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notin

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Everything posted by notin

  1. Most likely they add a good arm to the pen not expected to close. Someone like Louis Varland, Kevin Ginkel, Calvin Faucher. Maybe the return of John Schreiber. I think someone to take some workload away from Whitlock, Weissert and Bernardino is the goal…
  2. What about that trade? Trading good relievers for bad position players doesn’t mean WAR undervalues relievers. Simple question - why was trading Devers not a white flag but trading Chapman is? Let’s not lose sight of where this started…
  3. That whole bullpen had plenty of issues. Before acquiring Kim (all but forgotten in the postseason) the Sox only blew 4 ninth inning leads, resulting in 3 losses. Through 54 games this year, Chapman had 2 losses (although both games were tied when he entered). 2003 was not so much a bad closer as a horrible bullpen that failed much more often in the 7th and 8th innings…
  4. Is this your version of the “WAR undervalued closers” argument? The counter argument is fans overvalue closers. That Chapman only pitches 60 innings is why he actually is less important than the best hitter in the lineup. The one charged with getting him leads to protect. And Chapman’s innings won’t be the”most important” either. Some sites used to track “tough saves”, saves where the closer comes in with the tying run on base. They almost never happen. The league leader usually had like 4. Trading Devers - who did have a bad attitude - was a bigger blow to this lineup than dealing Chapman would be. I don’t see how you can say otherwise…
  5. For his career, Hicks’ numbers are pretty much the same across all leverage situations defined by B-R. He is only slightly better as a reliever than a starter, but he does have more career IP as a reliever. And his second best ERA comes in the 9th inning, substantially better than in the 7th and 8th. His 2nd inning ERA is his best, which is actually kind of odd. He has 35 career saves and 13 career blown saves. Blown save numbers can be misleading, but the bulk of them came his rookie year (2018) when he was closing. I think he’s adequate, but it would be nice to have better arms behind him…
  6. Great MLB name…
  7. Maybe but this Sox team has more speed than many previous years. It’s very possible that a team with two committed RHH platoon bats can find greater use for that final roster spot. The 2004 Dodgers made the postseason, but still dealt away Dave Roberts. It does happen…
  8. The why doesn’t matter. The fact is they traded their longest tenured player with the largest contract in team history and who, by the way, after a very slow start, put up a .960 OPS with 15 HRs Igor the Sox. If it’s a bad parallel, it’s because you’re trying to make a closer more important than the biggest bat in the lineup. Or because Devers was traded 6 weeks ago and still has more bWAR for Boston than Chapman does…
  9. On these three: I do not expect Chapman to be dealt, but it wouldn’t surprise me either. I do not expect Buehler to be dealt. He is still owed about $7mill on the season and not exactly making himself a desirable candidate. Hamilton: I actually do expect it. We’ve seen the Sox acquire baserunners for the postseason, like Quinton Berry, and more famously, Dave Roberts. Other teams can and will see some value here. Not enough to give up anything we care about, however…
  10. Not every asset can be cashed in. You might have to to grips with the potential reality that the Sox will let Chapman go after the season and all they will get for him is $11 million in uncommitted payroll…
  11. Best candidates become Whitlock and Hicks. Despite his rattled performance Monday, Hicks has closing experience and Breslow referred to him as a shutdown reliever after the acquisition. Of course, we did expect him to talk the incoming players up a bit. It’s part of the dance he has to do..
  12. I think if you trade Chapman, you need to replace him internally. A closer that “isn’t 37” and has additional control likely costs as much or more in prospects than the Sox will get for Chapman, making it at best a break even on the “gold mine.” Unless the new closer sucks, I suppose…
  13. Since he traded Devers, claimed it wouldn’t derail the season, and was right, I find it hard to believe Chapman is untouchable…
  14. Dead silence about a lot of teams on MLBTR
  15. 1. It appears as though Cease’s availability exists and is not a Red Sox fan fabrication. Given their commitment to getting cheaper and their bleak farm system, young MLB or MLB-ready players do make sense for them both this year and beyond. 2. Jhostnyxon “The Password” Garcia does fill a need for them and could certainly be an upgrade over Bryce Johnson or Gavin Sheets. 3. While I don’t expect the Sox to trade Chapman, it wouldn’t surprise me…
  16. I had questions about the same thing. Some possibilities include: 1. Hamilton hits left-handed and Cora loves platoons. If the Sox do acquire a 1b, this leaves a spot vs LHP for Romy. 2. Putting Rafaela at 2b, while certainly not ideal, does solve the OF depth issues. 3. Showcasing Hamilton for a trade. This seems least plausible given the year Hes having at the plate. Those are the best I got…
  17. And yet the Sox have more wins. By the way, why is the Sox situation a hole when Chapman misses two games, yet the Rangers dont have a hole there despite, well, who is their closer? (Hint: not team save leader Luke Jackson, who is in Detroit now.) And their #4 and #5 starter slots aren’t any better than ours. Tyler Mahle was good, but he made his annual trip to the 60 day IL a couple weeks ago. Also Josh Jung and his 0.7 bWAR should be a hole, too…
  18. If they can get Sox can wear out their pen today, it puts a lot of pressure on tomorrow’s starter (Ober?)
  19. 1. The Orioles are in last place. The Rays are just ahead of them. Possibly not good examples. 2. The Rockies, Pirates and Marlins don’t help your case either. 3. The reality is tanking for draft picks in MLB is a losing venture. Being a deadline seller is far more effective and even it fails far too frequently…
  20. It would give them a better chance to pick the next Trey Ball over the next Aaron Judge…
  21. Because this isn’t the NFL or NBA where you tank to gain a better chance at a draft pick capable of making an immediate impact…
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