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notin

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Everything posted by notin

  1. notin
    Gee thanks lol The "committee" was largely Chad Fox, who got all the save chances. Fox was an ok reliever who had some bad games in Boston, but was largely the fall guy for an ineffective bullpen. He did go on to get a World Series ring with Florida that year. The rest of the bullpen struggled. During the 54 games before Byung-Yun Kim was acquired, Fox blew only three 9th inning leads, resulting in two losses. The real struggles for that pen were in the sixth through eighth innings, normally not the role for a closer. That the Sox struggled where the game was really on the line in earlier innings was the exact logic for using a committee. The problem wasn't a lack of defined roles as they had those. The problem was too many ineffective pitchers handling key situations. The true best pitcher from that committee turned out to be Timlin, but he didn't emerge as a force until the post-season, where he was unhittable. Of the committee pitchers, it was no surprise he was the only one the Sox kept re-signing...
  2. notin
    Also bear in mind in the 2004 World Series, thr Sox had the lead in every single inning (with one exception). It was probably the most one-sided world series in history. Hard to argue Foulke put them over the top...
  3. notin
    Please don't make me explain again why the Committee thing is often mistaken, misremembered, and proved the exact point about why it was formed in the first place
  4. notin
  5. notin
    Yes they are. But if he plays well, he is moveable. And if he plays well in MLB, it is possible (although not likely) the entire contract becomes moveable
  6. notin
    And who are you willing to let go to bring back Kimbrel? If he wants $19mill, does that mean no more Porcello or Pomeranz? Does it interfere with Sale or Bogaerts or Betts?
  7. notin
    Does it fit Dombrowski's narrative? He's the only one who matters..
  8. notin
    It does make me wonder - if closers are so important and great closers can make a huge difference, why is Mariano Rivera the only member of the 400 save club to win a World Series? These guys clearly played for teams that won a lot of games. (Ok, technically Fernando Rodriguez won a WS in 2002 and was very instrumental in the win. But he was also not the closer. Troy Percival was.) 400 save club - the non-Rivera members played 89 seasons. One title. Zero titles as closer. Of course that number does double if we include the next man on the list in Dennis Eckersley and his 390 saves with one title...
  9. notin
    Well, Springer was driving the ball all over the place...
  10. notin
    What is so wrong with "wins later on"? Are they lesser wins? You are correct that not all blown saves are losses. But then you ignore this later and call them "lock down wins". Why do you ignore this suddenly?
  11. notin
    They could bring him up, pay the luxury tax, and maybe see if he can play well enough at the right level that he could be viable trade bait, possibly even a piece you don't pay other teams to take off your hands. ..
  12. notin
    He's 26, has no real position he can defend well, and is sporting an OPS+ of 5. Trade bait? He'll be lucky if he isn't flat out DFA'd.
  13. notin
    "Can't make a difference" or "don't make a difference? I think they do, but how quantifiable it is another matter...
  14. notin
    And that's why managers get paid a million dollars while you and I watch games and criticize his decisions for free..
  15. notin
    It's not a disconnect. Certain situations in games are more critical than others. While many fans (and sportswriters) like to believe the ninth inning are the most critical, it's not always the case. The advanced metrics suggest deploying the best reliever in the game situation with the highest Win Probability. Because while most situations may matter very little, this is ideally the one the most...
  16. notin
    Kimbrel is very talented. But I think most players out there believe they can and want every chance to do his job. I do doubt the Sox are able to keep Kimbrel. Dombrowski has already made multiple efforts to acquire his successor. Smith hasn't impressed anyone yet, but is very good. Thornburg has yet to pitch and hopefully is over his issues soon.
  17. notin
    The Sox absolutely needed another bat. But when JD plays RF over Mookie (on those rest days), the difference just becomes beyond obvious. The game in Toronto gave a pretty good example there, where Smoak hit a soft liner to right field to move a runner to third. Even if Mookie was unable to catch that ball (which I doubt but can't prove), at the very least the runner would have had to hold up enough to make sure and would not have been able to go to third....
  18. notin
    Who? Do we really have bullpens full of pitchers who complain about getting 4 outs and getting saves?
  19. notin
    Fair point. But I think the argument about specific roles might still be applicable to Eckersley and O'Brien. ..
  20. notin
    I think the overwhelming majority of manner decisions ate betteR than many fans realize, since these decisions get made with knowledge fans don't have. It's not just a matter of "good baseball sense / bad baseball sense" that many fans think it is. I do think hindsight becomes the basis for more managerial criticisms than you think. But sometimes that hindsight is accompanied by some sort of rationalization to mask it's true nature...
  21. notin
    Of the 10 teams to make the post-season in 2017, three of them fired their managers. Of the 20 teams that failed to make the post-season in 2017, three of them fired their managers. Not winning at the right time might be more critical than anything else....
  22. notin
    It's one thing to not like his style. It's another to say he's incompetent he does things different than you would. You're the first I've seen to criticize Farrell solely for not liking his style. I think that's a much more honest statement, and I can see myself agreeing with it a lot of times as well...
  23. notin
    While I agree, it's also true that Francona and Farrell err bith repeatedly criticized for similar (non-)moves multiple times. In fact, I bet we have both seen each of them repeatedly accused of not knowing how to run a bullpen, and accused by people who honestly have no idea how to run a bullpen. ..
  24. notin
    Terrible example that comes closer to disproving your point. Bill Cosby was doing his heinous acts for decades and we all knew nothing about it and plenty of people loved him, including me and very likely you (assuming you're old enough). It wasn't until YEARS LATER when the lawsuits started pulling up we realized who we were revering. ..
  25. notin
    Eck is irrelevant here. It's just more potential ammunition for dumping a player solely for offensive reasons. The fact that Bradley apologized and he and Eck made up was omitted from the attack on Bradley's character. Why? Well it counters it by showing good character traits and it did nothing for his batting average. Why people are so afraid to say "I don't like players who don't hit well" is beyond me...
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