Both B-R and Fangraphs give Crochet the edge over Rafaela. The difference in fWAR is Crochet by 0.9. bWAR has then only separated by a negligible 0.1.
They also both have Narvaez as more valuable than Chapman…
Sandy Alcantara. Free agent after 2026 with a $21mill option for 2027. Owed $25mill thru next year including $2mill buyout.
Not having a good year at all. Still, BTV gives him a surplus value of $15.7 mill, roughly equal to Brandon Clarke ($16.3mill). But his past history and controllable cheap deal probably means he is worth more, especially given how many teams might be interested.
Luis Severino might also be available. BTV has him as a straight salary dump…
There are some Fungibles (Eaton, Sogard, possibly Grissom) that can be trimmed if necessary. Moving Hunter Dobbins to the 60 day IL will be the first move made to clear space when it’s needed…
It’s actually all done with software now. It takes in launch angle, escape velocity, etc. and acknowledges that all, say, batted groundballs hit to shortstop are not equal and some are tougher plays…
Relievers more likely to be available than Helsley:
Carlos Estevez (KC)
Felix Bautista and Seranthony Dominguez (Bal)
David Bednar (Pitt) Nope.
Steven Wilson (CWS) A clear sell high candidate
Emmanual Clase (Cle) Reportedly available, but who knows?
Kyle Finnegan (Was). Probably best avoided unless he’s dirt cheap…
Dobbins is done for the year. So that does leave the Sox relying on Buehler, who has been awful, or Houck, who this year had the two (not just one, TWO) worst starts in team history…
And if you use fWAR, Helsley has more. Last year, you didn’t like Scott because he only had two good years supporting his career.
Helsley might get a QO; he spent Be The wrist reliever to get one. No reliever has ever accepted (although Will Smith extended before receiving a QO he admits he would have accepted)…
I’m only talking about being offered one. Six relief pitchers have received QOs to date. Kimbrel, Jansen, Robertson, Iglesias, and for some reason, Greg Holland and Wade Davis. I could see Helsley turning it down in pursuit of a multi year deal…