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Hugh2

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Everything posted by Hugh2

  1. Hugh2
    I’d like to address 3-4, but a quick point about point #1. Think of the back end. Think about the value of having an extra year of control when it comes to players who came up in our system such as Bogaerts, Betts, Devers, Lester, really anyone. In the long run I believe you extract more value, and it makes it easier to team build when you know you’re maximizing a players value when he’s playing for you in his prime.
  2. Hugh2
    Honestly, I’d be with any of the Lawlar, Mayer, House, Davis, Rocker, Leiter pool. I think I’m starting to like Jobe a lot too. Higher risk as a high school arm, but he could end up better than Leiter/Rocker.
  3. Hugh2
    Sometimes is better to get the accord for for years than just to be able to drive the Porsche for a week.
  4. Hugh2
    It’s been long thought that Downs moves to 2B. He’s not blocked, if he can hit he will do well. Good defense, runs the bases well too. I can’t fully explain why they wait to move guys, but it’s not abnormal for them to be keeping him at SS. They probably think he can easily make the transition to 2nd easily so why decrease his value? I actually agree he could be traded, but I don’t necessarily think he’s blocked.
  5. Hugh2
    If you notice it’s 26 guys plus Barnes/Acquisition/Chavis. They will make some moves and someone will be optioned, released, or traded.
  6. Hugh2
    You’re going to lose guys on that maybe list, I have to look at this more later, I want to look into who has to be added to the 40 man next year. There’s more than what you listed but most of them are inconsequential. There’s not going to be a roster crunch because they’re going to end up trading some of those guys. But until that happens you’re looking at one. I’m sure it will work itself out, but next year will be interesting 2 years out of Covid. Might be more Garret Whitlocks out there. Not sure what we do with Ward now. He’s likely out until late 2022/2023
  7. Hugh2
    I think we see Casas sometime between June 1st-September 1st of 2022. Very good chance it’s on the early side of that range. And that’s a fast track to the majors.
  8. Hugh2
    Yes he would, and that’s not his fault, but he still lacks those abs. That’s real game experience vs pitchers. Just because every other minor leaguer didn’t get to play last year doesn’t mean he’s any closer to the majors. He’s close, but I just don’t see this year as realistic.
  9. Hugh2
    Another example is Bogaerts, who had over 1600 plate appearances in the minors.
  10. Hugh2
    Could a should a would a. You could say the same thing about guys like Mookie Betts and Xander Boagerts and they never would have got 1/2 the vale those guys added in the majors. That’s the thing about prospects. You never really know when you’re selling high, you could actually be selling low.
  11. Hugh2
    There’s already a roster crunch coming on the 40 man. They’re not adding Casas if they don’t have too. I think they will go out and get a stop gap 1b for 2022 with the hopes that Casas might push his way up and take the job mid 2022. He’s young, think of it this way. Mookie Betts, who is the epitome of someone rushing through the minors had over 1300 plate appearances before he was promoted, Casas has 584 right now. Betts had 679 PA’s above low A when he was called up Casas is at 79. Casas is not an option just because the box score looks good. They’re still developing him. And while he appears to be on the fast track, 2021 is just way to soon. They’re not going to waste a year of control and have to boot someone off the 40 man for him.....YET.
  12. Hugh2
    No way they bring Casa up. He has a month in AA after skipping high A. If he went to college he’d be in this years draft.
  13. Hugh2
    Yeah, playing above expectations creates a whole new set of problems, better than sucking though. I do think the team thought this would be a bridge year, and they'd have a full season to see if guys like Franchy and Dalbec could put it together. Two guys with middle-of-the-order potential. The reality is, you can only wait so long on this guys, can't get attached and have to move on. I'm not closing the book on them yet, but at some point you got to plug in the hole.
  14. Hugh2
    I think you may be refering to the pipeline rankings which are a week old. Which mine as well be 6 months in draft talk. I think the top ten is pretty much set give or take, it's just the order that we don't know. All these guys we've been hearing about such as Leiter, Rocker, Lawlar, Mayer, House, Davis, Jobe are all going top ten but what order? IDK. Last Mock I saw has Leiter going #4 to Boston and Rocker falling to 11th. But they had Kahlil Watson shooting up to #2. Prior to the highest I saw him was sneaking into the top 10. https://www.prospectslive.com/mlb-draft/2021/5/11/2021-mlb-mock-draft-40-zwtc9
  15. Hugh2
    Minors could help, but maybe not, I think this is just who he is. I believe he's going to be a streaky hitter, he will go on a tear or two and have some better seasons in his prime but he might not have the consistency that is demanded from a first-division team like Boston. With Casas coming up behind him and Devers solidifying 3B I have to believe he's trade bait.
  16. Hugh2
    If you break Dalbecs season down into 2 week chunks he's been relatively consistent at being hot/cold. If he can turn the cold down just a little bit or shorten how long he goes cold for he will be fine.
  17. Hugh2
    There's so many reasons that you never draft for need, and you certainly don't let a prospect in your system block you from drafting a position you feel a guy is BPA at. First of all, these guys take 4-6 years to effectively reach the majors, even top college picks often take 2 years to develop into everyday players. Players bust, get injured, and never pan out, and then a position you thought you were strong at becomes a weakness. The point of a system is to supplement the big league club, and sometimes that is through trades. If you have a surplus of one thing, you can trade it for what you need. If you had the #1 prospect in baseball, and he was a catcher, and you had a crystal ball that told you Davis would become the #2 prospect in baseball you draft him, you draft him all day. If both guys pan out you package one up for a TOTRS.
  18. Hugh2
    At one point, people were advocating for trading away Vasquez because we had this guy called Blake Swihart in our system.
  19. Hugh2
    Dice-K was fine in the back of the rotation, the problem was he was advertised as the next great thing in the majors.
  20. Hugh2
    We might have to throw in 4 bags of baseballs.
  21. Hugh2
    Who even knows if Davis can stick behind the plate. He has a plus plus arm, and will throw out baserunners, but everything else behind the plate looks lackluster. Now, catchers can take time to develop, so I'm not saying you draft him and move him off Catcher immediately, but I think you take him knowing in mind that his bat will play elsewhere. He's the best college hitter in this draft. Personally, I could care less about the plus arm if everything else behind the plate is lagging, Which is why I would prefer one of the shortstops at the top, but I wouldn't be disappointed with Davis.
  22. Hugh2
    He was more like Dice-BB
  23. Hugh2
    Admittedly I'm no an expert but I wonder how much that top tier of talent can really be discounted. The only consensus about this draft is that there is no consensus. There is a pool of 6 guys who are all getting talked about going top 5. I'm wondering if they can work against a team trying to cut a deal. For example, if Leiter slips to #4 his agent can say we could have gone number 1 we want slot. There may be a guy willing to go under, but if a team wants to save millions I wonder if they have to go outside that top 6 to do so. If that's the case, I think I'd be more interested in the Sox taking whoever falls to them, take BPA, maybe they think that's Davis, Leiter, or one of the HS shortstops at the top.
  24. Hugh2
    If he's hitting good in AAA then certainly he can only help the big club.
  25. Hugh2
    Found this little tidbit about the Benintendi trade return interesting. Chris Hatfield @SPChrisHatfield Terrific point by a @SoxProspects Forum poster, cdj: Red Sox Special Assistant, International & Amateur Scouting Chris Becerra was the Mets' director of int'l scouting when they signed Freddy Valdez. Red Sox were scouting Mets' system now, but that perspective likely was helpful.
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