harmony
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Everything posted by harmony
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4/15 Twins @ SOX
harmony replied to SPLENDIDSPLINTER's topic in Mike Grace Memorial Game Thread Forum
Last year the Red Sox went 5-2 against Minnesota, outscoring the Twins 46-29. -
4/12 SOX @ Tigers 1:10 PM
harmony replied to SPLENDIDSPLINTER's topic in Mike Grace Memorial Game Thread Forum
Not significantly better than some other divisions ... but this is not the thread for that debate. -
That would be a problem in any division.
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As do some other underdogs.
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FWIW in 2021 Ty France played 915 of his 1,107.1 innings in the field at first base, which skewed his fWAR downward because of the position adjustment: https://blogs.fangraphs.com/explaining-win-values-part-three/
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FWIW FanGraphs ranks the Red Sox bullpen ninth in Major League Baseball: https://blogs.fangraphs.com/2022-positional-power-rankings-bullpen-no-1-15/ FanGraphs ranks the Seattle bullpen 19th despite the additions of Ken Giles, Andres Munoz and Sergio Romo to a bullpen that last year ranked fourth in reliever fWAR: https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders.aspx?pos=all&stats=rel&lg=all&qual=0&type=8&season=2021&month=0&season1=2021&ind=0&team=0,ts&rost=0&age=0&filter=&players=0&startdate=2021-01-01&enddate=2021-12-31
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This biased poster likes the 16th-ranked Seattle rotation (and depth).
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FWIW FanGraphs ranks the Red Sox starting rotation 12th in Major League Baseball: https://blogs.fangraphs.com/2022-positional-power-rankings-starting-rotation-no-1-15/
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Thank you for the correction.
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That's a question for ZiPS. FWIW Paul Konerko had an OPS+ of 121 through his age 36 season -- including OPS+ of 160, 141 and 130 in his age 34, 35 and 36 seasons -- before the decline set in with an OPS+ of 77 over his age 37 and 38 seasons.
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FWIW Paul Konerko posted a wRC+ of 118 and 24.0 fWAR in 2,349 career games while Ty France has posted a wRC+ of 121 and 4.5 fWAR in 264 career games. https://www.fangraphs.com/players/paul-konerko/242/stats?position=1B https://www.fangraphs.com/players/ty-france/17982/stats?position=1B
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Baseball Trade Values provides entertainment but does not always reflect reality, in part because the site does not take into consideration each team's needs. BTV is generous in its valuations of Bobby Dalbec, who turns 27 in June, and Jarred Duran, who turns 26 in September.
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Why would the Mariners trade for two players who would be stuck at Triple A Tacoma? ZiPS projects Jarred Duran and Bobby Dalbec with 2022 WAR of 1.1 and 1.0, respectively: https://www.fangraphs.com/projections.aspx?pos=all&stats=bat&type=zips&team=3&lg=all&players= ZiPS projects 16 Seattle hitters with at least 1.1 WAR in 2022: https://www.fangraphs.com/projections.aspx?pos=all&stats=bat&type=zips&team=11&lg=all&players=
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Perhaps because Steven Souza Jr.'s consensus projected 2022 WAR of 0.0. https://www.fangraphs.com/players/steven-souza-jr/5667/stats?position=OF
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In 2015-17 Steven Souza Jr. posted 6.1 fWAR in three seasons with a Tampa Bay Ray club that had Chaim Bloom as vice president for baseball operations. Thank goodness BTV does not run the Seattle Mariners. ^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^
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Given the crowded Seattle outfield, the righthanded bat of right fielder Steven Souza Jr. could be available after the nearly 33-year-old veteran pounded his third homer of spring Monday. Or not.
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FanGraphs columnist Jay Jaffe ranks the Red Sox 24th in projected WAR from right field: https://blogs.fangraphs.com/2022-positional-power-rankings-right-field/
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FWIW last year the New York Yankees were the only AL East team with a winning record against the AL West as the divisions finished within one game of .500 in head-to-head competition. Jim Bowden of The Athletic gave these offseason grades: D - Orioles B - Red Sox B - Yankees C+ - Rays A - Blue Jays C - Astros B- - Angels A - Athletics A - Mariners A - Rangers https://theathletic.com/3200369/2022/03/28/mlb-offseason-grades-for-all-30-teams-jim-bowdens-guide-to-a-wild-winter-and-whats-next/ (subscription required) Of course the high grade for Oakland was based on its sell-off that has resulted in 2022 win projections that rival lowly Baltimore. And a Jim Bowden endorsement is often a kiss of death. Here's to an enjoyable 2022 season.
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FWIW: This year the AL East draws the NL Central instead of the NL East in interleague play while the AL West draws the NL East instead of the NL West.
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From the summary of the methodology at the bottom of the Forbes article: The summary has a link to more details on methodology. https://www.forbes.com/sites/mikeozanian/2022/03/24/baseballs-most-valuable-teams-2022-yankees-hit-6-billion-as-new-cba-creates-new-revenue-streams/?sh=2bed6e8c600a
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Forbes reports that the Red Sox had an operating income of $69 million last year while the New York Yankees took an operating loss of $40 million: https://www.forbes.com/sites/mikeozanian/2022/03/24/baseballs-most-valuable-teams-2022-yankees-hit-6-billion-as-new-cba-creates-new-revenue-streams/?sh=1143235f600a
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FWIW Oakland lefthander Sean Manaea tossed 4.2 strong innings Thursday against the Texas Rangers: MLB Gameday: Rangers 5, Athletics 3 Final Score (03/24/2022) | MLB.com WWW.MLB.COM Follow MLB results with FREE box scores, pitch-by-pitch strikezone info, and Statcast data for Rangers vs. Athletics at Hohokam Stadium
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Good observation. Today's interesting discussion of the winner's curse: https://www.lookoutlanding.com/2022/3/21/22988027/seattle-mariners-jerry-dipoto-and-the-winners-curse-free-agency-robbie-ray-trevor-story
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A team with a stronger farm system could probably top any Red Sox offer that does not include Triston Casas, Marcelo Mayer, Nick Yorke or Jarren Duran.
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For Kendall Graveman (and Rafael Montero), the Astros also gave up veteran reliever Joe Smith, today's Twins signee who outperformed Graveman for the balance of the 2021 season.