harmony
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Everything posted by harmony
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This weekend the Mariners host a three-game series against the Houston Astros, who host a doubleheader against the Yankees on Thursday before flying to Seattle to start the weekend series on Friday. The Mariners have split a dozen games against the Astros this season. But indeed in the first 20 games after the All Star Break the Mariners play the Astros seven times and the Yankees six times.
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Would the Red Sox consider trading Nick Pivetta at the deadline? Baseball Trade Values lists Pivetta with a surplus value of $6.3 million: https://www.baseballtradevalues.com/players/9135/
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The defending World Series champion Atlanta Braves pick three places ahead of the Toronto Blue Jays and one pick ahead of the Seattle Mariners, neither of whom advanced to the postseason last year.
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7/17 SOX @ Yankems 1:35PM ET
harmony replied to SPLENDIDSPLINTER's topic in Mike Grace Memorial Game Thread Forum
The Red Sox need the All Star Break. -
July 16th Red Sox at Yankees
harmony replied to Tedballgame's topic in Mike Grace Memorial Game Thread Forum
The Red Sox run differential took a hit tonight. -
The Last Picture Show by Larry McMurtry was a great book and great movie but the sequels (four books and one film) got sillier and sillier. Nevertheless I identified with protagonist Duane as we aged together.
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What about a trade of outfielder Mitch Haniger and lefthander Tommy Milone for lefthander Blake Snell and infielder Ha-Seong Kim? https://sodomojo.com/2022/07/15/mock-trade-mariners-padres-snell-haniger/ The Padres would take on the balance of Haniger's final arbitration salary of $7.75 million. For the Mariners, 2020 Rookie of the Year Kyle Lewis would return to join Julio Rodriguez and Jesse Winker in the Seattle outfield with Taylor Trammell and Jarred Kelenic waiting in the wings (and Carlos Santana securely at designated hitter). However, a trade of Haniger probably would not be well received in the Seattle clubhouse.
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Marcelo Mayer, Triston Casas, Brayan Bello and Nick Yorke might not be enough to get it done.
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The trade deadline reportedly is 6 pm EDT on August 2: https://www.si.com/mlb/2022/07/01/trade-deadline-primer-five-tool-newsletter#:~:text=We're%20just%20about%20a,2%20at%206%20p.m.%20ET.
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July Fourteenth Red Sox @ Rays
harmony replied to moonslav59's topic in Mike Grace Memorial Game Thread Forum
Toronto and Seattle are losing as well at this moment. -
From Thursday's chat with Steve Adams at MLB Trade Rumors: https://www.jotcast.com/chat/chat-with-mlbtrs-steve-adams-7-14-22-13521.html
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Especially when that 10-game homestand is against the struggling Rangers, Athletics and Tigers.
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What if the head-to-head tiebreaker in a three-way tie looks at the cumulative record of one team against the other two teams? The Red Sox are 9-8 against the Blue Jays and Mariners, the Blue Jays 9-8 against the Red Sox and Mariners, and the Mariners 6-8 against the Red Sox and Blue Jays. Under that scenario, the Blue Jays and Red Sox would secure postseason slots and the Mariners would be left out in the cold again.
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The new tiebreaker rules can be confusing but if the season ended at this moment the Red Sox would likely fall short of the postseason. The Red Sox, Blue Jays and Mariners are currently tied for the second and third Wild Card slots. The first tiebreaker is head-to-head competition which gives the Red Sox the edge over the Mariners, the Mariners the edge over the Blue Jays and the Blue Jays the edge over the Red Sox. The second tiebreaker is intradivision record in which the Red Sox stand at 11-23, the Blue Jays at 16-18 and the Mariners at 20-16. Presumably the Mariners would secure the second Wild Card slot and the Blue Jays the third slot. The Mariners might receive a benefit in playing in a weaker division. Or not. In 20-game stretch after the All Star Break the Mariners play seven games against the Houston Astros and six games against the New York Yankees. It could be an interesting season.
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Dennis Lin, the veteran Padre beat reporter at The Athletic, had this response in a June 28 mailbag: https://theathletic.com/3386941/2022/06/28/padres-mailbag-joe-musgrove-esteury-ruiz/?source=emp_shared_article
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ZiPS projects Blake Snell with 50 innings the remainder of the 2022 season. A veteran starter such Tommy Milone who can effectively shuttle between Triple A and the parent club has value in these days of crowded active rosters.
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If San Diego is looking to shed payroll the Padres are unlikely to be interested in the guaranteed 2023 salaries of $8.375 million and $3.5 million for Matt Barnes and Jake Diekman (not to mention the buyouts of their 2024 options). Veterans Tommy Milone and Justin Upton might be attractive to the Padres only because of their expiring contracts at league-minimum net salaries.
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Tommy Milnne, who takes the mound tonight, would likely post fewer strikeouts and fewer walks than Blake Snell. ZiPS projects rest-of-season ERA of 3.72 for Snell and 3.82 for Milone.
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The Mariners would likely top the proposed offer, which was accepted at Baseball Trade Values with more up votes than down votes: https://www.baseballtradevalues.com/trades/trade-88834/ The accepted trade apparently is discussion-worthy.
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Qualifying Offer | Glossary | MLB.com WWW.MLB.COM The Official Site of Major League Baseball It's complicated.
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Entering tonight's game Trevor Story led the Red Sox with eight Defensive Runs Saved: https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders.aspx?pos=all&stats=fld&lg=all&qual=0&type=1&season=2022&month=0&season1=2022&ind=0&team=3&rost=0&age=0&filter=&players=0&startdate=2022-01-01&enddate=2022-12-31&sort=12,d
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The Padres may well receive better offers ... no argument there. But moving Eric Hosmer and his negative $34.5 million trade value would cost the Padres valuable prospects. Wil Myers and his negative $7.5 million trade value would be harder to move than Blake Snell and his $700,000 surplus trade value. Neither Hosmer nor Myers would yield an impressive return.
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The Mariners could remove Justin Upton from the deal, which would give the Padres a wider edge in the trade, according to Baseball Trade Values: https://www.baseballtradevalues.com/trades/trade-88834/ ... although the original proposal has received more thumbs-up than thumbs-down at BTV. The Padres probably would welcome a trade of Ha-Seong Kim, who has a negative $1.4 million trade value at Baseball Trade Values. The $33 million in financial commitments to Snell and Kim after this season impact the Padres and their luxury tax (although only $17 million would count against the threshold in 2023).
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Baseball Trade Values assigns Blake Snell a surplus value of only $700,000 because of the $22.3 million remaining on his contract through 2023. BTV assigns Ha-Seong Kim a negative trade value of $1.4 million on a contract that runs through 2024. It all depends on how far the Padres will go to avoid the luxury tax: https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2022/06/padres-trade-rumors-blake-snell-luxury-tax.html
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From a June 28 mailbag with Dennis Lin, the Padre beat reporter for The Athletic: https://theathletic.com/3386941/2022/06/28/padres-mailbag-joe-musgrove-esteury-ruiz/?source=emp_shared_article No one suggests the proposed trade involves equal talent on each side. The point is that the Padres reportedly want to clear payroll and that the Mariners are in a position to take on payroll.