5GoldGlovesOF,75
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Everything posted by 5GoldGlovesOF,75
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A Realistic View at 2024: Part I
5GoldGlovesOF,75 replied to moonslav59's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
Sorry, John Henry. How are your 33 analysts doing building that core the past five years while not supplementing it with actual big league talent through free agency and trades. -
A Realistic View at 2024: Part I
5GoldGlovesOF,75 replied to moonslav59's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
It just means they have too many usual suspects in the front office to fit into a police line up. Not that any fans could identify any, if we saw them. The Globe today reported 33 Red Sox analytics personnel; they could fire about 30 and afford a couple dozen more scouts. It's appalling there's been no core for half a freaking decade now. In Boston. Raffy in the middle holding up the stem, with a lot of dead space around him where maggots ate the rest. -
... unless the Red Sox in their current business plan intentionally fail to offer fair market value to lock up Casas longterm. His words about Sox offers so far: "nothing enticing." Uh oh, sounds like we've got another young man ungrateful for the opportunity of the Fenway Experience (discounted student tickets, 7th-inning singalongs, 40-degree rainy nights, enemy fans all over the stands)... When can we get three meh prospects for him.
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A Realistic View at 2024: Part I
5GoldGlovesOF,75 replied to moonslav59's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
Thanks, Craig. Red Sox fans are glad you dusted off the blueprints that Henry buried in the archives in 2018. The "timelines" are a bit confusing, though. During the Bloom Era, some impact starpower left or was given up -- Betts, Schwarber, Bogaerts, Eovaldi (the best pitcher in baseball in another postseason in '23). If the Sox are rebuilding -- for what, five years now -- then maybe the timing wasn't right to resign any or all of them. But then, how or why did timelines line up with inking Story or Yoshida or extending Devers? Especially when none of these damaged goods, or good-bat/no-glove guys were/are as good as those we didn't keep... -
But Bobby's height advantage can better protect the Green Monster's strike lights... which have to be at least two feet off the ground.
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CJ Cron -- 4th most similar batter, career and through age 33: Mitch Moreland. Range factor as a first baseman: 1st NL 2022, 2021; 1st in AL 2019...
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"We're gonna take care of this kid," said Cora, about a grown man wearing a costume full of colorful logos and name and number on his back.
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It's March -- the month the regular season begins. If I'm a contender, I want my top pitchers getting ready together, drilling and practicing with the team, stretching it out and working up pitch counts in exhibition games... ... not glued to their cells awaiting reprieve from Warden Boras. I dont care if he has his own camp; it's not the same and clock digits are flashing.
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Nolan Ryan. He was the first star pitcher in the 1970s noted for some bad records on bad teams. Despite leading the AL in stats like Ks, IP, CG, SHO, H9 (and no H9), Ryan lost 15 games a year for almost a decade. On the Angels, he was the Mike Trout of pitchers. The Ryan season that should end this debate, however, was 1987 on a below-.500 Houston club. That's when he led the NL in ERA, Ks, FIP, H9, K9, ERA+, K/BB... but for some reason only finished 5th in Cy Young voting, with 0 1st place votes. Maybe it was his won-loss record: 8-16.
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Did he throw up this morning because of last night's tequila shots or bad crab legs? And check his temp, because a fever could mean the flu.
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"Budget parameters!" said Sam.
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WHIPPER Wacha! 1.1 the last two highly-mocked-on-talksox years...
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President Sam said this yesterday: "This is a responsibility, a stewardship by John [Henry], Tom [Werner] and Mike [Gordon] to do everything they can to put a winning, great product on the field, and that will continue in 2024 and beyond.” Can't wait until Andrew Bailey teaches new grips to John, Tom and Mike -- and makes them all 20-game whippers.
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Name a guy who's ERA and WHIP were better than only a handful of starters in the NL in '23, and in the AL in '22... Hint: rhymes with Like Skywalka
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I was going to say Smoltz in the 1-0 Game Seven of the '91 World Series... but he only pitched into the 8th. Jack Morris threw a 10-inning shutout for the win -- but let's not dive back into his Hall of Fame resume... ... then again, there was the classic where Marichal bested Spahn and each pitched 15-inning shutouts before Mays home run gave them both decisions.
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I'm still trying to figure out if in Montgomery no-decisions, he gave up 3.89 runs on average in the 5 innings he averaged in those starts... ... or is notin's 7 in 9 IP -- or moon's 2.1 in 5 IP?
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Remember when David Price's career postseason record in 11 games started for four different teams was 0-9... until he finally won the last game of the 2018 ALCS? Maybe the best-paid hurler in history at the time didn't always pitch like dogsquat in October, but the record sure looked like it. A lot of people -- fans, media, David, and I'll bet some teammates -- couldn't get over that fact... until he finally beat Houston and the Dodgers.
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I agree an ERA of 3.89 is good -- and ERA is calculated per a 9 inning game -- but what if a starter gives up 3.89 runs every 5 innings (the average IP in Monty's no-decisions)? Does the number change over 9... what am I missing? A "Quality Start" is supposedly 3 earned through 6 IP...
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How about career splits? In the 38 starts he won, he had a 1.45 ERA in 236.2 IP (average 6.2 per start) In the 34 starts he lost, he had a 6.38 in 169.1 IP (almost 5 per start) In 69 no decisions (68 starts), 3.89 in 349 IP (5.1 per start) What these stats may show: in basically 25% of his starts he's 2000 Pedro, in 25% he's 2023 Kluber, and in the other half he's an average guy who might pick up more Ws on a good team or absorb more Ls on a bad club. What they don't measure are the intangibles on the rest of the staff and the attitude in the dugout and clubhouse by adding a pretty good starting pitcher who will take the ball every five days and keep his team in the game around 75% of the time.
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Even 10 can be very significant. If you add Montgomery's 10 wins in '23 to last year's Red Sox, it could mean a World Series -- since Boston would have 88 total wins, and then make the playoffs over the Rangers, who would have four less Ws (that Monty won for them), giving them only 86 totals wins.
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Or a home run. Or one-third of a game's worth of immaculate innings. This ain't celtstalk.com... nor have I stalked a celt, lately. Not while we all wait for Montgomery. "Monty is trying to steal show..." General George S. Patton once said.
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Montgomery was amazing after he got traded by NY to St. Louis at the '22 deadline. In his first six starts he had an ERA of about a buck-and-a-half and a sub-1 WHIP. His teammates must have been really good in those games, too, because his W-L was 5-0. And the Yankees, who had the greatest team in the history of the first half of that season, looked pretty dumb... especially when they got swept in four straight by Houston in the LCS.
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I'm not a pitcher, but have to give them more credit than any teammate of any team win. A starting pitcher who gets through five innings with the lead induces opposing batters into making 15 outs. Maybe he has a great defense behind him that catches line drives and gappers and turns DPs every frame. But the fact is, if a starter keeps his club in the game by throwing 50 pitches on average, he touches the ball 50 times when play is in session, and the ball is "live." As an outfielder, I might touch a live ball once an inning (sometimes nonce). In those five innings, I may bat twice. Even if I make one nice running catch, or on O score and/or drive in runs, the pitcher has done more to earn the W than I have...
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A Realistic View at 2024: Part I
5GoldGlovesOF,75 replied to moonslav59's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
How cardboard of you. But I have to say, I liked them better when they were horizontal, than on my radiation screen. -
A Realistic View at 2024: Part I
5GoldGlovesOF,75 replied to moonslav59's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
Nothing Sale does on the mound should surprise anyone -- but it will be very ironic if this over-30 slinger ever stays healthy for his first full season since... when... 2017?
