Actually suspecting losing future draft picks makes trading Betts the right move.
With you think this 85 win team can make up 19 games through sheer will power, or 2020 is a bust. While many in the Keep Betts crowd advocate “dealing with 2021 in 2021 and not a second before,” the problems will be obvious. No Betts. No replacement. And if the reset still exists with penalties, the Sox won’t do that either.
Since there is a chance MLB takes draft picks to further the damage (and zero chance of MLB adding draft picks for kicks), the strategy of getting ahead is clearly the best. If Bloom guesses wrong and MLB takes no picks, is that really a bad sign for the future?