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notin

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Everything posted by notin

  1. Based on anything besides a hunch? If the answer is “just a hunch”, then thats the answer. Not like I’m project relief pitcher success based on specific situational data…
  2. In the next 3 offseasons (counting this one), the biggest names the Sox lose are Chapman, Bregman, Story and Giolito. They also lose their only two deadweights (Yoshida and Hicks). This situation is not urgent. What happens if they go all in for 2026, only to lose Crochet in April?
  3. Absolutely not. They just made the postseason for the first time since 2020 (when too many teams made it) and the second time since 2013. Theyre not going to tear down their pitching staff this off-season. Singer? Decent chance they try to move him. Lodolo? Maybe. Greene? No way unless they know something…
  4. Too much overlap. We need the winning percentage for Anthony in games without Crochet and for Crochet in games without Anthony….
  5. What about teams looking to trade a pitcher more expensive than Duran? I can understand moving Duran, whose value may never be higher, but I think Philadelphia and LA are far likelier landing spots. I don’t see any high end SP coming back. Prospects that can be flipped for one, maybe. But I think it’s far, far likelier the Sox just bring back Giolito rather than go out and acquire Ryan or Greene or whatever name some random stitch pundit throws out there…
  6. I could see Cincy moving a pitcher not named Greene for Duran, since he is exactly the type of player they need. But as I said somewhere else, Singer is probably their preferred trade chip. As for the Sox, they are far, far, far more likely to just bring back Giolito than to trade for another starting pitcher…
  7. I can understand trading him. But to establish decline from a 2 year pattern?
  8. Greene strikes me as a Buyer Beware trade piece. Cincinnati is coming off a playoff year and willing to trade their best SP for OF help? And after they extended him relatively cheaply? Sure he is signed for 4 years, but anyone acquiring him might only get 2.5. I get they want some offense, but so does Boston and Garrett Crochet isnt on the trade market. Brady Singer seems like the obvious choice to move, given he has one year left. He is good enough to pitch in the #2 role on a playoff team. But that one year might limit what Cincy can get. Nick Lodolo seems more like the movable piece here. Good enough to bring back some offense. Two arb years left. And worth 5 bWAR last year. From Boston, I only see Cincy interested in Duran. They want offense, so Rafaela is out. Abreu can hit but a lot of his value is defensive. Anthony is certainly on their list but I don’t see Boston making that deal. I could see a deal involving Duran and Lodolo, despite the great differences in their BTV values. Unless Breslow decides to move Duran for infield help, since the free agent market for pitchers is deeper than it is for hitters…
  9. I thought at first it was just whelming, but I think you’re right…
  10. When was the last time Bregman batted .214? Hoskins might have better ISOP numbers, but his strikeout-fueled approach still gives him lower overall SLG.
  11. What would you view as complacency? I would suspect the Sox add about 4 players, some of whom might be returning faces. For all of the talk about Ryan and Greene, would anyone be surprised if Giolito was the only major SP addition (assuming he opts out). Or Bregman returning? I don’t think anyone would be shocked. But I would be shocked if they signed Bregman and then went Alonso. Would Bregman and Giolito be considered complacency?
  12. Breslow wanted Cora for 3b; Cora wanted him for 2b. But then Cora didnt sign Breslow…
  13. Again that takes both parties to agree. Devers was very vocal about not wanting to move to 1b, assuming his interpreter was accurate and not contracted from the same place Nelson Mandela got his interpreter. Devers moving to first wasn’t a new idea. Bloom suggested it during his contract talks when he based his first offer near what Matt Olson had just signed for. The fallout there was Bloom’s next offer coming amidst a discussion where Devers would remain at third base. I don’t think moving Devers to first was going to be so easy to convince merely by “manning up.” Devers was adamant about playing third for a few years by that time. And if he wasn’t going to move to help cover for an injured teammate, what was going to motivate him?
  14. You do have to wait if the other team isnt willing. There were stories about Breslow calling around for some corner infielders (Otto Kemp and Tim Elko were mentioned), but other teams simply were not ready to deal…
  15. Replace him with who? Start streaming AAAA first basemen and hope for hot streaks? Or place an order at Amazon? Maybe get Mo Vaughn out of retirement? The bigger issue was not addressing that position at the deadline, but that was weeks away…
  16. Are you implying that Palmeiro winning a Gold Glove while playing DH was evidence MLB had a drug problem?
  17. It is highlighted in the article, but maybe not emphasized enough is the one thing about Murakami that makes him interesting is his age - he turns 26 in February, making him younger than the pitching prospects the Sox are possibly considering adding to the 40 man roster (like Mullens and Uberstine). He is not high on my list (which admittedly carries less weight than I prefer), but I could see why some teams are intrigued…
  18. If he’s an outfielder, so be it. That a player zipped through the minors only for his defensive shortcomings to become apparent at MLB is hardly a trail never blazed before. Players change positions for this reason all the time, and it’s not solely done to appease administrative egos. If Campbell moves to LF, fine. I’m all for an outfield of Campbell’s-Rafaela-Anthony. And Campbell will come around offensively. His slump was about 140 PAs of a .450 OPS. But he had a .935 OPS before that. He might wind up somewhere in the middle, and a .750 OPS left fielder might not be the superstar many envisioned here, but it hardly makes him AAAA fodder..
  19. Campbell’s AAA numbers could be meaningless. Players don’t get sent back to AAA just to post flattering stats and boost their confidence. They get sent back to improve, which often involves changing something. If Campbell was making changes to some part of his hitting approach, it’s very likely his BA is going to take a hit. Very few changes can be implemented immediately and show results right away…
  20. The real reason Pete Rose isnt in the Hall of Fame. Now we need to launch the campaign to get Wade Boggs out and Brett Butler in…
  21. Duran is in decline? Based on what? Hes topped 102 games only twice, and since the second season wasn’t as good as the first, that puts him “in decline”? Hes only 29 years old!
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