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Hugh2

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Everything posted by Hugh2

  1. He's also on pace for a career-high in appearances and innings pitched. Barnes has been overworked. This is why Houck is an important addition IMO.
  2. Ironically, most of the people being 'bashed' for saying Duran wouldn't come up this year were ACTUALLY saying he wouldn't come up until later in the year.................which is exactly what happened.
  3. 34 PA's is a small sample size. How do we know he didn't crush 8 balls right at someone? Also if the Red Sox deem him ready, if he's in a mini-slump that doesn't make someone more or less ready.
  4. It’s so great to see Duran coming up to bolster the 1-9 and Houck come up to bolster the bullpen.
  5. I mean, to be fair, I would, have, and will do the same thing. Who wants to scour through 300 pages of forum banter? But I was thinking about it this morning, we'd spend less time than the days longs arguments that ensue if you added it all up and put the work in. But I think that's just the thing, people enjoy banter.......that's why they're here. But yeah for the record, to my recollection people were in two camps (generally speaking). Duran should come up now, or Duran should come up soon.
  6. In my opinion you’re too high on everyone on that list but the first two picks. Which, to be fair are the two important ones and there, I think you might be dead on the money.
  7. I always hate the ceiling/floor convo because realistically his floor could be never reaches the majors. But with some reasonable projection I think one could say Fabians floor is high than Dalbec. Dalbec has power and that’s it, Fabian has speed and plus defense at a premium position. He has other ways he can impact the game.
  8. Or to coin a newer catch phrase. “Pics or it didn’t happen”
  9. I’ve always been a big fan of “put up or shut up”. If people are so adamant about this board hating on Duran, go back, find the quotes, and post them. That would seriously take less time than all this bickering and mud-slinging.
  10. Yeah, this doesn’t make sense to me. Everyone pumping the breaks on Duran still thought it likely we see him at some point this year.
  11. So I was only 11 days off on the Duran promotion. I said for a while he will not play CF in Boston. I’d like to critique that statement. He will not play CF in Boston long term. I think he starts there but moves to a corner rather quickly. Who knows, maybe his defense makes a jump at the next level. But I would have figured he’d get at least a few starts in LF down in Worcester before bringing him up. I don’t think the Sox will be shy about switching his position but I have a hard time believing they do it in his major league debut.
  12. I think you're right on Kavadas too MVP, I think he takes less. I could never do what Mike Andrews does, but he's far from perfect.
  13. Exactly. Most teams want to sign their top ten picks, because if you DON'T sign one of those guys, that slot allotment is subtracted from your bonus pool. While it does happen from time to time it's relatively rare. The Sox draftees who are high schoolers 1-10 SHOULD sign. Mayer, Rodriguez, McEvleny. After that, you can count on a few HS kids signing, sometimes they take a kid for insurance to see if someone else doesn't sign with the hope that they might be able to scoop them up. Or, to build a relationship etc etc. Sometimes, with some of these kids, they just want to play ball and start their professional careers and it doesn't take much to sign them. Like Brandon Howlett who signed for 180,000 in the 2018 draft 21st round. I'd think with only 20 rounds, you're going to see teams drafting less and less players they can't sign, but I still think you will see 3-4 guys with most teams drafts who do NOT sign.
  14. I would like to correct myself. Kavadas is an 11th round pick. So I would not be completely shocked if they failed to sign him, but I still think they sign him. Odds are, they don't sign about 3 of these guys, and the odds are those guys are ones who were drafted 11-20. I think there's a small chance they don't sign Fabian, in which case any moved around for him can be thrown at someone else who I don't think will sign but perhaps they drafted as insurance if they did fail to sign Fabian. Like Peyton Green, Hood, Vela.
  15. I do not know, but the reports I've read on him talks about him having the option of returning to school.
  16. Are we talking about Jose Berrios? a really good MLB starting pitcher with an extra year of team control Jose Berrios? add in trade deadline premium? The package you would need to land Berrios would make 90% of this thread laugh in disbelief.
  17. Also, and perhaps more importantly, I believe Kavadas is eligible to return to college and play another year. So he has a little bit of leverage.
  18. The guy is shaped like Pablo Sandoval, and he's not ever going to play 3B, he might not even play 1B that well. He's 1B/DH profile. He has to hit, and when he fell everyone was taking senior signs rounds 4-10. He will get an above slot deal, in that the Sox will pay him north of $125,000. He probably gets around 225K-400K. EDIT: probably closer to that 225 range.
  19. I would be absolutely shocked if any of the top 10 picks don't sign. He's signing.
  20. You have got to really hate your minor league pitching to draft all pitchers. They're going to have to put these guys on rosters which means that either 1/2 of them aren't signing or they're releasing a bunch of guys. Maybe next year they draft 20 hitters.
  21. A good projection for him is Dalbec at the plate, but the plus defense in CF and speed on the bases give him a much higher floor. If he figures it out at the plate, he has a chance at being more. Worth the risk for a 2nd round pick.
  22. It will be interesting to see what the Sox do today. Every slot moving forward is $125,000 which means the biggest bonus the Sox can pay anyone here is that number, anything over goes towards their draft cap. So if they take a high school kid and have to throw him 425k to convince him not to go to college $400,000 of that will go towards their bonus pool. With drafts reduced down to 20 picks I think teams are less likely to draft guys who are NOT going to sign, so who they take today could be very telling to what type of bonus demands Mayer and Fabian are going to command. I'm sure they're saving some money with their day two picks, and they will spend their 5% overage but if they aren't taking all guys who look like they will sign for slot then I'll take that as a sign that Mayer and Fabian are getting paid. I think Mayer gets somewhere in the 6.9-8 million range and Fabian gets somewhere around 2.5 million.
  23. Just saw some scouting video on Elmer Rodriguez-Cruz. I can’t tell why this kid wasn’t regarded much higher, he has the frame and delivery that really makes you dream. He’s a young pitcher though, so it’s a high risk.
  24. scouts think his swing and miss is related to pitch recognition, he goes up there and guesses. If it's fixable, this is huge. It's a boom or bust pick. Keep in mind, he's highly athletic with speed and scouts think he sticks in the Center. Again, he comes with risk, but he has all star potential.
  25. On pure ceiling alone I think you can make an argument for Mayer at #1, but they're so close in pure talent and Casas is further along. Proximity to the majors matters. I think Mayer will slot in at #2 on the Sox rankings.
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