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notin

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Everything posted by notin

  1. notin
    They’ve been trying to shed that label since 2019…
  2. notin
    I think Detroit would be insane to put Skubal on the trade market. Let’s look at the AL Central. Minnesota - Rebuilding and cutting salary like mad. Team looks like a advanced AAAA roster, especially if they move Ryan and/or Ober. Chicago - No longer the worst team in history but they’re not exactly threats. Cleveland - Facing the biggest loss to gambling bans since the 1919 White Sox, which might impact direction this year. Kansas City - At least they’re still trying. As far as we know. With that level of compete, why trade Skubal?
  3. notin
    So you’re saying they shouldn’t bother?
  4. notin
    Unless there are serious CBA changes, his agent does have a long and successful history of getting players better deals through free agency…
  5. notin
    The prospects you’re giving away have more value than that. Olus you’d have to pay someone to replace Yoshida, which very likely exceeds his contract value of $36mill. Yoshida has shown he can hit. Let him start at DH (possibly platooning with Refsnyder, who should re-signed) until Casas comes back, and then revisit the situation again…
  6. notin
    If I’m Detroit, I think about it. Getting Early and Bazzana plus for one year of Skubal is tempting. If I’m Cleveland, I’m out. I like Duran but want to keep my former #1 overall pick and prefer to acquire Duran using more expensive players not named Jose Ramirez already on my MLB roster…
  7. notin
    The thread is about Duran fitting in Detroit, not Skubal getting to Boston. My point all along has been these are mutually exclusive from Detroit’s point of view. And we know how things are going to work with Skubal. If Detroit trades him, it will not be until July 31 and only if they are out of it. If they want Duran, a fair trade is 19yo A-ball SS Bryce Rainer and AA catcher Thayron Liranzo for Duran. One or both might be flippable in a subsequent deal for Ryan…
  8. notin
    Just DFA Yoshida at that point…
  9. notin
    BTV has since updated their values to where a simple 3 way trade works. Philly gets Duran ($49.5mill) Boston gets Ryan ($52.5mill) Minnesota gets Aiden Miller ($48.3mill) Not sure Philly is keen on trading Miller, either. Especially since they are reportedly trying to move Alec Bohm, which I assume is to clear a path for Miller. But after Painter (now at $52mill) and Miller, Philly has a serious drop off in prospect value to the point where it might take them out of the running for Duran. Unless Minnesota likes their second tier prospects a lot. But given how tough they have been in previous Ryan talks, this feels unlikely…
  10. notin
    $5.5mill
  11. notin
    Toronto put him on waivers in late September . Atlanta claimed him Sept. 26, per his B-R page. Possible that article was written previously…
  12. notin
    Manoah is with the Braves organization….
  13. notin
    I’m ok with that. I doubt Kyle changes teams at all anyway…
  14. notin
    I agree. But the Sox are managed by a guy who thinks it’s illegal in many states to let a left-handed hitter face a left-handed pitcher…
  15. notin
    Yesage pitched 14 IP in the regular season. Think he really influences it by much? Bieber was not that t opening day; the rotation you trashed was an opening day rotation. So that also applies to Yesavage, too. You didn’t acknowledge Early and Tolle would be starting for Boston at some point either…
  16. notin
    Bear in mind that the fastball data everyone is condemning is from one season in which he had only 220 ABs…
  17. notin
    The Mets are that bad at making counteroffers?
  18. notin
    BTV does say it would take more than Duran to get Skubal. With Skubal’s value at $60.6mill ( higher than Duran’s $49.5mill), a BTV Fair package is more like Early, Campbell and Sandlin or Early, Arias and Romero. Both of those do seem fair as well, although who knows what Detroit wants. Now a deal sending Duran to Detroit that makes sense is going to get the Sox prospects only - possibly 2 from Rainer, Jobe and Liranzo. And probably not Jobe…
  19. notin
    There are reports about Murakami’s struggles vs fastballs greater than 93mph. Since I don’t know offhand, what are typical numbers against those same fastballs?
  20. notin
    What BTV doesn’t say is DURAN WILL NOT BE IN THAT DEAL AT ALL. Why would Detroit want him if they are running up the white flag by dealing Skubal? Campbell makes more sense than Duran at that point, and we don’t even know if Detroit likes Campbell. Skubal has one year left. That is a huge factor. Especially since he has reportedly been reluctant with extension talks….
  21. notin
    If the Sox aren’t going to spend, Yandy Diaz is a great plan. The Sox and Rays have made numerous trades over the years. The Rays clearly realize that trading within the division has benefits that trading outside of it doesn’t have. I think for most teams, the philosophy of putting limitations on trading within the division is limited to elite star players, and it’s far from a universal practice that appears on forums…
  22. notin
    Their focus on improved defense is situational. Mayer will not play SS and move Story to 2b or 3b. But not for defensive reasons. Story will play SS so that Mayer can be platooned with Romy and Romy is not much for SS…
  23. notin
    I wouldn’t be surprised if we had just spent more time on Hamilton vs Sogard than Breslow spends all off-season. As for igniting the off-season, the real fun doesn’t even get going for a month and doesn’t peak for another month. And with free agents, the onus is on the player in many (most?) cases, so it’s harder to control the outcome…
  24. notin
    Absolutely an option. But why would that package be built Duran, 3 years from free agency himself?
  25. notin
    Yes, Hamilton was injured. He had a chronic cases of BatsLefthandeditis, which gets particularly inflamed against lefty starters like Fried and Rodon. Abreu suffers from the same ailment, which is why Eaton got the starts. No one is saying Sogard is worthless. But even the Sox clearly think Hamilton is better. Both players had options, but Hamilton got much more PT. And even when Sogard saw action, they put him at 1b more than anywhere else, and when Cora needed an emergency shortstop, neither of these two were nigh on Cora’s radar. But Sogard was even further, playing the position for only 5 innings to Hamilton’s 70. I don’t think they go all Sox themselves are as on board with this evaluation as you are. But hopefully the goal is to push both of them out of the lineup…
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