notin

My fist though on this commentary would be "you simply don't understand what the statistic means." But to be fair, if the statisitic is misinterpreted, it is possible part of that flaw falls upon an inadequate definition and a confusing nature. Bottom line - like all stats, they are history and not ability. We see that same issue with all stats, and most make the incorrect assumption that in the large volume, all things equal out. To an extent they do, but in many cases, we are dealing with miniscule differences that the nature are inherent to the nature of the game. Take batting average. Tim Anderson won the batting title by .008, or a [pace for 8 hits in 1,000 at bats, or 4 hits over a season. Was Anderson a better hitter? Or did he have an advantage because they did not face the same pitchers? LeMahieu, for example, did not face any Yankee strting pitching, which was a disadvantage. Anderson got to face the Royals and Tigers pitchers more frequently. We have always assumed these advantages and disadvantages equal out over large sample sizes. But did Anderson have an easier path to getting 4 more hits?

Try it now...

While true, none of those 2 month rentals were making $27-30 million. Of course, none also had draft pick compensation...

Of course, even DNA evidence is not without its flaws. https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Phantom_of_Heilbronn

... which is why Fangraphs won’t employ them to calculate UZR data. “Hey Tony? Did you see that catch by JBJ?” “Sure did, Vinnie. But so did a lot of other people. Maybe too many other people.”

Oh hell no i don’t think I’m free from all the normal biases associated with normal human observation. And as a human, I’ve probably even cited biased statistics, which can also be easily skewed. But even in that case, they’re certainly more reliable than casual observation when it comes to taking the “intangibles” into account. But that’s also why, when I see a statistic that surprises me, I dig deeper. An obvious one we both questioned this year was JBJ’s low UZR this year. When I looked into the numbers, I realized a likely cause wasn’t poor defensive play; it was simply a reduced involvement compared to his peers. I believe you chose the route of calling the number flawed. But if JBJ or any fielder simply lacks opportunity compared to other CF’s, I’d expect it to be reflected in his metrics exactly as it was, which means maybe there was no flaw. Wouldn’t you expect it to be reflected that way?

While that all might be true, certainly there are also static’s about the reliability of eyewitness testimony with regards to other forms of proof. If someone makes a comparitive statement that eyewitness testimony is the least reliable form of proof, then what forms are less reliable? I take it you’re an attorney. Or were one. If so, did you prefer eyewitness testimony over, say, DNA testing? If so, why? And I get maybe the answer is “because juries believe it better” or “juries identify with it better.” But again, does that make it more accurate?

Psychologists apparently disagree. https://www.psychologicalscience.org/uncategorized/myth-eyewitness-testimony-is-the-best-kind-of-evidence.html But “most reliable in court” might be open to interpretation. For example, from the viewpoint of a prosecuting attorney, for example, if eyewitness testimony is better for a conviction, he might prefer it as being more reliable to serve his means. But I find it hard to believe eyewitness testimony is better at determining the truth than DNA, for example. But it is certainly cheaper...

We all try to be unbiased, but even the act of trying to be open-minded can cause people to create compensation biases...

Wasn’t he demoted to the minors for being apathetic?

It’s not my fault human thinking is full of pre-conceived biases. There are entire fields of psychology dedicated to it. Do you honestly think you are free from biases?

Too bad you don’t get to pick and choose who witnesses a murder...

So you’re saying it does have to be an either/or situation? The Goantyeon 3 World Series titles in the past 10 years. Now they’re a horrible team with no farm and tons of bloated contracts. The Dodgers have dominated the NL West I recent years and been intwo of the last 3 World Series. They also have a strong farm that prevents them from filling the roster with expensive deadweight. Are you saying you thing the Giants are in the better situation?

The Dodgers might not have a ring but they are in the postseason every year..

I think Puig is an amazing talent. But multiple Dodgers including Kershaw and Scott Van Slyke once campaigned management to unload him...

I cut the Yankees some slack. They overcame a lot of injuries and Cashman did great finding everything but SP. But also, I’m glad they’re done. Not gonna lie...

After the 2000 season. And he was awesome...

The grass is always greener, I guess. So you’re arguing that the Sox should replace the career .796 OPS of Benintendi with the career .797 OPS of Castellanos? And only for a mere $10 million more per year?

Also true. And not in conflict with what I said...

Move to LA or Atlanta...

Dombrowski was reportedly offered Puig for Bradley straight up 2 years ago and rejected it. Which means at least 2 GMs preferred Bradley over Puig...

The Sox will probably have neither next year...

No doubt. But we also might have reached the point with Wright where the 40 man roster spot was more valuable than the player...

Nothing accounts for the human element worse than a human. There’s a reason eye witness testimony is considered unreliable...

Sonny Gray did pitch poorly for the Yankees, and the press/etc. always said Sonny couldn’t handle the pressure. But when Sonny was on the road - pitching in front of fans who wanted him to fail - wasn’t he still a Yankee? Maybe it was Yankee Stadium itself and it’s physical dimensions that didn’t work out. I think fans like to blame mental toughness a lot. It’s a Giant Killer thing...