Hugh2
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Everything posted by Hugh2
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This is a very accurate assessment in my opinion. While I definitely see a path for him to the majors this year my money would be against it.
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When Benintendi gets promoted to Boston later this year we should title a thread with the wording "And now his watch begins"
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He's MLB ready!!! Promote him now!!!
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Like I said, BABIP can be a skill...but I highly doubt half the team is going to BABIP close to .400 the whole year. Hard contact, good contact, and hitting line drives can definitely increase your BABIP over the long run but even then it's very hard to maintain those numbers. Think of it this way.....those 4 guys have a higher average on balls in play of close to .100 than David Ortiz. If they do keep this up then we could have a close to a historic season offensively on our hands and we will all be salivating at the mouth with joy come October. Which I hope to be doing.
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Nope, we don't. I never said Sam Travis has to be that guy only that he isn't....and that should be fine on a well constructed team. If the overall offense is great all around why go out and spend $20 million plus on a first baseman? I get that it's relatively an easy position to fill and it's ideal to put a big bopper there but everything is relative and I think it could certainly make sense to have a guy like Sam Travis (assuming he can do in MLB what he's done in the minors) at first base. And who knows....maybe he does grow into a little bit more power.
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He's a 27 year old with poor defense and a MiLB track record at AAA for about 5 seasons. He could OPS 1.000 right now and his trade value wouldn't be much more than what it is now.
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I like Sam Travis bat a lot, there is definitely a MLB hitter in there but I don't think his power is ever going to be what people expect it to be. He hits the ball very hard but he just doesn't have a HR swing, he's a line drive guy and he's hit at least 3 laser shot HR's this year that would easily be wall ball singles at Fenway. There's nothing wrong with that and he is going to be valuable but I just don't see a perennial 30/100 guy in him like a Goldschmidt or an Ortiz. Now, he could be the rare type that is able to make some adjustments and alter his swing to add power to his game but that seems to flame more guys out and create more busts than it helps (Think Garrin Cecchini). Honestly I'd be fine with what Sam Travis potentially will bring to the big leagues. I think he can be a .280 hitter .800 OPS guy with about 12-15 HR's.
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He's a Buuuuuuuum. I can't believe we wasted the #7 pick on him. Who is going to play LF in August now???
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I think if you focus on trying to replace Ortiz with one person at DH you're going to spend a ton of money for one position for a guy who doesnt' play the field and nothing on pitching. I think the reality is you can't replace a guy like Ortiz. You focus on putting together a good all around baseball team and if you do that you won't need to replace Ortiz.
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25% K rate 0% B rate. He's batting .000/.000/.000 with zero power. Obviously the Sox have rushed him.
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Bust!!!!!!!!!!!
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Kelly should get the nod before Erod.
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Trey Ball had a good night. 6 1/3 innings with 10 K's. 5 hits and 2 BB's. Four of the hits were singles and he had 4/1 GO/FO. Also reportedly his velocity has returned this spring as well. I still haven't given up on Ball developing into a good middle of the rotation starter.
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Yes, I did say I still think this is one of the leagues best offenses. But when the Sox come back down to earth (and still have a really really really good offense) the pitching will be exposed. Of course, that might somewhat be apparent now.
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I agree, BABIP can be a skill to an extent. If you are hitting more line drives and making harder contact you will have a higher BABIP. Some players always have BABIP above .300. I tend to put more weight into BABIP in terms to a players own large sample size. Still....I expect some type of regression.
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BABIP Travis Shaw .398 Hanley Ramirez .396 Jackie Bradley Jr. .390 Xander Bogaerts .389 ....sorry. P.S. I still think this is going to be one of the best offenses all year, and I still think all those guys will be good. But a regression is coming.
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Joshua Ockimey is a guy I've had my eye on and he was my sleeper candidate over the winter as well. The K rate would normally concern me but 23% isn't really all that concerning when it's matched with a high average, power, and a walk rate that is almost comparable 20%. Still given his age and the fact that this is his first taste of success I could see the Sox keeping him in Greenville all year but I don't think they will. He's probably a guy that could move up at the end of the year. Perhaps sooner, I could see him getting promoted to Salem when Longhi goes up to Portland if he keeps raking as well.
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I agree, there is a certain point where a guy has nothing to learn and keeping him at the level is a waste. However I do think it can be hard to determine exactly when a guy has crossed that line by scouting a box score because there are so many other things to consider but it was hard to see why it wasn't Benintendis time. I think Moncada goes in a month or two, and Dubon I can see getting a month in Portland at the end of the year if he keeps it up too. I wish he could put on some muscle and develop a little power. Power isn't everything and sometimes over rated but you don't have to hit home runs even just a little gap power and doubles power can go a long way.
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If the Sox need a LFer earlier than later I could see a depth trade or a call up of Swihart/Castillo depending on how they look with the bat or in the field (both have looked good lately). I'd say the earliest we see Benintendi is August and I'm curious to see how he handles the promotion. The high-A to AA jump is among the biggest in professional ball. My instincts tell me Benintendi has BEEN ready for the level but he could very well struggle for a while and still end up being a very good player and MLB ready by next year. If the cards fall right I think it's very probable we see him this year, but it could be September. I'm not 100% convinced he's here in August and here for a playoff push but I definitely see it as a possibility.
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I think Moncada will be promoted this year but I see less of a rush with him. Probably some time in early July to August for him. He's a full year younger than Benintendi, is currently blocked and still has things to work on. His swing from the left side of the plate is more advanced than his swing from the right side and I would say his K rate is still high but it's been coming down lately (at about 22% now). It wouldn't be unreasonable to promote even now however IMHO but I don't think there is as much a rush and I don't think the Sox will rush him either.
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And the s***** defense
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O'sullivan was good in a sense that he didn't give up 10 runs in one inning and get chased early. He was a victim of good circumstances, he was a filler and he filled but if this team is going to rely on this guy long term they are in trouble.
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Benintendi in Salem feels like a joke at this point, a promotion has to be imminent??? I could see Moncada being more of a mid season promotion or even mid summer but Benintendi clearly has nothing to learn at the level, I'd be very surprised if he spends one more week in Salem.
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I would obviously welcome a big bat in the lineup, but I personally would advocate against giving top dollar to a 34 or 36 year old free agent when pitching will be more of a long term need. Also, I think this team has a great young core that is making up this offense and I like to see money spent on extending one or two of them if we could.
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Who is the best Sox defender right now?
Hugh2 replied to Maxbialystock's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
I think people need to put weight in defensive metrics, otherwise you're a dinosaur. Now don't get me wrong, scouting and the eye test are still and always will be relevant. But to really use the "eye test" I think you actually have to be at the games scouting the players, you can't scout defense very well from a tv screen.