, with a 4.50 ERA.

[redsoxfan3]

I think if Pedroia is healthy, that he has the chance to be a top 10 MVP candidate. Last year on May 12, he was hitting .321 through the first 33 games. That average started to drop when he had a thumb problem. He dealt with the thumb problem and we weren't even aware of it until July. It was clearly evident that something was wrong because he was under performing. His batting average was extremely low at .262 in August when he was still trying to be a superhero and play through his injury. He was able to bring that average up .022 in two months when he was finally healthy and finished the season at .290. If he can get back to playing 150+ games and being 100% the whole year, I think his slash line could be .310/.375/.470. I also am going to predict that if he is healthy all year that he will finish with 20 HR's and 100 RBI's. That would be a career high in RBI's, but I think he will have a strong year if he is healthy. I am going to say that he has an OPS of around .860 and an OPS+ of 130. These may not seem all that bold because he has achieved a lot of these before, but if he is healthy, I think these are realistic. The only problem is for him staying healthy because of the way he plays. I think he will have to have a great year to help lead this team.

 

I am going to make predictions with the starting pitching, since it is the biggest area of concern.

 

Jon Lester: 33 starts, 210 IP, 3.65 ERA, 1.280 WHIP, record of 18-8

Clay Buchholz: 30 starts, 190 IP, 3.80 ERA, 1.300 WHIP, record of 16-8

Ryan Dempster: 30 starts, 185 IP, 4.10 ERA, 1.330 WHIP, record of 14-10

Felix Doubront: 28 starts, 170 IP, 4.25 ERA, 1.400 WHIP, record of 12-10

John Lackey: 26 starts, 160 IP, 4.35 ERA, 1.4100 WHIP, record of 11-10

*Projections for Morales and Aceves as a starter

Franklin Morales: 10 starts, 58 IP, 4.20 ERA, 1.250 WHIP, record of 4-3

Alfredo Aceves: 5 starts, 31 IP, 4.30 ERA, 1.150 WHIP, record of 2-1

 

Record from SP's is 77-50. I am going to predict that we will be 86-76 and finishing in third place in the AL East.

 

Final AL East standings:

Jays (AL East champs)

Yankees (Wild Card)

Red Sox

Rays

Orioles

[SCM33]

Yankees, Blue Jays and Orioles all miss the playoffs.

[TutGadol]

• Drew fails to impress and Sox go back to experimenting at the SS position, eventually calling up Bogaerts.
  
• Victorino's a pleasant surprise. I say .275 / .350 / .440 with over 30 SBs and good D.
  
• Ortiz spends most of the year injured or not a 100%, but still ends up with respectable numbers.
  
• Dempster, Lester and Buch all end up with eras around 3.6 - 3.9, but none emerges as an ace.
  
• After an impressive start, Doubront finishes weak as his inning marks grow.
  
• Bullpen sucks. Only Breslow and Miller have remotely good seasons of there.
  
• Team ends up 85 - 79, no wildcard. Cherington-- fired.
  

[SoxFanForsyth]

I think if Pedroia is healthy, that he has the chance to be a top 10 MVP candidate. Last year on May 12, he was hitting .321 through the first 33 games. That average started to drop when he had a thumb problem. He dealt with the thumb problem and we weren't even aware of it until July. It was clearly evident that something was wrong because he was under performing. His batting average was extremely low at .262 in August when he was still trying to be a superhero and play through his injury. He was able to bring that average up .022 in two months when he was finally healthy and finished the season at .290. If he can get back to playing 150+ games and being 100% the whole year, I think his slash line could be .310/.375/.470. I also am going to predict that if he is healthy all year that he will finish with 20 HR's and 100 RBI's. That would be a career high in RBI's, but I think he will have a strong year if he is healthy. I am going to say that he has an OPS of around .860 and an OPS+ of 130. These may not seem all that bold because he has achieved a lot of these before, but if he is healthy, I think these are realistic. The only problem is for him staying healthy because of the way he plays. I think he will have to have a great year to help lead this team.

 

I am going to make predictions with the starting pitching, since it is the biggest area of concern.

 

Jon Lester: 33 starts, 210 IP, 3.65 ERA, 1.280 WHIP, record of 18-8

Clay Buchholz: 30 starts, 190 IP, 3.80 ERA, 1.300 WHIP, record of 16-8

Ryan Dempster: 30 starts, 185 IP, 4.10 ERA, 1.330 WHIP, record of 14-10

Felix Doubront: 28 starts, 170 IP, 4.25 ERA, 1.400 WHIP, record of 12-10

John Lackey: 26 starts, 160 IP, 4.35 ERA, 1.4100 WHIP, record of 11-10

*Projections for Morales and Aceves as a starter

Franklin Morales: 10 starts, 58 IP, 4.20 ERA, 1.250 WHIP, record of 4-3

Alfredo Aceves: 5 starts, 31 IP, 4.30 ERA, 1.150 WHIP, record of 2-1

 

Record from SP's is 77-50. I am going to predict that we will be 86-76 and finishing in third place in the AL East.

 

Final AL East standings:

Jays (AL East champs)

Yankees (Wild Card)

Red Sox

Rays

Orioles

 

If the SP goes 77-50, this team will win 95-97 games. Winning 86 means the bullpen will go 9-26, which is outrageous given the talent in there.

 

Even at 18-17, that's still a poor record given the strength of the pen. It's more likely that the pen would go 20-15 or 21-14. That would be 97-98 wins.

 

But I think our SP is more likely to go 70-57 or 69-58, putting this team around. 87-90 wins.

[rjortiz]

Lackey is going to be so horrible, that the Red Sox will be forced to eat his entire contract in order to release him.

[Bellhorn04]

Lackey is going to surprise everybody and have a good season.