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harmony

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Everything posted by harmony

  1. Throwing another name out there: Cody Bellinger if the Los Angeles Dodgers non-tender the 27-year-old as speculated. Bellinger, who this season has a $17 million salary in the second-to-last year of team control, has 16 Defensive Runs Saves over 2820.2 career innings in center field. The 2019 NL MVP has posted 1.3 fWAR in 131 games this season despite a woeful 78 wRC+. What contract could Bellinger land as a free agent? https://blogs.fangraphs.com/the-bellinger-tolls-for-the-2019-nl-mvp/
  2. Fair enough.
  3. No team will pursue Adam Frazier as a potential center fielder. Frazier will continue only as an emergency replacement in center field ... and a dire emergency at that: https://www.baseball-reference.com/boxes/HOU/HOU202207300.shtml
  4. Everyone presumably would give Kiki Hernandez the clear defensive edge over Adam Frazier in center field. This season and in the foreseeable future the Seattle Mariners are fortunate to have a better option in center field.
  5. One-year, two-year and careers stats are provided to provide a more comprehensive view than a single stat standing alone. A reader can choose to incorporate any stat into a valuation ... or ignore every stat. It was noteworthy that Kiki Hernandez and Adam Frazier experienced their career years in 2021 at the same age. Hence, the inclusion of their 2021 WAR and wRC+ totals.
  6. They're related.
  7. FWIW this season Adam Frazier has played more positions, including every position Kiki Hernandez has played. However, Frazier lacks Hernandez's reputation in center field, a critical defensive position.
  8. One comp for Kiki Hernandez might be Seattle's Adam Frazier, a pending free agent who is four months younger than Hernandez. Frazier is a second baseman who this season has made 35 appearances in the outfield and two at shortstop. A 2021 All Star, Frazier has posted 11.6 fWAR (and 99 wRC+) in 809 career games, including 3.6 fWAR (and 113 wRC+) in 155 games last year. Hernandez has posted 12.3 fWAR (and 99 wRC+) in 903 career games, including 4.1 fWAR (and 109 wRC+) in 134 games last year. This season Frazier has posted 1.2 fWAR (and 81 wRC+) in 144 games while Hernandez has posted 0.4 fWAR (and 81 wRC+) in 79 games. What would be an appropriate free agent contract for Frazier, who is earning $8 million in his final arbitration season?
  9. Don't look too far. FWIW last offseason Tommy Pham was a 33-year-old outfielder who had posted 15.9 fWAR in 732 career games when Pham signed a one-year, $7.5 million contract with the Cincinnati Reds. Kiki Hernandez is a 31-year-old utility player who has posted 12.3 fWAR in 903 career games. This season Hernandez has posted 0.4 fWAR in 79 games while Pham has posted 1.0 fWAR in 132 games. FWIW
  10. From Tuesday's MLB Trade Rumors report on the six teams that will pay the competitive balance tax this year: https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2022/09/mets-dodgers-luxury-tax-yankees-red-sox-phillies-padres.html
  11. Chris Taylor was a versatile 31-year-old coming off a 3.1 fWAR season when the 2021 All Star landed the four-year, $60 million contract. At that point Taylor had posted 15.5 fWAR in 743 career games. Kiki Hernandez is a versatile 31-year-old who has posted 0.4 fWAR so far this season while landing the one-year, $10 million contract for 2023. Hernandez has posted 12.3 fWAR in 902 career games.
  12. The simple math is that if the Red Sox win one game against each of the remaining six opponents to go 6-13 the Sox will finish 12 games under .500. If the Sox win five series against remaining foes, and split the four-game series, the Sox would finish no worse than .500.
  13. Sunday I was hiking in the Canadian Rockies and lost wifi reception with the Mariners up 6-2 heading into the ninth inning. Imagine my surprise when I learned the result upon my return to civilization.
  14. https://theathletic.com/3187914/2022/03/16/mlbs-collective-bargaining-agreement-guide-to-the-changes-in-the-2022-26-labor-deal/?amp=1
  15. Especially Mrs. Harmony (who prefers the honorific Dr. and her maiden name).🙂
  16. No one should care what harmony thinks.
  17. The Mariners could target Seattle native Michael Conforto given Mitch Haniger’s pending free agency and the uncertain futures of Kyle Lewis, Jarred Kelenic and Taylor Trammell.
  18. This lover of cheap seats just bought $1 tickets (plus $7.29 in fees) to see a Wednesday afternoon game at the worst stadium in the league. At least the Oakland A's will be playing a good team in the Atlanta Braves.
  19. The same Seattle Mariners who this season lost six of seven games with the Red Sox.
  20. James Paxton has only 754.2 MLB innings on his arm as the lefthander approaches his 34th birthday in November: https://www.baseball-reference.com/players/p/paxtoja01.shtml
  21. Another memory that should warm Red Sox fans during the chill of mid-October this year.
  22. This poster is among the many Seattle fans of James Paxton but the soon-to-be 34-year-old lefthander has tossed only 21.2 MLB innings since 2019. 2019! We wish Paxton the best in life after baseball.
  23. From Tuesday's MLB Trade Rumors chat with columnist Steve Adams: https://www.jotcast.com/chat/chat-with-mlbtrs-steve-adams-9-6-22-13884.html
  24. Red Sox fans will always cherish fond memories of the World Series titles but since the start of the 2020 season the Tampa Bay Rays have the second-best cumulative regular-season record (behind the Dodgers) while the Red Sox in that period are in the bottom half among the 30 MLB teams. https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders.aspx?pos=all&stats=pit&lg=all&qual=0&type=8&season=2022&month=0&season1=2020&ind=0&team=0,ts&rost=0&age=0&filter=&players=0&startdate=2020-01-01&enddate=2022-12-31&sort=2,d
  25. Therefore are the undue expectations and pressure of Red Sox fans at least partially to blame for that competitive disadvantage?
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