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Hugh2

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Everything posted by Hugh2

  1. Hugh2
    Oh I agree, I think Bobby Dalbec is a better player than he is right now. I'd be willing to bet money he's going to be better than his current stat line, what I'm not convinced in is that he's going to be much better than he is now. I think he will be a regular somewhere I'm just not sure Boston can stomach his long stretches of nothing and K's.
  2. Hugh2
    I think it would be fair when comparing the two to point out how much younger Casas is than Bobby Dalbec. If Casas went to college like Dalbec he’d be looking to go into this years draft. At this point in Dalbecs development he wasn’t even in our system yet and Casas is dominating AA ball.
  3. Hugh2
    BA came out with their mid season top 100 today. #27 Casas #29 Duran #68 Downs
  4. Hugh2
    The way the minor league schedule worked out Greenville only played 3 teams the first 3 weeks of the season. I think the pitching on those teams was pretty bad, helps seeing the same guy over and over again.
  5. Hugh2
    One thing I'm certain of is the higher in the draft you go, the less likely need is a factor. I'm sure it's certainly this way in the first round for most teams.
  6. Hugh2
    There's also UDFA
  7. Hugh2
    I agree, I think it's always some form of BPA. The way I see it is when they're down in the later rounds and over 600 guys are off the board no one has a definitive board where player x is the BPA, and player y is BPA available after him. They have guys in tiers of talent. I think at that point it's easy for a team to say we need HS pitchers because we have no pitching depth in Salem/GCL etc. Of course, going from 40 rounds to 20 rounds may change things.
  8. Hugh2
    MLB said the changes to the baseball would only reduce the distance by 1-2 feet on balls hit 375 feet. Maybe they've had more of an effect in Yankee stadium. I'm wondering how much of a factor that may be. If the Yankees can't hit home runs they're very beatable. I wouldn't write them off yet, they can still go on a tear. They are the New Yankees, and they almost never suck as much as we want them too.
  9. Hugh2
    Jester Downs is the #2 prospect in the Sox system, his ceiling is much higher than Kike Hernandez.
  10. Hugh2
    We could do this with Duran too. Same scouts say he’s a potential fringe starting outfielder, with the ceiling of an everyday starter. What if he doesn’t reach his ceiling? He could probably still carve out a job on this roster but I suspect we’d want more from a starter.
  11. Hugh2
    Then he’s a much better 2nd baseman than Kike Hernandez and for less money.
  12. Hugh2
    I don’t think he has much more than a .225 maybe .240 hitter. Personally I don’t think he’s here long term.
  13. Hugh2
    Downs is in the same boat as Duran. Duran doesn’t really have anyone blocking him as Boston does not have 3 MLB starting caliber outfielders. So we all agree Duran is taking an outfield spot when he’s ready, why would we not give a prospect, at the same level, in the same position the same expectation. Do we love Kike that much?
  14. Hugh2
    Absolutely, but when you have a top prospect who can play a position that’s not locked down at the big league level you are going to plan on them taking it over.
  15. Hugh2
    Downs is also two years younger at the same level:
  16. Hugh2
    5, above average tools across the board is a first division starter. He’s a consensus top 100 guy all around baseball. Why would at least not hope he’s going to take over 2nd? Who’s blocking
  17. Hugh2
    I expect Downs to be an everyday player, I hope he reaches his ceiling and is an all star talent. I expect the Sox to replace him if he can’t reach that potential. Easier said than done, but always easier when you have system depth.
  18. Hugh2
    https://soxprospects.com/players/downs-jeter.htm
  19. Hugh2
    It’s not as if this was Bobby’s first HR. This is who Dalbec will be. JBJ with more power but less defense. He’s going to go on tears and have months where he disappears.
  20. Hugh2
    Best comp I can find is Kolton Wong. Kike has the stat line advantage and is a year younger. Wong got 18/2
  21. Hugh2
    What evidence do we have that he’s not making market value?
  22. Hugh2
    Kike isn’t any more overpaid than anyone else in FA. But what measures we can gather we have discovered he’s making free market value. If there’s information out there that says otherwise I’d be happy to change my mind. Regardless, he’s making 3% of a luxury tax limit. He’s not exactly preventing the Sox from signing anyone. He will be a good place holder for Downs.
  23. Hugh2
    I’d choose the hall of fame pitcher.
  24. Hugh2
    2B is considered a premium defensive position that would likely increase Kikes value. He’s been outstanding on defense.
  25. Hugh2
    The average Salary in free agency is between 8-9 million per war, meaning if Kike meets his career averages he will be underpaid at 7 million a year.
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