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harmony

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Everything posted by harmony

  1. Trivia: In a 2014 college game started by Stanford righthander Cal Quantrill, the winning pitcher was Arizona righthander Bobby Dalbec: https://gostanford.com/sports/2014/5/9/Stats_18911.aspx
  2. The Red Sox reportedly acquired outfielder Abraham Almonte for cash: https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2022/07/red-sox-acquire-abraham-almonte-from-brewers.html
  3. Heading into Sunday's games Juan Soto had posted 21.3 fWAR in 557 career games while Rafael Devers had posted 18.0 fWAR in 635 career games. ZiPS projects Soto with 7.9 and 7.7 WAR over the next two seasons while projecting Devers with 4.5 and 4.6 WAR over the same period. https://www.fangraphs.com/players/juan-soto/20123/stats?position=OF https://www.fangraphs.com/players/rafael-devers/17350/stats?position=3B
  4. The Red Sox were not the only team to swept at home after entering the weekend with a winning record.
  5. 538 has the Red Sox at 30 percent: https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2022-mlb-predictions/ It's been a miserable week for the Red Sox but they're still just three games back of the third and final Wild Card slot (currently held by the falling Seattle Mariners thanks in part to the Sox ineptitude against the Blue Jays;))
  6. The Red Sox chances for a postseason berth are down to 28.8 percent as I write at 8:29 pm EST: https://www.fangraphs.com/standings/playoff-odds
  7. https://www.baseballtradevalues.com/trades/trade-93607/
  8. https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/travelers/proof-of-vaccination.html#:~:text=Do%20I%20still%20need%20proof,proof%20of%20COVID%2D19%20vaccination.
  9. Any love for Arizona first baseman Christian Walker, who has posted a higher fWAR than Peter Alonso and Valdimir Guerrero Jr. this year and who has a surplus trade value of only $3.5 million at Baseball Trade Values? https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders.aspx?pos=1b&stats=bat&lg=all&qual=y&type=8&season=2022&month=0&season1=2022&ind=0&team=0&rost=0&age=0&filter=&players=0&startdate=2022-01-01&enddate=2022-12-31 https://www.baseballtradevalues.com/players/9690/
  10. Even with a 14-game win streak (and winning 22 of 25) the Mariners' season winning percentage (.548) falls short of last year's full-season winning percentage (.556). But this year's team has a +36 run differential while last year's team ended at -51. But the modest second-half strength of schedule is encouraging: https://www.fangraphs.com/standings/playoff-odds After 93 games the Mariners are 51-42 with a 67.7 percent chance of advancing to the postseason, according to FanGraphs: https://www.fangraphs.com/standings/playoff-odds?date=2022-07-18&dateDelta= After 93 games of the 2018 season the Mariners were 58-35 with a an 80.6 percent chance of advancing to the postseason, according to FanGraphs: https://www.fangraphs.com/standings/playoff-odds?date=2018-07-11&dateDelta= Baseball can be cruel as the Mariners came up short in 2018 ... perhaps this is the year for the Mariners. Or not.
  11. Baseball Trade Values gives the expiring contract of righthander Nathan Eovaldi a surplus value of $3.6 million: https://www.baseballtradevalues.com/players/8096/ Of roughly equal value would be Seattle's 23-year-old prospect righthander Taylor Dollard, who is having a Brandon Walter-type season at Double A: https://www.baseballtradevalues.com/players/43013/ https://www.baseball-reference.com/register/player.fcgi?id=dollar000tay
  12. Find equal value on the Seattle Mariners: https://www.baseballtradevalues.com/teams/478/ ... although the Mariners are unlikely to trade 23-year-old righthander Emerson Hancock, a former No. 6 draft pick who struck out the side in the sixth inning of Saturday's Futures Game.
  13. Thank you for the correction.
  14. This weekend the Mariners host a three-game series against the Houston Astros, who host a doubleheader against the Yankees on Thursday before flying to Seattle to start the weekend series on Friday. The Mariners have split a dozen games against the Astros this season. But indeed in the first 20 games after the All Star Break the Mariners play the Astros seven times and the Yankees six times.
  15. Would the Red Sox consider trading Nick Pivetta at the deadline? Baseball Trade Values lists Pivetta with a surplus value of $6.3 million: https://www.baseballtradevalues.com/players/9135/
  16. The defending World Series champion Atlanta Braves pick three places ahead of the Toronto Blue Jays and one pick ahead of the Seattle Mariners, neither of whom advanced to the postseason last year.
  17. The Red Sox need the All Star Break.
  18. The Red Sox run differential took a hit tonight.
  19. The Last Picture Show by Larry McMurtry was a great book and great movie but the sequels (four books and one film) got sillier and sillier. Nevertheless I identified with protagonist Duane as we aged together.
  20. What about a trade of outfielder Mitch Haniger and lefthander Tommy Milone for lefthander Blake Snell and infielder Ha-Seong Kim? https://sodomojo.com/2022/07/15/mock-trade-mariners-padres-snell-haniger/ The Padres would take on the balance of Haniger's final arbitration salary of $7.75 million. For the Mariners, 2020 Rookie of the Year Kyle Lewis would return to join Julio Rodriguez and Jesse Winker in the Seattle outfield with Taylor Trammell and Jarred Kelenic waiting in the wings (and Carlos Santana securely at designated hitter). However, a trade of Haniger probably would not be well received in the Seattle clubhouse.
  21. Marcelo Mayer, Triston Casas, Brayan Bello and Nick Yorke might not be enough to get it done.
  22. The trade deadline reportedly is 6 pm EDT on August 2: https://www.si.com/mlb/2022/07/01/trade-deadline-primer-five-tool-newsletter#:~:text=We're%20just%20about%20a,2%20at%206%20p.m.%20ET.
  23. Toronto and Seattle are losing as well at this moment.
  24. From Thursday's chat with Steve Adams at MLB Trade Rumors: https://www.jotcast.com/chat/chat-with-mlbtrs-steve-adams-7-14-22-13521.html
  25. Especially when that 10-game homestand is against the struggling Rangers, Athletics and Tigers.
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