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Everything posted by notin
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Why was the original offer to Devers a lowball offer? Matt Olson (6.4 fWAR) accepted a similar offer and has severely outperformed Devers (3.2 fWAR). And please don’t use the “but Devers is a third baseman” excuse. He’s a hitter who plays third base, and not very well. Some of these Sox players might be a little too greedy…
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Cora is doing what he should be doing. Build up the IP for his like Crawforf, Houck and Bello; give some opportunities to the potential future pieces in Abreu, Rafaela and Valdez; and make a modest effort to actually win since you are in a position to impact a pennant race and do need to honor that…
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Snell and Nola probably start the bidding at 7 years and go up from there. Gray isn’t much older, has less wear on his arm. Five years is a bit much but I risk it. The arb eligible Miami pitchers don’t look enticing. Luzardo will cost a fortune and Rogers is always either injured or awful since his one good season. Other arb eligible pitchers their cheap teams might be willing to trade include: Brady Singer, Mitch Keller, Aaron Civale, Cal Quantrill, Zac Plesac, Paul Blackburn, Shane Bieber, Brandon Woodruff and Corban Burnes…
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1. If Nola or Snell is willing to settle for 5 years, TAKE IT. For Gray, I’d also do 5, but no more. 2. Yamamoto is a massive risk. He might be Daisuke 2.0 and they’re 10 years. 3. The Marlins won’t be dealing prospects. But they might be dealing arbitration-eligible pitchers due to their low budget (“What did you say?”) small market ways. Arb eligibles this year include Jesus Luzardo and Trevor Rogers. Next year’s crop includes Braxton Garrett and Edward Cabrera, both of whom might be available but probably a bit pricier…
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Actually they’re 9.5 games out. But likely they finish 10-12 games out of the postseason. Winning the division is obviously much better, but just getting into the postseason is the real goal. The Phillies finished 14 games out last year and made it to the World Series. We still count that, right?
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The thing is, they’re actually not. As bad as this team fell apart, they’re only going to finish 10-12 games out of the pistseadon. And while that’sa large enough gap to keep the mystery out of this season, do you really think its an impossible task to improve by that many games in a full year? Granted, the Sox need to make a couple expensive additions to the top of the rotation and straighten out the crowded outfield, and then they might actually be back in the postseason. And once you get in, anything can happen. Last year we saw a team with 2 starting pitchers, no bullpen and an extremely questionable defense just go on a hit streak and make it to the World Series. Once you’re in, you’re contending…
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The Padres are an odd case. Last year they were 60-46. They dropped a slew of prospects to acquire Juan Soto and Josh Hader (mostly Soto). Since then they are 106-107. And probably going to unload Soto and let Hader walk (with a QO). And they are likely to find out (like Boston did) that dealing one year of a high-priced young superstar might not attract as many trade offers as they would like…
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Completely irrelevant (and also completely theoretical) what a previous commissioner would have done. The current commissioner - the only one that matters - levied a punishment he felt was sufficient and Cora served his time…
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Technically the rehire was the only time they hired him after knowing he cheated. Unless he talked about it in his first go round of interviews. “Ever hear that trash can banging when we are up? That was me!”
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Cora cheated against the Red Sox in 2017. And yet they still hired him…
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Given the 13 DFA and non-tender candidates I listed, moving Walter in a trade to clear a spot isn’t too likely…
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Devers, too. Right?
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His hefty option all but assures an opt out. He had a good enough season that he will draw interest; that is definite as well. And he needs to only get an offer of $6.8mill to exceed his total if he opts back in. Given that we live in a world that pays Leury Garcia $5.5mill, a bet of Turner exceeding $6.8mill is roughly equal to betting the sun will rise tomorrow. As for what Turner wants - a shot at another ring? A starting role? As much cash as possible? - none of us know. But he will very likely have choices that offer some combination of those options. But he is opting out. This is not up in the air…
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You think he isn’t a candidate? Obviously the Sox aren’t going to DFA everyone but Hamilton hasn’t established himself as much more than a weak bat utility option. He could still have an MLB career, possibly in Boston. But he is also on the list of players who might not fit into the new CBO’s plans and might be deemed expendable…
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Baseball doesn’t ban cheaters for life. Just gamblers. Gaylord Perry cheated, too, and he was not only not banned, he was enshrined…
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I doubt Rodriguez’ option gets picked up. He will join a few others (Paxton, Turner, and likely Duvall) on the free agent market. They are all trade candidates. One can only assume (hope) the corner OF/DH logjam gets addressed. But yes Hamilton is another DFA candidate. I think Brandon Walter is safe. He and Murphy have options, which increases their usefulness to the Sox going forward…
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Patently untrue. “Once a cheater, always suspected as a cheater”is more true. You cannot tell me no one ever has cheated only once. And in Cora’s case, it was clearly a group effort. When he was without his old group, things could certainly be different…
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A lot depends on the new boss and the new budget, but this team could DFA any or all of Jacques, Garza, Weiss, Dalbec, Gillaspie, Llovera, Ort, Mills and Mata and possibly non-tender Urias, McGuire and Schreiber. I do doubt they all go but they will have plenty of room too as to the roster…
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Probably worth noting that a starting lineup with Duran, Verdugo, Duvall, Turner and Yoshida isn’t going to be good defensively. Mostly because that’s having 5 players into 4 OF/DH at the expense of a shortstop. Next year’s Sox could be very improved defensively in CF and at SS…
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… and Eric Wedge a Hall of Famer…
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Per MLBTR, the Padres might have to deal Juan Soto to cut payroll. I know the thought is often “But every team in the league will make better offers.” Will they? I think we all know from experience that one year of an expensive superstar doesn’t necessarily garner all that many offers…
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Oh goody. Original sin, confession and penance in one post. Whats next? Do we crucify Cora and see if he can rise in 3 days?
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“In the year 2025…”
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And Kike was fine. As long as nothing got hit to him…
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ftfy …
