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notin

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Everything posted by notin

  1. Why? They measure different contributions. That's like saying batting average is flawed because it's not the same as slugging percentage...
  2. I'm not so sure even moving Price or Sale gets back much, even if the Sox eat prospects, unless either pitcher really shows something. While I've thrown out a Wil Myers-Price trade as making sense for both teams (and working out without cash on baseballtradevalues.com), I don't actually expect it to happen. I think we already know who 4 of the starters will be. And the catcher and infield are likely already on the team as well. The only question marks are the outfield and bullpen and the last starter (plus some depth)...
  3. The Sox are only gaining it if they chose to actually spend it. But if he does opt out, and they do try to acquire a replacement, what other bats will the Sox get to replace him? Edwin Encarnacion? Todd Frazier? Corey Dickerson? Jose Abreu is unlikely, as there is mutual interest in a return to Chicago. They're better off with Martinez. Keeping Mookie would be nice. But that's is the only scenario where I would want JD to opt out...
  4. Why? I fully expect him to not opt out, and then opt out after 2020 when his salary drops by $4mill and he will find it easier to get a contract in excess of his remaining money, which is only 2 years $39.5 mill....
  5. Does the posting cost count towards the luxury tax? If it doesn't, Tsutsugo is more likely to be on Boston's radar than the Yankees, who already have a glut of outfielders and have more pressing needs in the rotation. Whoever does sign this guy needs to have it in his contract that the walk up song for Tsutsugo (pronounced "Sue-sue-go") is Phil Collins' "Sussudio"....
  6. He did throw 223 IP in the regular season. There's a good chance he gets simply worn down after all that pitching, which does take a toll. Price was finally great in the post-season last year, and maybe it was because he finally got there is a season where he only threw 107 IP as opposed to pitching at least 176 IP in all his other seasons (except his rookie year of 2008, but he also pitched well in that post-season). Some of these teams with legitimate post-season aspirations might be better off dialing back the workloads of their ace pitchers a little and investing in Porcello type to eat more regular season innings before going to the bullpen in the post-season...
  7. Keon Broxton, a very good defensive/no hit CF, has elected free agency after being DFA'd, despite harmony's insistence he was a necessary bridge during the rebuild for Seattle and Boston would have to acquire him via trade...
  8. Yes, by a slim margin of 0.2 fWAR. But then bWAR gives Betts a very significant advantage of 6.8 to 5.2. (Devers had 5.3 bWAR.) I give the overall nod to Betts...
  9. It certainly did not look like it was going to be his night during that first inning. The Astros hit 4 balls off him. One home run, one screaming line drive off the wall for a double, and the other two on to the warning track. And the flyout by Gurriel had the distance to be a home run, but he happened to hit it just to the right of where the stands jut out a little. Had that ball been pulled maybe 10 more feet to the left, it was a home run...
  10. While Trout is the undisputed best player in MLB and Mookie is a very common choice for second best, one thing we are seeing is that Bregman and Rendon are very likely 3rd and 4th on that list, in whatever order you like...
  11. I would disagree that Betts was not the MVP of the Red Sox this past year. But what gets held against him is how he did vs expectations. Bogaerts and Devers greatly exceeded theirs at the plate. Mookie did not, in fact he took a step back. But even wth that regression, his OPS was still only .001 below Devers and .024 less than Bogaerts. Those differences, especially the one with Devers, are largely insignificant. Couple those negligible differences with the defense he brought, and he was easily their most valuable player. (Although, like with hitting, Devers exceeded his expected defensive play while Betts was held to a loftier standard)...
  12. Or my personal favorite - Guitar Boy
  13. Just no robot Lance Barksdale’s...
  14. If the Nats can go 2/3 of an inning without giving up 5 runs, the road team takes the first 6 games. It was a first in any sport at 5 games...
  15. The one big plus to JD opting out is it lessens the likelihood of a Mookie trade
  16. Yes Cabrera was acquired for defense and jettisoned for draft picks...
  17. Really? Not fixed during the Jordan/Kobe years? But it is now? Based on what? Actually I don’t need to know. I know it isn’t...
  18. If rings are any measure, than the two best players in the NBA in the 1990’s and 2000’s were Steve Kerr and Robert Horry. I think at least one of them appeared on like 12 straight NBA title teams. (Clearly this was part of a fix, right moon?)
  19. He did show himself to be selfish and egomaniacal while on the White Sox. But I think Epstein was just going for the draft picks...
  20. Right now the oddball is Bloom, the only one who never won a World Series in Boston. What’s taking this schmuck so long?
  21. Absolutely it’s legal. The Union doesn’t care about AAV, just money...
  22. Exactly. Ted Williams (the actual best player ever to come up through the Sox farm) played for the team for 22 years and never won a title...
  23. I can explain that move easily. Free agent compensation at the time called for receiving the first round pick from the players new team as well as a sandwich pick for all Type A free agents as determined by the Elias Sports Bureau. Cabrera and Renteria were both Type A free agents, so by letting Cabrera walk, the Red Sox gained two first round picks (one from the Angels for signing Cabrera, and a sandwich pick before the second round), and then lost their pick to St. Louis for signing Renteria. The Sox used their picks (I think, without looking it up) to draft Jed Lowrie and Jacoby Ellsbury, while St. Louis used the Sox pick to draft Colby Rasmus. It was a technique Epstein loved to employ to quickly restock the barren farm system he inherited...
  24. That does say something about the season long effectiveness of the opener strategy...
  25. How often does the team with the best record actually win the World Series?
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