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harmony

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  1. That could make his less desirable destination even less desirable. J.D. Martinez could tell the Red Sox he is prepared to sign with another club if the Boston offer does not change by midnight. All we can speculate at this point is that J.D. Martinez has not reached an agreement with any team.
  2. Has a free agent ever signed with the Red Sox for less money than offered by another club? I think I've read reports suggesting that but I can't remember the specifics. The bottom line is that a free agent does not always go with the most money.
  3. It's not as if J.D. Martinez is the only free agent holding out for a better contract. It would be unfair to lay the blame exclusively at the feet of Scott Boras. The system may be broken and all stakeholders bear some responsibility. Each free agent is free to end negotiations and sign a contract at any time. That time has not arrived for most free agents.
  4. I don't know where J.D. Martinez would live but many MLB players live in Arizona during the offseason.
  5. The Diamondbacks are in Phoenix for Spring Training and the regular season while his former clubs -- the Houston Astros and Detroit Tigers -- had Spring Training in Florida. I would not blame Martinez for not living in Detroit in the offseason.
  6. Because maintaining two homes is more complicated -- and more expensive -- than maintaining one home. https://www.azcentral.com/story/sports/mlb/diamondbacks/2017/07/27/arizona-diamondbacks-j-d-martinez-adjusting-life-valley/515150001/
  7. Perhaps some players would prefer to play on a team that won as many games as the Red Sox last year, for a franchise with one World Series title in its short 20-year existence, in a modern facility, before forgiving fans, in a virtually snowless location that hosts Spring Training. Or not.
  8. FanGraphs columnist Jeff Sullivan addresses the limitations of projections: https://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/lets-make-sure-were-honest-about-projections/
  9. If this is representative of Red Sox fans, I can understand why J.D. Martinez would want to play elsewhere ... even for less money.
  10. Non-economic factors are honorable.
  11. Perhaps J.D. Martinez and the Red Sox will reach a six-year, $150 million deal with deferred money that reduces the present-day value to $125 million. Or not. Scott Boras negotiated the largest-ever deferred-money contract for Max Scherzer: https://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/max-scherzer-and-when-210-million-isnt-210-million/
  12. Jarrod Dyson was not a free agent a year ago. Dyson was a 32-year-old whose annual WAR topped out at 3.1 while Jackie Bradley Jr. posted 5.0 fWAR and 5.3 bWAR as a 26-year-old.
  13. Perhaps the Red Sox are reluctant to say "This is our highest offer." Or not.
  14. Perhaps the Red Sox are Plan B.
  15. In as much as I admire Scott Boras' skills, his representation of multiple top free agents probably is not good for the overall market.
  16. Todd Frazier may have had no interest in the Red Sox. Or vice versa. But the public is obsessed with lists: the top free agents, the top universities, the top travel destinations. In the eye of the public, the entity at the top of the list immediately becomes worth two or three times the worth of the entity ranked 10th when in fact the drop-off is less drastic.
  17. But Todd Frazier at third, Mitch Moreland at first, Rafael Devers at DH and Hanley Ramirez as a non-vesting backup would have improved the Red Sox defensively.
  18. My gut tells me Todd Frazier is undervalued ... I won't go beyond that. FanGraphs offers its take on the Todd Frazier signing: https://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/mets-add-todd-frazier-at-bargain-price/ This offseason I have yet to cite the Marcel projections, which give Martinez this edge over Frazier in hitting: TF 555 PA, 71 R, 29 HR, 75 RBI, 8 SB, .230/.319/.462/.781 JM 496 PA, 73 R, 31 HR, 81 RBI, 3 SB, .290/.358/.570/.928 https://www.baseball-reference.com/players/f/frazito01.shtml https://www.baseball-reference.com/players/m/martijd02.shtml
  19. Todd Frazier is projected to post 2.3 to 2.5 WAR in 2018 after posting 20.5 fWAR over the past six seasons: http://www.fangraphs.com/statss.aspx?playerid=785&position=3B J.D. Martinez is projected to post 2.3 to 2.7 WAR in 2018 after posting 14.6 fWAR over the past four seasons: http://www.fangraphs.com/statss.aspx?playerid=6184&position=OF Frazier posted 14.8 fWAR over the past four seasons. It's interesting to compare the lines for Frazier and Martinez over the past four seasons: http://www.fangraphs.com/leaders.aspx?pos=all&stats=bat&lg=all&qual=y&type=8&season=2017&month=0&season1=2014&ind=0&team=0&rost=0&age=0&filter=&players=0&sort=5,d Perhaps most remarkable is the 94-point difference in BABIP (.264 for Frazier and .358 for Martinez) rather than Frazier's narrow edge in home runs. Frazier, who is only 18 months older than Martinez, has remained healthier, averaging 154 games a year over the past five seasons.
  20. In a rare on-the-record comment about the J.D. Martinez situation, two weeks ago Red Sox chairman Tom Werner said: ""We are in active negotiations with J.D. Martinez. ... It takes two to make a deal." http://www.masslive.com/redsox/index.ssf/2018/01/boston_red_soxs_tom_werner_we.html ... which suggests certain interest on one side and uncertain interest on the other.
  21. Red Sox fans who have called J.D. Martinez "greedy" could be quieted if this year's top free agent hitter signs with another team for less than what the Sox offered. Just considering all the possibilities.
  22. https://www.isportsweb.com/2018/02/05/boston-needs-just-j-d-martinez-help-offense/ http://www.trifectanetworksports.com/boston-red-sox-truck-day-ready/ https://mainecampus.com/2018/02/why-the-red-sox-should-stay-put/
  23. Last year the Red Sox were projected to regress in a negative direction from their robust 2016 production while this year the Sox are projected to regress in a positive direction from their disappointing 2017 production.
  24. https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2010/03/meet-the-mlbtr-writing-team.html
  25. On the topic of lapdogs, did Logan Morrison's agent write that piece for MLB Trade Rumors?
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