notin
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Everything posted by notin
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So basically if Benintendi doesn't pan out, the Sox get the better end of the deal. And if he does pan out, the Sox get Archer and a little more financial flexibility. Sounds like a no-brainer to me...
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There is a very short list of players I would trade Benintendi for, but Archer is most definitely on it. The real question is, is Chavis enough ancillary trade bait to convince Tampa top make the deal.
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Apparently including a cop at one time...
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C: Vazquez 1b: Moreland (and maybe Swihart) 2b: Hernandez 3b: Devers SS: Bogaerts LF: Martinez CF: Bradley RF: Betts DH: Ramirez SP: Sale, Price, Archer, Porcello, Pomeranz RP: Kimbrel, Smith, Barnes, Kelly, Hembree, Johnson, Scott Bench: Leon, Marrero, Holt. Whats not to like? Personally I'd try to deal Holt for a fourth OF capable of playing all 3 positions. I might consider a better 2b as well....
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The Rays are one of the teams where Bradley represents a step down defensively. Would you trade Benintendi and Chavis for Archer? For Archer and his contract, if you're comfortable giving it up, it probably isn't enough. Archer ranks 16 on fangraphs 2018 trade value list. Benintendi is #26. Bradley is #45th.
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Given Archer's extremely friendly contract, I would imagine the bidding starts with Benintendi instead of Bradley. ..
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Its never been an exclusive"don't swing until you have two strikes" little league approach
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Don't forget about Arrieta. And Bradley alone should be enough for the oft-injured but mega-talented Salazar...
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Bestill my throbbing nipples...
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Mike Greenwell and I would dispute this...
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Isn't that stat predicated on the first pitch always leading to an 0-1 count? How was he at 1-0?
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As the Sox were sixth in the AL in runs scored while being absolutely abysmal at hitting home runs, they shouldn't try to change that aspect of their offensive approach. The easiest fix is to add a bat that can provide more home runs. They were pathetic at home runs. Even if they hit 10% more home runs, they would still have been last in the AL. Yet they weren't even close to being the lowest scoring team, because they put people on base. They were sixth in the AL at scoring at 5th in OBP while being 15th in home runs. And the idea appears to be to cut into the OBP, which was carried by their BB% (5th) as opposed to their batting average (9th). And there are numerous other ancillary effects, such as giving our pitchers longer rests while the opposing pitchers work harder. Making this team more aggressive is not a good idea. It's the one thing that worked and it's what Cora wants to fix...
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Yes having elite power hitters helps get more home runs. However my point was that the patient disciplined approach still works very well even when you don't have them. The Sox still outscored many power hitting teams. Plate discipline was NOT the issue. In fact with no power added to date, discipline is the only offensive weapon they have...
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Of the two, I would trade Bogaerts before Bradley, and the deciding factor is that Bradley has more years of control.
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And as an engineer, I understand why the distribution you showed is actually more impressive than many will realize...
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Few years? Really? Until last year the Sox had one of the best offenses in the AL pretty much every year. In fact, even last year the Sox were SIXTH in the AL in sco ring despite being last - and a distant last at that - in home runs. Nine teams outnumbered the Sox BY A LOT and still scored fewer runs. So clearly this approach is working and has always been working. Why would anyone want to change it? The 0-1 counts have never been a problem..
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There aren't many players you can count on for a 5.0 fWAR season. In fact, just having one puts a player in the smallest minority. ..
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Talk to Fangraphs
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Over the last 3 years, Porcello has been worth 8.8 fWAR, which is more than any Yankee starter over that stretch except Masahiro Tanaka (9.6 fWAR). Sonny Gray has been worth 7.6 fWAR. Yankee target Gerrit Cole has been worth 11.1 fWAR in that span. Porcello's 8.8 fWAR ranks him 26th among all starting pitchers in MLB over the last 3 years.
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Really, a #2 at worst.
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It's the type of change that's easier for a GM to enforce than a manager. Forcing hitters to swing outside their comfort zone and be productive? It would probably be easier to just go get other hitters who hit the way you want...
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Fangraphs ranked him at #45 for trade value. I don't recall if any of the nine ranked ahead of him defensively even made the list, but certainly all nine didn't. ..
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Maybe, but his value isn't solely based on defense. How many of the 8higher ranked players are worse hitters? How many make more money? Have more years of control?
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I'm not saying anyone should trade Bradley, but I am saying someone will...
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Actually Range Factor has none of those flaws. It's simply (putouts plus assists)/games or (putouts plus assists)/(9 innings) for RF/9. Rf/150 is just those numbers over 150 games. If you meant UZR has flaws, certainly it does. It's based on human observation applied against standard criteria. If you think this negates it and your solo observations are equal or better simply because UZR isn't perfect, that logic is horribly flawed for an abundance of reasons.
