harmony
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Everything posted by harmony
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MLB Trade Rumors pulls together recent report on the Red Sox: https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2018/01/red-sox-notes-roster-swihart-pomeranz.html
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I suspect Scott Boras informed J.D. Martinez that the initial asking price was not where the negotiations would likely end. For all we know the current offers have already met his realistic expectations but Martinez is waiting for the bidding to leave only one team standing. Or not.
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I had read almost nothing from Scott Boras since the Winter Meetings until FanRag columnist Jon Heyman posted this long piece on Friday: https://www.fanragsports.com/inside-baseball-scott-boras-weighs-in-on-slow-market/ Heyman has the reputation of being a Boras mouthpiece but the column provided an interesting read. Do the Red Sox covet J.D. Martinez more than J.D. Martinez wants the Red Sox? http://www.bostonherald.com/sports/red_sox/clubhouse_insider/2018/01/tom_werner_red_sox_in_active_negotiations_with_jd_martinez#.WmKYZ01HDMo.twitter
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From ESPN staff writer Scott Lauber this morning: http://www.espn.com/blog/boston/red-sox/post/_/id/53867/are-the-red-sox-gonna-sign-j-d-martinez-or-what-heres-what-we-know
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What team do you think has made the best offer to date?
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Boston Herald columnist Michael Silverman tweets that the Red Sox have offered J.D. Martinez "roughly $125 million over five years": I wonder what the best offer is.
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Scott Boras undoubtedly has a conflict of interest with many of his clients but I suspect Boras informs each prospective client of the potential conflicts, asks the player to sign a waiver and advises the player to seek independent counsel on that narrow issue. Boras is a licensed attorney in California but I assume the agent contract Boras offers to players clearly states that he is the player's agent, not the player's attorney. Different rules apply.
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I too am baffled for the negative 17 dWAR for Rusney Castillo.
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For what it's worth, ZiPS projects 2018 WAR of 0.9 in 405 plate appearances for Rusney Castillo and 2.0 in 354 plate appearances for Jarrod Dyson. https://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/2018-zips-projections-boston-red-sox/ https://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/2018-zips-projections-seattle-mariners/ Steamer600, which assumes 600 plate appearances for each outfielder, projects 2018 WAR of a negative 0.7 for Castillo and 2.3 for Dyson. https://www.fangraphs.com/projections.aspx?pos=all&stats=bat&type=steamer600&team=3&lg=all&players=0&sort=27%2cd https://www.fangraphs.com/projections.aspx?pos=of&stats=bat&type=steamer600&team=0&lg=all&players=0&sort=27%2cd
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I suspect much activity is taking place outside public scrutiny. Remember the days before the 24/7 news cycle when we might learn of a signing in the newspaper a day or two later.
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I'm not convinced of anything in these ongoing confidential negotiations.
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Please provide links to "direct information" from Dave Dombrowski, Scott Boras and/or J.D. Martinez. Michael Silverman's opinion is not direct information. J.D. Martinez may ultimately sign with the Red Sox ... or not. I'm just not convinced the Red Sox have made the best offer to date.
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I suspect Dave Dombrowski has been looking for alternatives all along. Only Red Sox fans have been hyper-focused on J.D. Martinez. But the way, have the Red Sox "brought in" J.D. Martinez?
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I am nearly certain Scott Boras would communicate the top offer to other suitors (but not to the media and public). On your second question, Dave Dombrowski might hesitate if the top offer stood at five years and $135 million, for example.
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Esteban Quiroz might be the temporary answer at second base: http://www.masslive.com/redsox/index.ssf/2018/01/esteban_quiroz_who_boston_red.html#incart_river_index
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One has job offers and the other doesn't?
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Assuming the Red Sox have made an offer than has not been rejected or withdrawn ...
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The team is a mystery to the media and public, but not to Scott Boras and the club that has not been publicly disclosed.
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LOL. I'm just not convinced the Red Sox have the current best offer. Baseball is flush with money and most teams don't have Boston's long-term luxury tax issues and crowded outfield. Everyone has permission to make fun of me if J.D. Martinez signs with the Red Sox.
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The AAV of the rumored seven-year, $210 million demand was as close to the AAV of the MLB Trade Rumors projection of six years and $150 million as was the AAV of the rumored Red Sox offer of five years and $100 million. If the reported demand was ridiculous, was the reported offer just as ridiculous?
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Even the Red Sox might be out of the bidding. Or the field could have many participants.
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I highly doubt that five years and $100 million is the best offer to date and I doubt the Red Sox have made the current best offer. I'm taking the field against the Red Sox.
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Other clubs might exercise appropriate discretion in keeping negotiations confidential. When MLB Trade Rumors, which has a decent record of projecting free agent contracts, projects a six-year, $150 million contract, I doubt that all offers came in at no more than two-thirds of that total amount.
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Especially if J.D. Martinez has a better offer or offers.
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For what it's worth, ESPN's Buster Oleny tweets that the Red Sox have offered J.D. Martinez "in range of" $100 million over five years: https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2018/01/red-sox-offer-to-j-d-martinez-reportedly-in-range-of-100mm.html