It's September 1, 26 games to go , a 7.5 game lead. 9 of the 26 are against other division leaders ( not terribly meaningful based on their comparative records ), but they are teams the Red Sox could meet later in the playoffs. The other 6 games are against NYY who is also a very possible first round opponent. The other 11 games are scattered among the current White Sox series, the Orioles and the Mets. The Braves series in Atlanta precludes 3 games with the DH operable. The one conclusion you can draw is that Boston will win the ALE and have the best overall record, even with a 13-13 finish.
The major area of concern, starting and bullpen pitching, is far less certain. Here's some reality--- You cannot predict how or for how long Chris Sale can perform at a top level. He may be great or back to the trainer's room. David Price may or may not be affected by the shot to his left hand. Could be a great #2 or revert to disabled. Porcello provides no clue, only a negative trend based on 3 recent starts. Erod--- If Sale and Price are unknowns due to injury, why would Erod's return be predictable. At a minimum he needs to get back to speed and try to stretch out to 6 innings potential. Eovaldi is Jake Peavy in other clothing. I'm sure he tries but has not shown any consistency , except another negative trend over multiple starts . Velazquez and Brian Johnson generally do what is asked but are marginal guys, not the core of your playoff plans. So the conclusion is that on Sept 1, the starting pitching for the best winning record in baseball is a total crapshoot. They could win it all with health returning and a turnaround in the trending. Steven Wright could make an unexpected but huge contribution if he can get his knuckleball working well, but again it's more wishing and hoping than knowing.
The bullpen may be more settled than the starters. Start with Kimbrel as the given and despite some recent misses, he is still your go to closer who is expected to perform well. Brasier, if he maintains his good work seems to be reliable in getting outs. Joe Kelly, maybe is in a positive trend but still unpredictable game to game. Barnes and Hembree did not have good August's . Who knows with these two ?
Eovaldi going to the pen ? Tell me what that does based on his recent throwing, another Barnes/Hembree ? Thornburg shows very little and may not be usable except for mopup . Workman is another ???
I want them to win it all as much as the next guy, but some of the posts about the pitching as a strength right now, leave me wondering.