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harmony

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Everything posted by harmony

  1. harmony
    Five years have passed since the midseason trade that sent J.D. Martinez from Detroit to Arizona where in 257 plate appearances Martinez posted a .302/.366/.741/1.107 line with 29 homers to lead the Diamondbacks into the postseason. Martinez may not have that gas left in the tank.
  2. harmony
    The postseason chances of the 50-52 Red Sox have dropped to 20 percent at FanGraphs and FiveThirtyEight: https://www.fangraphs.com/standings/playoff-odds https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2022-mlb-predictions/ What is a reasonable plan as Tuesday's trade deadline approaches?
  3. harmony
    Why does this forum, despite its great potential for serious MLB discussion, devolve into personal attacks?
  4. harmony
    Luis Castillo, who is 17 months older than Jose Berrios, has posted 16.5 fWAR in 792.1 career innings while Berrios has posted 15.5 fWAR in 959 innings. The midseason trades involved comparable Top 100 prospects: Double A prospects Austin Martin and Simeon Woods Richardson for Berrios and Single A prospects Noelvi Marte and Edwin Arroyo for Castillo. The Mariners added longshots Levi Stoudt and Andrew Moore to seal the Castillo deal. Time may tell whether either or both trades were overpays. Or not.
  5. harmony
    The Cincinnati Reds have now traded two of my fantasy team's players -- Jesse Winker and Luis Castillo -- to the Seattle Mariners this year. With a 28-man roster that includes Castillo, Winker, Julio Rodriguez, Ty France, Robbie Ray, Logan Gilbert, Marco Gonzales, Eugenio Suarez*, George Kirby, Cal Raleigh and Jarred Kelenic, my fantasy team is not all that competitive in a 10-team mixed league. But it's a fun team for this Seattle fan to follow. * Winker was a keeper from last year's fantasy team but Suarez was taken at the fantasy auction after his trade to Seattle
  6. harmony
    Baseball Trade Values gave righthander Luis Castillo a surplus value of $41.2 million and the package of Noelvi Marte, Edwin Arroyo, Levi Stoudt and Andrew Moore a combined surplus value of $63.1 million: https://www.baseballtradevalues.com/trades/trade-98509/ This Seattle fan was surprised the Mariners would trade both shortstop prospects -- Marte and Arroyo -- in a midseason deal. Baseball Trade Values would have approved the trade with Arroyo out of the package.
  7. harmony
    "Great minds discuss ideas; average minds discuss events; small minds discuss people." Eleanor Roosevelt
  8. harmony
    "Great minds discuss ideas; average minds discuss events; small minds discuss people." Eleanor Roosevelt
  9. harmony
    Baseball forums are filled with delusional fans who think they can run an MLB front office better than the front office professionals.
  10. harmony
    That's one reason why Triston McKenzie, who turns 25 on the trade deadline, has $25.1 million in surplus trade value at Baseball Trade Values: https://www.baseballtradevalues.com/players/8862/
  11. harmony
    We're at the stage where buyers are making low-ball offers and sellers are holding out for better offers as the deadline approaches. Except the Yankees and Royals apparently.
  12. harmony
    Heading into Sunday's games Juan Soto had posted 21.3 fWAR in 557 career games while Rafael Devers had posted 18.0 fWAR in 635 career games. ZiPS projects Soto with 7.9 and 7.7 WAR over the next two seasons while projecting Devers with 4.5 and 4.6 WAR over the same period. https://www.fangraphs.com/players/ju...ts?position=OF https://www.fangraphs.com/players/ra...ts?position=3B
  13. harmony
    Trivia: In a 2014 college game started by Stanford righthander Cal Quantrill, the winning pitcher was Arizona righthander Bobby Dalbec: https://gostanford.com/sports/2014/5/9/Stats_18911.aspx
  14. harmony
    The Red Sox reportedly acquired outfielder Abraham Almonte for cash: https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2022/07/red-sox-acquire-abraham-almonte-from-brewers.html
  15. harmony
    Heading into Sunday's games Juan Soto had posted 21.3 fWAR in 557 career games while Rafael Devers had posted 18.0 fWAR in 635 career games. ZiPS projects Soto with 7.9 and 7.7 WAR over the next two seasons while projecting Devers with 4.5 and 4.6 WAR over the same period. https://www.fangraphs.com/players/juan-soto/20123/stats?position=OF https://www.fangraphs.com/players/rafael-devers/17350/stats?position=3B
  16. harmony
    The Red Sox were not the only team to swept at home after entering the weekend with a winning record.
  17. harmony
    538 has the Red Sox at 30 percent: https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2022-mlb-predictions/ It's been a miserable week for the Red Sox but they're still just three games back of the third and final Wild Card slot (currently held by the falling Seattle Mariners thanks in part to the Sox ineptitude against the Blue Jays;))
  18. harmony
    The Red Sox chances for a postseason berth are down to 28.8 percent as I write at 8:29 pm EST: https://www.fangraphs.com/standings/playoff-odds
  19. harmony
    https://www.baseballtradevalues.com/trades/trade-93607/
  20. harmony
    https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/travelers/proof-of-vaccination.html#:~:text=Do%20I%20still%20need%20proof,proof%20of%20COVID%2D19%20vaccination.
  21. harmony
    Any love for Arizona first baseman Christian Walker, who has posted a higher fWAR than Peter Alonso and Valdimir Guerrero Jr. this year and who has a surplus trade value of only $3.5 million at Baseball Trade Values? https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders.aspx?pos=1b&stats=bat&lg=all&qual=y&type=8&season=2022&month=0&season1=2022&ind=0&team=0&rost=0&age=0&filter=&players=0&startdate=2022-01-01&enddate=2022-12-31 https://www.baseballtradevalues.com/players/9690/
  22. harmony
    Even with a 14-game win streak (and winning 22 of 25) the Mariners' season winning percentage (.548) falls short of last year's full-season winning percentage (.556). But this year's team has a +36 run differential while last year's team ended at -51. But the modest second-half strength of schedule is encouraging: https://www.fangraphs.com/standings/playoff-odds After 93 games the Mariners are 51-42 with a 67.7 percent chance of advancing to the postseason, according to FanGraphs: https://www.fangraphs.com/standings/playoff-odds?date=2022-07-18&dateDelta= After 93 games of the 2018 season the Mariners were 58-35 with a an 80.6 percent chance of advancing to the postseason, according to FanGraphs: https://www.fangraphs.com/standings/playoff-odds?date=2018-07-11&dateDelta= Baseball can be cruel as the Mariners came up short in 2018 ... perhaps this is the year for the Mariners. Or not.
  23. harmony
    Baseball Trade Values gives the expiring contract of righthander Nathan Eovaldi a surplus value of $3.6 million: https://www.baseballtradevalues.com/players/8096/ Of roughly equal value would be Seattle's 23-year-old prospect righthander Taylor Dollard, who is having a Brandon Walter-type season at Double A: https://www.baseballtradevalues.com/players/43013/ https://www.baseball-reference.com/register/player.fcgi?id=dollar000tay
  24. harmony
    Find equal value on the Seattle Mariners: https://www.baseballtradevalues.com/teams/478/ ... although the Mariners are unlikely to trade 23-year-old righthander Emerson Hancock, a former No. 6 draft pick who struck out the side in the sixth inning of Saturday's Futures Game.
  25. harmony
    Thank you for the correction.
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