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drewski6

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Everything posted by drewski6

  1. Yes, Ive said before that Crochet can match (at least) anyone, and in the playoffs, your TOTR carries extra weight. Our pitching staff looks ready to compete.
  2. Go Reds! They are my show (video game) franchise. But Ive overhauled the team quite a bit. I kept Elly, Matt Mcclain, and 3/5 of the rotation (hunter greene, lodolo, abbott) and called up their minor leaguer chase petty in yr 3. Yr1 and 2 I also had Austin Hays, but I outgrew him. I had Stephenson for a while at C but upgraded. I have had CES the whole time as a bench player.
  3. $100 to win $2k is 5% implied odds, meaning you have to think our chance of winning WS is great than 5% for that to be a bet to take. Id take it after Crochets outing yesterday. Id personally gauge our odds around 10%, which is a big difference. But I dont think i can use fanduel in my state and i dont care enough to place a futures bet at casino or figure out a way how to get the bet in.
  4. Its dumb luck that these teams are in big markets with deep pocket owners. Its dumb luck that ohtani is asian and therefore preferred west coast. Its dumb luck that steinbrenner wasnt born in 1836 and died at age 31. But point taken
  5. Whether or not breslow is good enough for me, depends on whether or not hes good enough for cora. If he won cora over, that impresses me. If cora is just giving lip service but doesnt actually think hes the right man for the job, i fire breslow regardless of results. Because I dont know the answer to this, im forced to guess/go by my gut. My gut tells me that Im not a breslow guy. But if I was owner and wanted to fire him and Cora defended him, I would u-turn.
  6. Correct. I agree with this: He should get negative points since he didn't do his job and obtain quality players at the deadline he did not put his team in the best possible position to win a ring Not this: He should get negative points since he didn't do his job and didnt win a ring I agree with this (had it been true): GM X should get positive points since he did his job and obtained quality players at the deadline and put his team in the best possible position to make playoffs Not this: GM X should get positive points since he did his job and his team made the playoffs
  7. if we win the world series, ill give him a c and still fire him if cora tells me that he doesnt believe in breslow.
  8. thats too much of a swing for me. had we missed, I would have given him a d+, if we make the playoffs , ill give him a c- *results are 30% of my grade
  9. of course the bottom line matters, but if we are trying to assess breslows job performance accurately, he doesnt get an A+ automatically if we make , and he doesnt get an F- automatically if we miss. We have to dig a little deeper. Going purely by results will lead to inaccurate assessments.
  10. luck and level of competition are huge determinants in make vs miss playoffs. so to judge your gm/execs based on solely make/miss will lead you to draw incorrect conclusions about making vs missing people just dont want to accept how much luck factors in. thats why stupid myths like "good teams find a way to win championships" exist. The patriots may have been good, they may not have been. But getting past the raiders in the snowgame was pure luck. Drafting brady in rd 6 was mostly luck. A ball hitting a foul pole vs sailing around it is mostly luck. Making the playoffs because of 2 games out of 162 is mostly luck. The improvements are there and im happy with this team. But im not going to put my full confidence in Brez because we made the playoffs. Similarly, had we missed, I wouldnt have fired him just for that. Because you need to assess him accurately, and going by if we made or miss doesnt do that.
  11. I agree that he had a bad deadline, and we can call it a bad deadline without any further information and its a big black eye. I agree that Im not sold on him But you are the one who put all your eggs into the make/miss playoffs basket and now we are going to make. So now , you have said the red sox have been flops for decades but are no longer the flops because they made the playoffs in 2025, which is a very weak year. Other people are saying that you are not looking around enough because of the first paragraph in this post (well he didnt do much, but neither did anyone else). Im saying you arent looking around enough because of the second paragraph. Breslow doesnt magically become something else because we made the playoffs. But you not looking around enough made you think our chances of missing was greater than they were. And I told you this at the deadline. Breslow did a bad job at the deadline, but we'll prob still make the playoffs cuz the AL stinks right now and more the half teams are barely trying.
  12. Now you are the one not looking enough at the context. We made the playoffs over a team that sold off at the deadline. Wowie! Not saying im not happy. NOt saying Brez sucked. But you both are putting too much into a 2 game swing out of 162. Theres a huge luck component to all of this, so I choose to focus on what we did vs the results we got. Especially over a sample of 2-3 games (difff between making and missing playoffs). In NFL, a fg kicker missing a gimme can be the difference between a team making/missing playoffs. Should an NFL coach (on either side) be fired/retained over somehting so "there was a strong gust of wind at the exact moment..." Going solely by results will lead to good people with bad luck getting canned and bad people with good luck getting retained. Brez should not get fired if we dont make the playoffs and he shouldnt auto keep his job if we do make. Personally, I would ask Cora, in a room alone: Are you happy with this dude as your boss? Do you trust him to get the right players for you next 3-5 years? And if Cora says no, I axe Bres. And if Cora says yes, I keep Bres. Because the outcome doesnt tell the whole story.
  13. David Ortiz was a much better major leaguer than he was a minor leaguer too.
  14. joey bautista, alex gordon, other dudes im sure. Usually it can be traced back to something. Duran for example, got way better when he confronted his mental health demons. I saw christian guzman add 30 points to hi batting average after eye surgery. Not sure on judge, late bloomers happen. My best guess is he started making lifestyle changes around 24-25 yrs old. Maybe stopped drinking during the season? Maybe started going to bed at the same time every night? Maybe hired a nutritionist? Maybe he had lasik? I dont know. Maybe he was paired with the right batting coach. Prob something tho.
  15. 100%. 78 win teams that prob would have been 88 win teams and playoff makers if they were in the AL central to boot. Im not an all-or-nothing based on make playoffs = pass and miss playoffs = fail because it ignores too much context. But fred doesnt claim to be anything but a bottom line guy so it doesnt bother me. But this is the reason that im not a bottom line/results only guy
  16. breslows best deadline move was not trading duran and that should count for a lot.
  17. Thats not true. The whole team was ecstatic at the trade deadline because he didnt trade duran.
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