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notin

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Everything posted by notin

  1. notin
    If you believe"choke" exists, you know the primary culprit is players getting inside their own heads. They think too much. So that means in order to be clutch, a player cannot think. If a player doesn't think, he doesn't exist. That's pure DesCartes, and how he disproved the "clutch hitter."
  2. notin
    First if all, "chicken and egg" is a lousy metaphor. Everyone knows -or should know - the egg came first. There were eggs millions of years before there wete chickens. Second, the non-clutch sample size is always significantly larger for every player, and therefore guides the stats i in their direction. So if you want to make your "chicken and egg" argument, you're going toneed a ddefinition of clutch that is WAAAY more encompassing than many are anticipating...
  3. notin
    And there are people who insist something is true solely because they believe in it. That doesn't make anything true and many of these people have been proven wrong throughout history.
  4. notin
    I don't like comparisons to other sports, especially basketball. And especially free throws, where the game physically stops abd all eyes are on one player when the rest of the game is fast-paced action/reaction.. Potential clutch at bats in baseball go through the same process as all other at bats. And while players are human, you can't argue successfully all hitters put less weightand less effort and feel less ppressure in "non-clutch" at bats. For a lot of them, hitting .300 or whatever, it doesn't matter where the hits come from. Especially for hitters, baseball is a game of failures. The difference in batting averages is very little from top to bottom. Clutch could just as easily be an illusion creased by remembering big hits in big situations, because we expect even the best hitters top make outs 70% of the time anyway. So those can be discounted. If you look at most of the hitters you think of as clutch, you will find for the most part, they are also the flat out better hitters.
  5. notin
    They seem to have some sort of hard cut off for MLB games or service. I'm fine eith it, as long as its the same everywhere. What I don't like is when some 30 plus year old Japanese player gets posted or a 30 plus year old Cuban defects and gets ranked by BA..
  6. notin
    No thread on this? Sox had 3 names (Benintendi #1, Devers #18, Groome #43). Travis did not make the list. Former prospects inclded Moncada, Kopech, and Margot. I only looked quickly but didn't see Guerra, Dubon, or Basabe. Still having 3 on the list is impressive after all the deals, even though it's really two since Benintendi isn't going to be in the minors anymore (hopefully). Also since the list, whole a nice conversation piece, doesn't mean much. If history is any indication, only about 10 players on this list will be all stars and only another 30-ish will be regular starters. And another 30 will never make MLB at all beyond the occasional call up. ( The remaining 30 will be bench players or middle relievers at their peak...)
  7. notin
    I think most people from BDC know who I am referring to.
  8. notin
    Fantasy leagues are another way to enjoy stats. I didn't single you out as "New stats are useless. I know everything from watching games and reading the back of baseball cards" guy. And I won't, because I already know who that is, although I don't think he posts here (yet)...
  9. notin
    Even without looking it up, it was NOT obvious his defense sucked. It was not HIS best defensive season, but that isn't the same thing. Now do I go look up stats to support my argument?
  10. notin
    And if he stays healthy, this year at the ripe old age of 25 (26 in August), Mike Trout will start passing Hall of Famers in career fWAR. He's already less than 3 fWAR behind Jim Rice..
  11. notin
    Observation is subjective, however. That's not unique to any of us, and certainly not a limitation on "everybody else". I make observations all the time, but the truth is many of them are flawed in some capacity. However, I do realize this. If you don't need stats to enjoy baseball, fine. But not needing stats doesn't make anyone more knowledgeable or observant.
  12. notin
    Agreed. But Some but some people are obsessed with it. ..
  13. notin
    The worst thing about BDC was some people were constantly trying to figure out aliases.
  14. notin
    Come to the Dark Side. Embrace your inner fWAR. ...
  15. notin
    Would you like the label "Cinemax Stat Geek"?
  16. notin
    I watch games similarly, although without the beer. And I usually find most of my complaints about umpires to be unjustified when I see replays. Unless for some reason the umpire in question is Joe West. Stats to me are to fill some of the other 21 hours in the day when a game isn't on...
  17. notin
    It further emphasizes my geekiness.
  18. notin
    I read his blog. It was only about baseball superficially and the main theme was self-praise...
  19. notin
    I'm a stat geek with degrees in engineering and math. I have played plenty of baseball. I also get my experiences in Little League and high school, etc. have very little relevance to MLB games. The whole idea that stat geeks have never a played and don't understand competition is condescending. And that's using the nicest term to describe it...
  20. notin
    So start an exciting one. You have the power. You really do have the power. Talksox added a button for just that purpose. ..
  21. notin
    I'm fine with labeling individual moments / h its / games / performances as clutch or choke. Attributing those labels to any one player across his career is what I question...
  22. notin
    I did. And Mr. Sale certainly gave some cause last year to have his maturity questioned. Hopefully his new situation works out better for him...
  23. notin
    Eloquent ending. The "stated" crowd and the entire sabermetrics movement in stats was done to start looking at an old gsme in a new way. Part of this was to substantiate or dispel many of the aspects of the game taken for granted. As for the whole "team player" label, or the more frequently used indivindividual terms of "clubhouse leader" and "clubhouse cancer", these should probably go as well. After all, these players are human beings, I have seen many times. Well, as human beings I expect them to potentially behave differently on different teams with different teammates. I never would expect any player to like or get along with all 24 of his human being teammates on any team. Yet I always ser players labeled one way or the other with no middle ground. I'm sure there are a few players who are always leaders and a few who are always cancers. But I expect the vast majority tp fall in the middle, occasionally displaying behavior associated with either label. ...
  24. notin
    Now THAT is painting everyone with a broad brush...
  25. notin
    I never said it was everyone.
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