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notin

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Everything posted by notin

  1. notin
    Not broken. Don't fix it. With Price questionable going forward and looking more likely to be an albatross than an ace, and Porcello being a complete variable, do you think a pitching staff lead by Drew Pomeranz is going to get it done? Especially with Stanton's questionable injury history? We'd be more likely to have neither Sale nor Stanton far too often. But on the bright side, think about the draft picks!!
  2. notin
    I didn't like this trade when the Sox made it, especially for a very high profile prospect. But even at the steep price, Pomeranz has absolutely been worth it. I was wrong...
  3. notin
    I don't think it's etched in stone that Devers isn't moving. In fact, they'd be foolish not to consider the option...
  4. notin
    Not to mention, Porcello's first year was not part of the extension. He was a very rare case of a player getting overpaid and then actually earning his money. ..
  5. notin
    LOL Leave it to the Yankee fan to redefine currency based on his own team. Prospects are at about their lowest value in 30 years. Sorry you guys hoarded them too late. But on the bright side, if they weren't so cheap, you wouldn't have been able to rebuild your farm by dealing two relievers....
  6. notin
    Interestingly, most sites do, even though he wasn't with the team. I guess because he was technically the manager. The Sox record under Farrell that year was 50-64, but he did so with Bradley not hitting like the monster he was under Lovullo. Not sure if Lovullo's impact on Brdley is actually quantifiable. Of course, the entire point was that Farrell - and only Farrell - is credited with a last place finish, which I think is an oversimplification of that team. I don't think he's much of a manager, but I do think he isn't going anywhere soon and he's better than many Sox fans give him credit for. and as we have learned in the past, it's usually easier to get a worse manager than a better one. For some reason, there were fans calling for Francona's head every year. I'd think his replacement should have taught us all a lesson about being careful what you wish for. Really, since we all watch more Sox games than any other team, it is easier to spot Farrell's mistakes and his total becomes much larger. But there are plenty of worse managers out there holding MLB jobs...
  7. notin
    While true, a bigger factor in that hot streak under Lovullo might have been the emergence of Jackie Bradley as a legitimate offensive player. And what a crazy emergence it was...
  8. notin
    But look at what might have been if we didn't win in 2004. No more Pedro. No more Nomar. No more Varitek. All were possible. The farm had some talent, but not much above A-ball except maybe Hanley and Brandon Moss. The 86 year draught looked more prime to continue than end. And continue for a while. But as I said, a lot can happen...
  9. notin
    And his helmet. He did everything short of changing his shoes and sweater a la Mr. Rogers...
  10. notin
    But then his last place teams did include a 78-84 record, which is rarely a last place record. He has one fewer than 78 games one time in Boston and currently has a .532 winning percentage. Bruce Bochy is never a manager anyone thinks is in danger, yet after this season he won't be able to make either of those claims...
  11. notin
    Then it vindicates your position...
  12. notin
    I'm not so sure they track it live...
  13. notin
    It gives a probability for each play affecting the outcome of the game. http://www.fangraphs.com/library/misc/wpa/
  14. notin
    True. Although thanks to his OCD, he made his at-bats so long it was easy to forget when he only saw one pitch...
  15. notin
    In fact, addressing the cliffs seems to have been an issue with Sox fans. Back in 2009, Epstein talked about the farm system having a "bridge year". And many fans decided foolishly he was talking about the MLB team and how he wasn't going to try and spend heavily on a premium product. This despite making John Lackey the then-highest paid pitcher in team history. But a lot of people, most of whom seemed to post on BDC, thought he was throwing away the season when he was addressing a minor league cliff....
  16. notin
    And they will have one next year or the year after. Cliffs come and go. Before 2004, the following Sox players were due for free agency: Pedro, Lowe, Varitek, Nixon, and Nomar (who was dealt, but his replacement, Orlando Cabrera, was also a pending free agent). That's 3 key starters and two of their top starting pitchers. and I think there were some other names that elude me right now. (And Tim Wakefield, who was on that annual auto-renewal plan.) The farm system was pretty bland, as we had not replenished it with the awesome 2005 draft yet. (We did have Pedroia and Lester, both in A ball, as well as a few other less notable future major leaguers.) Yet by 2007, three years later, there they were. Back on top. A lot can happen in 3 years,,,
  17. notin
    B-R tracks all of that in their box scores as WPa (Win Probability Added)...
  18. notin
    Conversely, Mike Greenwell rarely saw a first pitch he didn't like, regardless of the type. Ditto Jody Reed. Of course, Reed was nowhere near the hitter Greenwell was...
  19. notin
    But sometimes the baserunning blunders are acceptable, especially the ones that are from aggressiveness for a team lacking punch. Moreland getting thrown out at third (despite it being the first out) didn't look like a blunder to me. If Moreland draws that throw like he did, it guarantees Betts scores, which is important in the 14th inning. I know the speedy Betts likely beats it anyway, but a non-throw eliminates any sort of freak miscues like Betts stumbling. In that situation, the single run was more important than worrying about a big inning. At least at the time.
  20. notin
    You lost heart one inning after a 3-run ninth? I know a lot of people have complained about the Sox offense this year, but this team has been about as deadly against closers as any Sox team in a long time....
  21. notin
    One of the biggest mistakes impatient hitters make when trying to learn patience and discipline is simply taking more pitches. The end result is often increased strikeouts with little to no improvement in walks...
  22. notin
    His recent performance has been so good, he might price himself out of a utility role. ..
  23. notin
    Even recently, he's been below .330 in two of the last three years. Nunez has been a plus offensively in several ways, but OBP is not likely to remain one. Of course he his normal OBP isn't so bad I'd call it a detriment either...
  24. notin
    Interestingly, Freddy Garcia was in the rotations of both the 2003 Mariners and the 2005 White Sox...
  25. notin
    A .760 OPS is a pretty decent guess, although the help from Fenway could also be offset somewhat by his aging over the next few years. As it was pointed out, money talks. So when Nunez hits the market, a safe bet he will want as much money and playing time for as long as possible. The Sox could use him to replace Moreland with minimal juggling, but will they? How much will they spend for him and for how long? It's not anything I can answer
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