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notin

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Everything posted by notin

  1. notin
    We don’t need Chavis to botch 2b. Nunez is quite capable of doing that all by himself. And Brandon Phillips does have a phone...
  2. notin
    The hitting analogy can be expanded further. I would argue a .295 hitter is the same as a .300 hitter with the caveat that there are numerous other stats to help separate them. I think you agree a .295/.380/.550 hitter is better than a .300/.330/.415 hitter. As with CERA, there is a danger with small sample sizes regarding opponents. A pitcher and catcher who have 100PAs together against the three worst offensive teams can be very misleading. Or in 3 pitcher-friendly parks. Like all stats, we hope the larger sample sizes even it out. But like with a lot of other stats, it doesn’t always. And more important, fearing the unknown and accepting the status quo simply because it worked once is dangerous. Cherington found this out in 2014, and it lead to bad decisions that plague the Sox to this day...
  3. notin
    But all of that is so unknown and so dependent on so many factors. For example, the pitcher/catcher relationship. I realized how important this was watching how Hideo Nomo suddenly became less effective when Varitek got hurt. But that doesn’t mean it takes years to build. Jose Molina, for example, changed teams more often than many people change underwear, but was certainly able to establish himself with many pitchers very quickly. The issue with intangible arguments is they get categorized two ways: “worked” and “didn’t work.” And this simple method leaves many thinking “worked” is good enough and there is no need/little room/small possibility for improvement. The fact is there is an infinite array of possibilities, and the new ones aren’t all bad...
  4. notin
    The goals of Spring Training should be 1) get ready and 2) don’t get hurt. They were massively successful at the second goal. But appear to have fared miserably at the first. As for “practice like you play,” this is absolutely wonderful advice for little leaguers and high school players. But we are talking about grown-up adult professional players here. Many already levels of intensity and tenacity beyond our mere mortal comprehension. These people enjoy competition for a living. The same advice our little league and high school coaches just does not apply...
  5. notin
    And if he retires, his contract is voided. Just like with Gil Meche and Ryan Dempster, and would be the case with Prince “Technically Still Active” Fielder...
  6. notin
    And why would Pedroia want to do that? I know why fans want him to, but not why Pedroia would want to...
  7. notin
    Then how do you know they even exist or are effective?
  8. notin
    You are incorrect. If Pedroia retires, he is out and gets nothing more. This is why Prince Fielder is technically not retired but remains in name only on the 60 day IL for the Rangers, and will for another full year. If Prince officially retired, he would have forfeited $96mill...
  9. notin
    Given his off-season spending spree, DDis going to need some minimum wage rookies to step in. This means it’s actually almost safe to pencil in Mike Shawaryn or Darwinzon Hernandez (or more likely, both) for the 2020 rotation. Both are certainly huge question marks as MLB pitchers, even with Hernandez having limited success this ST. But neither alone will be able to fill Porcello’s one undeniable skill of durability...
  10. notin
    But outside of CERA, which is questionable, what does quantify that relationship?
  11. notin
    If he retires, he walks away from $25mill over the next two years. Not happening...
  12. notin
    Looking at a bigger picture like WAR, you are...
  13. notin
    Not necessarily. Analytically our catching was bottom of the MLB barrel.
  14. notin
    I’ve said it before - Workman is borderline MLB talent at best...
  15. notin
    I was hoping you might interpret “position from the lineup” to NOT mean pitching. Improving pitching is a given for every team every year. It’s just as vague as “room for improvement”...
  16. notin
    He did play nothing but catcher until 2016...
  17. notin
    If you had to pick one position from the 2018 lineup to improve upon, which one would you have picked?
  18. notin
    But it also doesn’t mean there isn’t room for improvement...
  19. notin
    That happens all the time. Players switch to new positions either in the minors or after being drafted. I heard an interview with Brandon Inge once where he talked about being drafted. Inge was a shortstop at VCU and an expected high pick. When he got the call that he was a second round selection of the Tigers, he was relieved. That lasted for a minute or two when the Tiger scout called back and told him “By the way, you’re going to be a catcher...”
  20. notin
    ... it’s usually enough to send Greg Bird to the IL...
  21. notin
    Rajai Davis is close, having started his career in 2001...
  22. notin
    You were too young in 2007 when Cora got his first World Series ring with the Red Sox?
  23. notin
    He’s going to need a major turnaround in either performance or salary expectations to get even a two year deal...
  24. notin
    About the same as the odds of me flapping my arms and flying to the moon....
  25. notin
    But Nate Silver of fivethirtyeight.com (and formerly of Fangraphs.com) has proven remarkably adept at predicting the baseball postseason participants and election results...
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